Match Prediction: Beastcoast - Thunder Awaken | Dota 2
BTS Pro Series 13: AmericasIn anticipation of the start of the new DPC season in 2023, we continue to monitor local events in different regions. At the peak of attention is the BTS Pro Series with the 13th season of competition.
After an 8-day group stage where 8 teams determined the names of the 4 that qualified for the playoffs. There they joined 4 teams invited directly.
Getting ready for the main course. Ahead of the playoffs of BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas.
From December 4 to 10, the teams will play in a double-elimination bracket with bo3 matches up to the grand final, which will be held in the bo5 format. The second match of the first round of confrontations will be the duel between Beastcoast and Thunder Awaken.
We figure out which of the clubs-giants of the South American region will win. A derby worthy of a DPC league final will take place in the first round of the BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas playoffs. Here is the local event for you.
Shape Beastcoats
Let's start the review of the match with an analysis of the Beastcoast form. The Peruvian club will perform in this confrontation as a favorite.
The chance to win Beastcoast is estimated at 1.4. You can agree with this.
Beastcoast has been a top club lately. They proved it last season and it looks like they will continue to do so in the coming season. The team has updated its roster, but rather strong representatives of the region have entered it.
Composition of Beastcoast
There are 3 players left from the old Beastcoast roster that was in the TOP-8 at The International 2022. Instead of the departed Chris Luck and Wisper, DarkMago and Sacred joined the team.
- K1
- DarkMago
- Sacred
- Scofield
- Stinger
Notably, the duo DarkMago and Sacred joined Beastcoast after leaving Thunder Awaken.
Beastcoast Performance
Since the backbone of the roster remained, and the newly arrived players can be called tops, the performance can be assessed. She was very good at Beastcoast last season.
The team won DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 1: Regional Final, placed 2nd at DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 2: Division 1 and TOP-2 at DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division 1. In 2022, the team played at two majors: ESL One Stockholm 2022 and PGL Arlington Major 2022, and twice the team took the TOP-6.
The last tournament for Beastcoast was The International 2022. There the team reached the TOP-8, where they were knocked out by PSG.LGD in a fight. Who knows how the match would have ended if 4 players had not fallen ill bc COVID-19.
Heroes of Beastcoast
The most requested Beastcoast character in patch 7.32 is Snapfire. The character appeared 7 times and won 57% of matches. Next comes Shadow Fiend (7 matches, 57% of matches) and Tiny (7 matches, 42% of wins).
Also chosen by Beastcoast are Marci (6 matches, 80% win rate), Nyx Assassin (5 matches, 80% win rate). Crystal Maiden (5 matches, 80% win rate).
Thunder Awaken Form
Let's continue the review of the match with consideration of Thunder Awaken form. In this confrontation, they act as chasing ones.
Chance to win Thunder Awaken is estimated by odds around 2.8. The difference between the teams twice hints at the outcome of the match.
If this was last season, then Thunder Awaken could be called the equal team of Beastcoast. Now there is nothing left of that Thunder.
Thunder Awaken line-up
None of The International 2022's gold roster is left. The players of that formation were stretched by the more famous clubs Evil Geniuses and Beastcoast, and
- Smiling Knight
- Alone
- little boy
- Michael-
- Accel
Be that as it may, this was enough for the group stage of BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas. Let's see how much this will last in the playoffs, where serious rivals come into battle.
Thunder Awaken performance
Thunder Awaken didn't manage to play enough in the new roster, but their previous roster with Pakazs and DarkMago managed to sprinkle glory on the tag. This is especially evident in the past season.
Thunder Awaken were the TOP-1 of the region and proved it from tournament to tournament: the team won the DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 1 three times and visited the tournament outside the DPC ecosystem.
The team won BTS Pro Series Season 10: Americas, got into the TOP-6 of ESL One Stockholm and ESL One Malaysia 2022. But The International 2022 became the main reason for pride.
At the main tournament of the year, Thunder Awaken reached the TOP-6 stage, which was the best result for teams from the South American region.
The new generation of Thunder will have to work hard to catch up with their "ancestors". The start was made already at BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas, as part of the group stage.
In the group stage, Thunder Awaken took 3rd place, having played the stage with a score of 3-3-1. The team lost the only time, losing a clean sheet to Infinity, who subsequently advanced from the group in first place.
Heroes of Thunder Awaken
The most frequent guest in Thunder Awaken's picks is Crystal Maiden. The character appeared 15 times, while having a win rate of 60%.
In addition to CM, Dawnbreaker (11 games, 81% wins), Zeus (9 matches, 44% wins), Marci (9 matches, 33% wins), Nyx Assassin (8 matches, 62% wins) are honored.
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams in these compositions did not meet each other. Once upon a time, teams often played each other within the regional league, but now the situation is radically different in terms of rosters, and therefore this indicator cannot be called objective.
Match outcome
In this fight, I would not expect something supernatural. Here, as for me, something similar will not happen, as in the match 5RATFORCESTAFF - TSM.
In the first match of the playoffs, I see how the outsider takes 1 card, but here - not at all. Even though Beastcoast has changed their roster, this is clearly not a nerf. Beastcoast should close the series without any problems, considering that now the team will be accelerating on the eve of the new season and will not be slacking off at this event. I would like to believe in it.
Outcome: Beastcoast victory with a score of 2-0.
Bookmakers & Statistics
According to leading bookmakers predictions, the team Thunder Awaken are the favorite with average odds 2.473 at the moment. Respectively, bookmakers consider Beastcoast to be the outsider of the match with odds on a victory in the sum of about 5.043.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Beastcoast | Thunder Awaken |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 4 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The competitors have held 5 matches. In these matches Beastcoast won 1 times, Thunder Awaken active consisits of 3 wins.