Match Prediction: Xtreme Gaming - Aster.Aries | Dota 2

DPC Winter Tour 2023 continues in China. In the first division, 8 teams are fighting for $205,000 and 690 DPC points.

As part of the second gaming day, we are waiting for a confrontation between Xtreme Gaming and Aster.Aries. The teams will actually sum up the first round of games, as they will play the last of the eight teams represented.

The duel can be interesting, but nominally everything is over here. The gap in the level of performers between the teams is too large and he must play his own.

Xtreme in the 2023 season will finally get a chance to establish itself as the leader of the race and establish a one-off lead. For this, there were simply ideal conditions and all that remained to be done by Xtreme themselves was to play as they know how and win. You need to start with this match.

Xtreme Gaming Uniform

Let's start the review of the match with Xtreme Gaming kit analysis. The team here will perform in the status of a favorite.

Bookmakers believe in Xtreme Gaming's victory and equate the chance of their success to odds around 1.3. To be honest, I was expecting an even bigger gap.

As mentioned above, for Xtreme this season may well be the starting point. There is so much attention around the team and such great prospects, but in fact, Xtreme is still far from realizing its potential.

Xtreme Gaming Roster

Super team by the standards of last season, this year will look even better. Since the off-season, Xtreme have come out with their heads held high. The roster included:

• Ghost
• Paparazzi
• JT
• Pyw
• Dy

The team's newcomers are Ghost and JT, who joined the team in early December last year. They replaced old_eLeVeN and lou in their positions.

Ghost previously played Royal Never Give Up and Sparring Arrow Gaming, and JT, together with IG, entered the TOP-4 of The International 2021. In general, if the arrival of players is not a strengthening, then it is not a weakening.

The backbone of Paparazi, Pyw and Dy continues to push their way to the top with Xtreme. They've been trying for the second season in a row.

Xtreme Gaming Performance

Starting last season from 2nd place at Intel World Open Beijing, the team caught up with OGA Dota PIT Season 6: China, where they won against MagMag in the final.

Then there was a performance in the first round of DPC China 2021/2022, followed by a second place and access to the regional finals. At the regional finals, Xtreme took 3rd place, behind PSG.LGD and Team Aster.

Xtreme also played at DPC CN 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division 1, where they took 3rd place. After “average” performances within the first division, Xtreme Gaming got to the closed qualifiers for The International 2022 from China.

The team took 2nd place there, went to the Last Chance Qualifier and, it would seem, should have gone to The International itself, but this did not happen.

Having taken TOP-6 on LCQ, Xtreme Gaming dropped out of the race for Aegis and changed their roster.

Xtreme Gaming Heroes

In patch 7.32 Xtreme Gaming liked to use Death Prophet (13 games, 76% win rate), Shadow Fiend (8 matches, 50% win rate), Earth Spirit (8 matches, 50% win rate), Nyx Assassin (7 matches, 57% win rate)).

Aster.Aries form

Xtreme Gaming will face Aster.Aries in the debut match. The team will play as an outsider.

The chance of Aster.Aries to win in this match is estimated by the bookmakers by odds around 3.3. Given the level of the team - such a figure as praise.

Aster.Aries have remained in the first division since last season and were able to improve at the end of the transfer period. In addition, the overall picture of what is happening in the region will play in their favor, but the match with Xtreme Gaming is unlikely to be successful.

Composition of Aster.Aries

As Aster's second roster, Aries often resort to player swaps. So it was, for example, with White_Album, which once played the basis of Aster, exactly like RedPanda.

Aster.Aries players

• Ulu
• White_Album
• ss
• TK
• redpanda

The newcomers are the mid player White_Album and the foursome TK. Both missed the qualifiers for The International, although they have been in the Aries since November 2021.

Naturally, Aster.Aries cannot compare with Xtreme Gaming in terms of names. In fact, this is not necessary, it is enough to show a team game and perform as a whole, but there may be problems with this.

Aster.Aries Performance

Last season turned out to be a breakthrough for Aster.Aries, although there were no particularly high-profile results in it. The main achievement of the team is the preservation of the slot in the top division of the DPC.

We started the year with a performance at the Intel World Open Beijing, where we took the TOP-8. Further, a qualitative breakthrough in the second division of China and a passage to the elite league.

In the third round, playing in the top division for the first time in the history of the academic team, Aster.Aries managed to cling to the TOP-6, thereby retaining their place for the 2023 season.

There was no more to be expected. The team failed the subsequent qualifications for ESL One Malaysia 2022.

The International 2022: China Qualifier failed in exactly the same way. There, the team lost to IG with a score of 1-2 at the TOP-6 stage, where it stayed.

Heroes Aster.Aries

Played in Chinese tradition. Among the most selected characters: Death Prophet (4 matches, 25% wins), Ember Spirit (3 matches, 66% wins), Marci (3 matches, 33% wins).

Chen and Clockwerk have an ideal win rate, but too small a selection. Both have 2 games and 2 wins.

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams in the updated lineups did not play with each other. This match will be the debut confrontation.

The outcome of the fight

I don't see how Aster.Aries can beat Xtreme Gaming. The latter look too formidable, and spot replacements during the off-season are more likely to benefit than vice versa.

Aster.Aries, in turn, also worked on the roster and seemed to be getting stronger, but this will obviously not be enough to oppose Paparazzi and the company.

Result: Xtreme Gaming won with a score of 2-0.