Match Prediction: Nigma Galaxy - Tundra Esports | Dota 2
DPC 2022/2023 Winter Tour 1: WEU Division I (Upper)The second day of the Western European league will delight us with the confrontation between Nigma Galaxy and Tundra Esports. Bo3 confrontation will be interesting for several reasons at once.
First, the current world champions in action. After a filigree game at The International 2022, Tundra Esports are automatically in the status of a favorite in almost every match. Let's add here a strong debut at DPC 2023 and get confirmation of this.
On the other hand, we have Nigma Galaxy, for the first time without Miracle and for a long time. Star Boomers signed a rather bright character to their team and now it will be interesting to look at the interaction of generations within the framework of the current season.
We are looking into whether Tundra will be able to justify their pre-match status and show the championship game once again.
Tundra Esports Uniform
As mentioned above, Tundra Esports will appear before us in the status of a favorite in this fight. With them, we will begin the analysis of the match.
The bookmaker actually unanimously prefers Tundra Esports. The chance of their success is estimated by a coefficient in the region of 1.2.
It is pointless to dispute such an indicator - this is the norm. Here the assessment was given in a complex way: both the Tundra games in the last World Cup and the debut in the new season were taken into account. And also, the performance factor of Nigma Galaxy was taken into account.
Tundra Esports roster
In the new season, Tundra Esports has completely retained the championship roster. The coach of the TI 2022 victors also remained in his position.
Tundra Esports Players
- skiter
- Nine
- 33
- Saksa
- sneyking
As stated before the start of DPC 2023, the entire Tundra roster will be ready for the new patch
Tundra Esports Performance
Tundra Esports got to The International 2022 from the 9th place in the DPC table. All thanks to a landmark performance during the season.
The team took the TOP-3 at the DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1, after which they entered only the TOP-4 at the regional finals without earning DPC points.
The second round in the regional league did not start much better: Tundra took 4th place at home, which did not bring much DPC points, but gave something much more important - a ticket to ESL One Stockholm. At the first real Major of the year, Tundra Esports took third place.
Inspired by getting into the TOP-3 at ESL One Stockholm, Tundra approached the third round of the DPC with renewed vigor, where, unlike the previous ones, they shone. The first place in the regional league of Western Europe allowed the Saksa team to advance to the second Major of the year.
The team took TOP-16 at the second major tournament, which, after TOP-8 at the commercial Riyadh Master, seriously reduced faith in the club at the upcoming The International.
The International 2022 itself turned out to be phenomenally easy for Tundra Esports. Having given away only a few cards during the event, the team made it to the grand final, where they finished Team Secret with a score of 3-0 without much difficulty.
Before the start of DPC 2022/2022: WEU Upper Division - Winter Tour, the team took a well-deserved vacation.
The rest did not prevent the team from debuting at DPC 2023 with an absolute victory. Tundra dealt with OG with a score of 2-0. All thanks to their peaks and unique performance.
Heroes Tundra Esports
The most picked meta is Crystal Maiden. The character appeared in 10 matches, winning 9 of them.
Picking Naga Siren (5 matches, 100% win rate), Visage (5 matches, 80% win rate), Visage (5 matches, 80% win rate), Hoodwink (4 matches, 100% win rate), Doom (4 matches, 100% win rate)).
Shape Nigma Galaxy
We continue to review the match along with the form of Nigma Galaxy. They are in this match in the status of catching up.
The chance of the team winning is extremely small according to the bookmakers. For the victory, the KuroKy team is given a coefficient of around 4.
Nigma has been a rather deplorable sight for several seasons now. You should not be surprised at their position, from the word at all. The team has been in suspended animation for a long time and I don’t find the prerequisites for getting out of there at Nigma.
Composition of Nigma Galaxy
They tried to correct the trend of recent years, according to which Nigma play at the level of TIR-2 or TIR-1.5 at best, thanks to the replacement of players. The player, to be precise.
Nigma Players
- SumaiL
- ATF
- MinD_ControlRoL
- GH
- KuroKy
Miracl was replaced by ATF. The up-and-coming player at the beginning of last year seemed like an obvious improvement for virtually any club, however, in the case of Nigma, one gets the feeling that this is not the case.
At least the first tournament in which the ATF debuted for Nigma ended in failure for the team.
Performance of Nigma Galaxy
Nigma Galaxy started the year in the TOP 6 at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1, which briefly separated them from relegation to the second division. The actual relegation came a season later when Nigma took last place at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 2: Division 1.
Once in the second league, the stellar team nevertheless easily took the first line and regained their place in the elite division for the 2023 season. In addition, the team played Riyadh Masters 2022 and ESL One Malaysia 2022, where they took the TOP 6 in the first and the second TOP -8.
The last tournament before the BetBoom Xmas Show and the replacement of the roster was the qualifier for The International 2022 from Western Europe. There, the team took the TOP-6, missing out on the second in a row of The International.
After changing the roster, the team took part in the local BB Xmas Show event. Having received a direct invite to the playoffs, KuroKy and the company fell face down in the dirt: Nigma lost two series out of two played and left the tournament at the TOP-8 stage.
The team has not played at DPC 2023 yet.
Heroes of Nigma Galaxy
The most common picks were Io (6 matches, 66% wins), Death Prophet (5 matches, 60% wins), Chen (5 matches, 60% wins), Dawnbreaker (4 matches, 75% wins), Earth Spirit (4 matches, 75% of wins).
The arrival of ATF provoked Nigma to adapt to the player. Timbersaws and Slardars are again in the picks, but already in the first position. Does not work.
History of personal confrontations
The teams did not play last season as Nigma were in the second division. In fact, this match will be the debut face-to-face confrontation between the teams.
Match outcome
It's hard to say anything about this match. What Nigma showed at the BB Xmas Show can hardly be called the game of a team that claims high places in the first division of Western Europe.
The arrival of ATF will not fix Nigma's problems. They are somewhere on a monumental level, and fatigue is felt from all the players, including SumaiL.
Result: Tundra's victory with a score of 2-0.
Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Tundra Esports is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.103. This number in the favor of Nigma Galaxy amounts 7.178. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Nigma Galaxy | Tundra Esports |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 5 |
10 matches (wins) | 3 | 10 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 9 matches with each other. In these battles Nigma Galaxy got 2 victories while Tundra Esports managed to take 7 matches.