Match Prediction: Aster.Aries - Invictus Gaming | Dota 2

We are seeing off the first week of games at DPC 2023 China Upper Division with the second and last match of the day in the upper division. Invictus Gaming and Aster.Aries will play for important points.

The duel is not the top one in terms of the names of the participants, but it is extremely important. More important than Aster vs. DAWN, that's for sure.

Both teams are in desperate need of points due to the current situation in the standings. It is so-so for both Invictus Gaming and Aries.

IG come into the fight with 1 win and 2 losses, being in 6th place. You need to protect yourself from the relegation zone by scoring points in passing matches. But not the fact that this checkpoint.

Aries come into the match with zeros on their win line. The team has 3 defeats and one more pocket actually puts an end to their stay in the first division.

We are looking into whether Aries will be able to grab a chance to stay among the best in the next round, or whether IG will be able to earn a second victory for themselves and protect themselves from the relegation zone.

Aster.Aries form

Let's start the review of the match by looking at the Aster.Aries form. No matter how strange it may look, but they are in a match Form Aster.Aries

Let's start the analysis of the match with the analysis of Aster.Aries form. They will perform in the status of a favorite despite the pre-match balance of power in the group.

The bookmakers are wary, but they believe in the success of Aster.Aries. For the victory of the youth team of Aster, they give a coefficient in the region of 1.6.

The situation around quotes for this match is really unique and atypical. It is very rare to see a team with a score of 0-3, which, as a result, is also a favorite in a match against a more title opponent. However, this is more like a stone in the garden of IG than the personal merit of Aries.

Composition of Aries

Before the start of the tournament, the Aries roster looked quite promising, given all the introductory ones. The team has been strengthened by two performers with experience in the top division and on the international stage, which will clearly benefit the young players.

• Ulu
• White_Album
• ss
• TK
• redpanda

The striking force of Aries is White_Album and RedPanda. Once playing for the main squad and in other title teams, the players performed mediocrely, but they look good in Aries, although this still does not affect performance.

Aster.Aries Performance

The main achievement of the team is the preservation of the slot in the top division of the DPC. There was an emphasis on this and in the new season the prospects have not changed.

We started the year with a performance at the Intel World Open Beijing, where we took the TOP-8. Further, a qualitative breakthrough in the second division of China and a passage to the elite league.

In the third round, playing in the top division for the first time in the history of the academic team, Aster.Aries managed to cling to the TOP-6, thereby retaining their place for the 2023 season.

There was no more to be expected. The team failed the subsequent qualifications for ESL One Malaysia 2022.

Participated in The International 2022: China Qualifier, where they were not particularly noticeable. There, the team lost to IG with a score of 1-2 at the TOP-6 stage, where it stayed.

In the first match of DPC 2023, Aster.Aries faced Xtreme Gaming. Contrary to expectations, Aries managed to impose a fight on Xtreme and looked good, although they lost.

What followed was no easier. Aster.Aries played against PSG.LGD, naturally losing with a score of 0-2, without much chance of winning.

The hellish calendar continued with the match against Team Aster. In a game against their parent organization, the Aries got hooked on the second map and led the net for a long time, but a few stupid and sometimes weird moments ended up 0-2.

Heroes Aster.Aries

Played in Chinese tradition. Among the most selected characters: Death Prophet (4 matches, 25% wins), Ember Spirit (3 matches, 66% wins), Marci (3 matches, 33% wins).

Chen and Clockwerk have an ideal win rate, but too small a selection. Both have 2 games and 2 wins.

Invictus Gaming kit

Let's continue the review with an analysis of the form of Invictus Gaming. They will play as an outsider in this match.

Bookies don't trust IG much. The chance of their victory is estimated by the coefficient in the region of 2.1.

Being higher in the standings, Invictus Gaming are still in a losing position. No wonder, the team itself has earned itself such fame: its performance and extremely mediocre stability.

Invictus Gaming roster

Such uncertainty in the game of IG can be seen from the time of the 2022 season, when the team is after the TOP-4 at TI 2021. It is especially annoying that this happens to quite weighty and well-known players.

• emo
• dust
• Irving
• poloson
• qyqx

Having undergone major changes during the transfer period, IG faced dramatic changes in the roster and nevertheless managed to hook up seemingly good players. So far, however, they do not fully justify themselves.

Performance of Invictus Gaming

Refreshing the memory of the past merits of Invictus Gaming, we can remember how the team felt last season. It was very interesting there.

Starting from 4th place at Intel World Open Beijing, Invictus Gaming continued with 7th place at DPC CN 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1, which resulted in relegation to the second division.

In the lower leagues, IG, as it seemed, had to smash their rivals, but they managed to do this only on the second attempt, and even then not completely. In the second round, the team took the TOP-3, and already in the third round they got a victory to enter the top division.

The last event for IG, but still in the previous line-up, was the qualifiers for The International 2022, where the title Chinese club took 4th place.

At DPC 2023, IG made their debut with a match against EHOME, where they were supposed to crush their opponents, given that they lost their stars, but they were not lucky: the first map was without a chance, the second one was thrown unthrown.

Next, Invictus Gaming played against the Knights. The most controversial team of the season, which is generally accused of cheating, crushed IG with a score of 2-0.

In the third game, IG got a chance to take a break. The class team outplayed DAWN

Heroes IG

In patch 7.32, Invictus Gaming didn't get to play much. The team used Marci (5 matches, 40% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), Lich (3 matches, 66% wins), Dawnbreaker (3 games, 66% wins).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams did not intersect with each other in these lineups. There was a match in the qualifiers for The International, where IG won, but those days are past and the performance is not very relevant.

The outcome of the fight

In this match, we can finally see the triumph of Aster.Aries. The team demonstrated a decent game in almost all matches and now got a real chance to catch on for the first victory.

However, it is clearly not worth waiting for an easy walk for Aries. Although the opponent is much simpler than the previous ones, you will have to try.

Aries victory is not guaranteed, but 2-0 is for sure. This will be my bet.

Result: total +2.5.