Match Prediction: OG - BOOM | Dota 2

We continue to study the situation in the group stage of The International 2022. We are considering the situation in group A.

In the first stream of games from group A, OG will also play with BOOM Esports. Let's talk about these commands in more detail.

Let's figure out whose DotA will take up if there is a winner in the series at all.

Form OG

In the status of a favorite, OG will approach this match. The chance of the European team to win is estimated by the odds around 1.9.

For the bo2 series, quotes less than 2 are already a sign of superiority. It's hard to disagree with the bookmakers about OG.

Rebooting the roster at the end of 2021, the title European club marked a new vector of development. Emphasis was placed on the young and promising under the guidance of the most experienced veterans of Ceb and N0tail. As we see now, the choice was made correctly.

During the season, OG took 3rd place in the regional finals of the first round in Europe, after which they won the second round. The epicenter of the season for OG was the Stockholm Major, which the club won with Ceb as a substitute.

The triumph at ESL One Stockholm did not make OG burn out and the team continued to perform well throughout the season. The team took 3rd place at the DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division 1. OG then traveled to Riyadh where they finished in the top 4 at the commercial Riyadh Masters.

Riyadh Masters became the starting point before PGL Arlington Major 2022, where OG finished in the TOP-4 and again with a replacement. The final chord before The International was the victory at ESL One Malaysia 2022, where the team played again with a substitute, but without Ceb and with Chuvash.

They got to The International OG from 2nd place in terms of DPC points.

Roster OG

• Yuragi
• bzm
• ATF
• Taiga
• Misha

Such a roster was announced in November 2021, but this five has not shown itself at major tournaments yet. Misha will play his first big event of the season as a player.

Heroes OG Esports

In patch 7.32, OG's approach to drafting hasn't changed much from the previous meta. They still play 3 cores giving ATF a lot of farm.

The most popular picks are Mars (7 games, 85% wins), Dark Willow (6 games, 85% wins), Earthshaker (5 matches, 80% wins), QoP (4 matches, 100% wins).

BOOM shape

BOOM Esports will play in the status of catching up in this match. The team's chance of winning is estimated by a coefficient around 6.

The gap is significant, but not unreasonable. It's both about the performance of BOOM and their belonging to a very chaotic region.

This season, BOOM have dominated the home league. In the first round of Southeast Asia, the team won the regular season, then triumphed at the regional finals.

In the second round, the team took 2nd place and went to the first Major of the season. At ESL One Stockholm 2022, BOOM entered the TOP-12, but their path stopped there.

After the "medium" performance in Stockholm, the representatives of Southeast Asia went to the 3rd round of the regular season, and then visited Arlington to participate in the major of the same name. There the team took the TOP-8.

After the Arlington Major, there were commercial events where some BOOM dominated. Before The International, the club won GAMERS Galaxy: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 and BTS Pro Series Season 12: SEA.

The team got to TI22 by finishing 7th in the DPC.

Composition BOOM

• Jackky
• Yopaj
• fbz
• Tims
• skem

The latest changes in the BOOM five took place on February 22 this year. Then the team replaced Tino as a carry, taking Jackky into the team instead. As we can see, the result was not long in coming.

Heroes of BOOM Esports

Most Picked BOOM Heroes in 7.32: Mars (9 games, 77% win rate), Chen (8 matches, 87% win rate), Batrider (7 matches, 85% win rate), Kunkka (7 matches, 57% win rate), Dark Willow (6 matches, 100% wins).

History of personal confrontations

The teams have previously played each other at ESL One Malaysia and twice at ESL One Stockholm Major. Once the teams played in a draw, and the second time they won BOOM.

Match outcome

In this confrontation, I expect hot DotA, because both teams like to play at speed. I don't want to believe in a clear victory for OG because I believe that BOOM has every chance to catch on to the map. It won't be easy to do this, but given the aggressive style that both OG are good at and which is good AGAINST OG, it might work.

I believe in BOOM and give them a discount for 1 card. Not more.

Exodus: +1.5 BOOM.