Match Prediction: TSM - Beastcoast | Dota 2

Preparations for the start of the DPC 2023 winter tour continue in the American region. This preparation consists in holding a local event BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas.

The championship has entered its zenith: there are three teams left at the event, which will determine the champion of the first event in the new competitive year tomorrow. The race continues to include Evil Geniuses, TSM and Beastcoast.

Evil Geniuses are the first finalist in the race: they made it to the BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas Grand Finals by beating TSM in the Upper Bracket Small Final. The latter will now take their last chance in the fight against Beastcoast.

The format of the meeting is bo3. The winner advances to the grand final, the loser is eliminated from the tournament.

We figure out who will be stronger in the finals of the lower bracket of BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas, and who will have to be content with third place.

Form Beastcoast

Let's start the match analytics with an overview of Beastcoast form. Peruvians in this fight will play in the status of a favorite.

The chance of success for the title team of South America is estimated by the bookmakers with odds in the region of 1.59. With a small but sufficient advantage, Beastcoast will play the first fiddle in the duel.

There is no need to be surprised by such a choice of bookmakers. Beastcoast gained serious momentum during the tournament, and their roster is completely designed for fights within larger events than BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas.

Composition of Beastcoast

We have repeatedly discussed the Beastcoast roster, focusing on their ability. Such top performers can, and often do, win solely on the basis of their personal level of performance.

• K1
• DarkMago
• Sacred
• Scofield
• Stinger

However, skill only on the ground does not always guarantee an easy victory, and the team showed this during the championship.

Beastcoast Performance

The team won DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 1: Regional Final, placed 2nd at DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 2: Division 1 and TOP-2 at DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division 1. In 2022, the team played at two majors: ESL One Stockholm 2022 and PGL Arlington Major 2022, and twice the team took the TOP-6.

The last tournament for Beastcoast was The International 2022. There the team reached the TOP-8, where they were knocked out by PSG.LGD in a fight. Who knows how the match would have ended if 4 players had not fallen ill bc COVID-19.

The team started their way to BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas from the playoff stage, where they received a direct invitation. In the first round, Beastcoast lost to Thunder Awaken 1-2.

The comeback in the lower bracket began with a 2-1 victory over 5RATFORCESTAFF. Then Beastcoats defeated Nouns with a similar score, not without problems.

Before reaching the losers final, the team played against Infinity, where Beastcoast did not get an easy walk. The team beat their counterparts with a score of 2-1.

Heroes of Beastcoast

The most requested Beastcoast character in patch 7.32 is Snapfire. The character appeared 7 times and won 57% of matches. Next comes Shadow Fiend (7 matches, 57% of matches) and Tiny (7 matches, 42% of wins).

Also chosen by Beastcoast are Marci (6 matches, 80% win rate), Nyx Assassin (5 matches, 80% win rate). Crystal Maiden (5 matches, 80% win rate).

Form TSM

We continue the review of the fight along with the analytics of the TSM form. The team in this match plays in the status of catching up.

The odds for TSM to win, according to the bookmakers, are equal to the odds around 2.19. The gap is not big, but there is a persistent feeling that TSM in its new guise is far from the level of EG and Beastcoast.

The team went through the top to the top 3, but hitting the bottom of them will probably break them. Moreover, recently the team had another line-up change, which is discussed below.

Composition of TSM

At BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas, TSM is in full swing. Having announced a new roster, before the transfer window closed, TSM replaced another participant: SaberLight left, and kasane made up his replacement.

• Timado
• Bryle
• kasane
• Ari
• MoonMeander

The debut of kasane in the match against EG was not a success at all. However, it's not worth blaming all the sins on the new player, because in the match with EG the whole team looked sluggish.

TSM Performance

TSM became the triumphant DPC NA 2021/2022 Tour 1: Regional Final, after which they took 2nd place in the second round.

At the first major of the team, the team took 2nd place. After ESL One Stockholm, TSM was rightfully called a top team, and for some time they coped with this status.

In the third round of DPC NA 2021/2022 Division 1, the team took 4th place, which was the beginning of aggravation in terms of performance. Next, TSM had a TOP-8 at Riyadh Masters 8.

On the eve of The International 2022, where TSM went through by DPC points, the team took TOP-8 at ESL One Malaysia 2022. The main tournament of the year TSM failed to smithereens: the team shared 19th-20th place, having been eliminated at the group stages.

At BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas debuted from the first round of the upper bracket of the playoffs. In the opening match of the championship, TSM outplayed 5RATFORCESTAFF, justifying their pre-match status: the series against 5RATFORCESTAFF ended with two maps of 34 and 35 minutes respectively.

The duel against Thunder Awaken became more colorful. TSM had to tinker with their counterparts, which resulted in a full b3 with a good ending for TSM.

That's where it was not fun, so in the match against EG. Evil Geniuses literally ran over TSM in 27 and 32 minutes respectively..

Heroes TSM

The most favored hero for TSM in patch 7.32 was Shadow Fiend. However, in 8 matches, the character only won 37% of the time. Next comes Undying (5 games, 40% win rate), Dawnbreaker (5 matches, 20% win rate), Marci (4 games, 75% win rate).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams in the updated rosters did not play with each other. This fight will be the debut full-time meeting of the clubs.

Outcome of the match Beastcoast – TSM

In this fight, although I expect bo3, I do not believe that the game will be equal. Despite the inherent tension in Beastcoast duels, they look more cohesive as a team. TSM is over for this tournament, but the Beastcoast-EG final looks juicy in all respects. I think we will get it.

Bottom line: Beastcoast wins.