Match Prediction: Xtreme Gaming - Team Secret | Dota 2
Riyadh Masters 2023 - Play-InHello and welcome to EGamersWorld.
Riyadh Masters 2023 continues along with the Play-In stage championship matches. The big dota is ramping up and it's only going to get bigger from here on out.
We are talking about the match between Xtreme Gaming and Team Secret. Quite an entertaining confrontation, it should be noted.
The fact is that both teams in the 2023 season showed a very mediocre level of play. To be more specific, Secret are ahead of their team in terms of "mediocrity": the team has twice left the first league, which indicates the critical instability of the club. However, Xtreme are not monolithic either: the Chinese from the first division of the DPC did not fall, but they played a bit of a mess.
Now the teams have a unique chance to make up for lost time and prove themselves on the big stage. This year, there are few opportunities for them to do so.
Let's see if there will be a winner of the match here who can significantly improve their position in the standings or if everything will end in a draw.
Let's go.
Form Xtreme Gaming
Let's open the analysis of the match with the analysis of Xtreme Gaming's form. In this match the Chinese will play in the status of favourites.
Bookmakers believe in the success of Xtreme Gaming. The odds on the victory of the residents of China is estimated by a figure in the region of 3.
It should be remembered that Play-In Riyadh Masters 2023 is played in Round-Robin format with bo3 matches, so 3 on the favourite is not an ultimatum, which is not to be expected here. Indeed, Xtreme are far from being the clear favourite in even the most straightforward of matches. The team's performance over the year is not admirable.
The Xtreme have had problems all year. They started with the regional league in China.
At DPC 2023: China Upper Division, Xtreme Gaming finished in the top 5. For a team with such a roster, that result was not just unacceptable, but rather terrible.
The deplorable state of Xtreme Gaming became even more evident after The Lima Major 2023, where Paparazzi and company did not qualify. At the tournament in Peru, only Aster and PSG.LGD showed some promise, while Knights and Ehome, who Xtreme Ledge played in their home league, were suspected of using cheats and ceased to exist after Lima.
However, Xtreme managed to pull itself together. The team called up the experienced Kaka for the fourth position and started to play. Xtreme won their home league with this squad. In this lineup they travelled to Berlin, where they made it to the group stage of The Berlin Major 2023. However, they finished in the top 12, which is not very good.
The third round was a nightmare for Xtreme. They finished in the top 5, which is not a critical indicator, but for teams of Paparazzi and company level, not making it to the Major with not the strongest competition is a failure.
- Xtreme Gaming lineup: Ghost, Paparazzi, JT, XinQ, Dy .
Before the Long Copeg Riyadh Masters 2023, Xtreme Gaming invited XinQ to the team. PSG.LGD legend will help Xtreme, but whether he will be able to shine after a long break is a big question.
Prior to the Long match Xtreme Gaming will play against 9 Pandas. That match will be a real test for the Chinese club.
The most popular Xtreme Gaming heroes
The most popular hero of Xtreme Gaming is Storm Spirit. Paparazzi played him 5 times, but won only 2 matches.
We also took Alchemist (4 matches, 75% wins), Phoenix (4 matches, 50% wins), Keeper of the Light (4 matches, 25% wins), Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins).
There was also Pangolier, Underlord, Pugna, Dragon Knight. All heroes appeared 3 times and won 2 matches each.
Team Secret uniforms
We continue the match analysis by analysing Team Secret's form. Here again they are outsiders.
This is indicated by the bookmakers. Secret have a chance to win, but a small one: the odds are at 4.2.
However, this is one of the closest matches for Secret. If not to win here, then where?
After reaching the finals of The International 2022, Secret made some changes to the squad, but the performance was critically affected. So critical that Secret completely failed in the first DPC season, dropping to the second division.
In the second cycle of DPC Secret played in the second division. There, Team Puppey won the league, which was expected, but still.
- Team Secret: Crystallis, Armel, fbz, yamich, Puppey.
The return to the first league was supposed to be triumphant, but in reality it turned out to be a flop. Secret were awful and the result of their game was relegation back to the second division.
Before the Long Cognega Riyadh Masters 2023, where Secret miraculously made it thanks to ESL's updated ranking system, Puppey once again resorted to changes within the roster. BOOM was replaced by fbz, and the championship in Riyadh is a test of strength for the Indonesian.
In the first game Secret will play against beastcoast. There are no special hopes for Team Puppey in that match.
Team Secret's most popular heroes
Mirana, Tusk and Primal Beast are among the most chosen heroes of Secret. All of them have 6 matches and 83% wins.
In addition, Monkey King and Ember Spirit appeared in spades (5 matches each and 100% wins). Death Prophet also played 5 matches, however she won 4 matches.
Also Jakiro (3 matches, 100% wins), Enchantress (3 matches, 100% wins). Abaddon (2 matches, 66% wins), Broodmother (2 matches, 100% wins).
History of head-to-head meetings
Previously, the teams have not played each other in head-to-head matches. This match will be their first time playing together in DPC 2023.
Match outcome
I expect an even game from this match. I am not impressed by Xtreme with or without XinQ, so I don't want to bet on their victory.
Secret have been disappointing for a year now, and I haven't seen any signs of change. I don't want to bet on them to win, but they will be able to squeeze the map. I heard rumours about Paparazzi finishing his career and it's not something that will boost the team's motivation.
Bottom line: +1.5 on Secret.
Team Secret is the 10th team in the world ranking. The beginning of the year was sad for Secret. The first round of DPC finished on the 8th place, falling to the 2nd division. In the second round the team comes with two new players. Armel and yamich instead of Resolution and Zayac. BOOM goes to the 3rd position. There the team takes the 1st place and returns to the 1st division. But the 3rd round does not bode well and the team from the 8th place in the group is again relegated to the 2nd division.
Xtreme Gaming is the 20th team of the Chinese ranking. DPC is quite successful for the team. On the first position in the table, of course, they do not mark, but 3-4th place is assured, which means that they pass on the major. They managed to defeat Aster.Aries, EHOME and Dawn Gaming. But they lost to Team Aster and Team Knights. This match is the last big challenge for them at this stage.
In bo2 format Secret I think they will be able to fight and take at least one card. That's why it's a safe bet.
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I have been doing this for quite a long time and have achieved some success in it. Whether to believe me or not is up to everyone. But why not try? Maybe you like this kind of life!
Result: +1.5 on Secret.
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Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Xtreme Gaming is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 3.919. This number in the favor of Team Secret amounts 3.99. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | Xtreme Gaming | Team Secret |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 4 | 5 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The competitors have held 1 matches. And Xtreme Gaming won 0 times while Team Secret correspondingly became the winner 1 times.