Match Prediction: Tundra Esports - Team Spirit | Dota 2
Bali Major 2023 - Group StageWelcome to EGamersWorld.
We continue to be in the Group Stage of the Bali Major 2023. Next up is Group A and the match between Tundra Esports and Team Spirit.
We've prepared a betting tip for this match, as it runs the risk of becoming the centrepiece of the day. At least that's what it looks like before the match.
Here we have a classic story: the clash between Western and Eastern Europe. This is probably the best storyline of 2023, as this year has been marked by Western Europe, but the teams from Eastern Europe are also showing on the international stage.
All the more so, with some very titled teams playing here. Just for a second, Team Spirit, winners of The International 2021, and Tundra Esports, the reigning world champions of The International 2022.
We will try to figure out how this match will go, whether any of the teams will be able to get the points they need and improve their position in Group A.
Tundra Esports uniforms
We will start the analysis of the match with the analysis of the playing form of Tundra Esports. Residents of Western Europe will play in the status of the favorite.
This is confirmed by the bookmakers, who unequivocally call Tundra a winner. The odds on Tundra's success in this match are estimated at around 1.9.
Such a figure looks very logical, considering the overall level of the teams as the year progresses. Although, there are questions about Tundra, especially about their performances on the international stage.
In the first round of DPC 2023, Tundra only finished in the Top 4 after a tiebreaker, and at the end of the season they finished in the Top 3. This gave them an opportunity to play at The Lima Major 2023, which they flopped in the top-12.
Things got better in the second DPC cycle. Tundra again had a replay and again they managed it, only this time it was a match for the top 2 division. Things also went better on the international stage, at the ESL One Berlin Major 2023, where the reigning world champions The International finished in the top 6.
DPC Tundra returned to the top of the competitive dot in the third round. The reigning world champions, The International, finished in the top 1 in their home league.
- Tundra Esports line-up: skiter, Nine, 33, Saksa, Sneyking.
Tundra attended DreamLeague Season 20, but they didn't have much zeal to win there. The team failed to qualify for the first group stage, ending up in the top 9-10.s
Before the match with Team Spirit Tundra will play against Beastcoast. In that match, I expect a win for the reigning world champions according to The International.
The most popular Tundra Esports characters
Among the most popular characters in Tundra spades is Techies. The hero has been chosen 9 times and his win rate is 66%.
Next is Bloodseeker who was picked 8 times. The win rate is 50%. Other heroes also picked Batrider (7 matches, 71% wins), Doom (7 matches, 57% win rate), Timbersaw (6 matches, 66% win rate).
Team Spirit Form
Against Tundra Esports in this match will be Team Spirit. And in the status of the outsider.
Oddsmakers don't particularly believe in the success of the Dragons. The odds on Team Spirit victory is estimated at around 4.5.
To be honest, I don't see any particular reason to attribute the Spirit's lead to the underdog. After all, they have produced a season similar to what Tundra have shown, with caveats, but globally they are not far behind.
In the first round of DPC 2023: EEU Division 1, Spirit finished 2nd. The Dragons were then prevented from winning by BB Team, who finished the tournament in first place at 7-0. After a home league appearance, Team Spirit attended The Lima Major 2023 where they finished in the top 8.
Later, the Spirit played the second round of their home league and again finished in the top-2. Going to The Berlin Major 2023 expected to improve the result of the previous Major, however, in the end, things only got worse: already in the top-12.
Despite "sluggish" international play, the Spirit still steadily make it through the Major groups and look like the main contender to win every game at home. That was the case in the third season of DPC 2023.
Spirit finished the final Eastern European cycle in first place. It took 3 tries to get the title in Eastern Europe.
- The composition of Team Spirit: Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, Mira, Miposhka .
The last tournament before DreamLeague Season 20 was DreamLeague S20 for the Dragons. There, the Eastern European representatives finished in the top 5, which is not a bad indicator, considering the above-mentioned results for the year.
Before the game with Tundra Esports Team Spirit will play against Aster. In that match, I expect a takedown card from the Spirit side.
Team Spirit's most popular characters
Team Spirit's top most picked characters are Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared in spades 6 times and has an 83% win rate.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, Disruptor and Underlord are also favored, appearing in spades 5 times each with an 80% win rate. There was also Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times each and has 100% wins.
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams have previously played 5 times over the course of the season. Face-to-face scores: 2-1 in favour of Tundra, but there have also been 2 draws.
Match result
A draw seems to be the most logical bet in this encounter. This comes out of the history of their head-to-head encounters. I'll believe it to be an evenly matched contest.
Bottom line: draw.
Tundra Esports is the 4th team in the world rankings. They had a pretty good DPC in their region, finishing 3rd in the first round, 2nd in the second and 1st in the third. But the results deteriorated considerably when the team came to the Lima Major. There they were only able to take 9th-12th places. Not the brightest performance of the team. On DreamLeague S19, everything went much better. We finished in 4th place. The Berlin Major was a little less brilliant. We managed to take the 5th-6th positions. And DreamLeague S20 was not at all brilliant for the team. They finished it only in the 9th-10th places.
Team Spirit is the 7th team in the world ranking. At the first DPC of their region they take the 2nd place, leaving behind BetBoom. On the second DPC a similar situation takes place, but this time they were ahead of HellRaisers (9 Pandas). The Lima Major was pretty good, although they could have risen higher. They finished in 7th-8th place. DreamLeague finish rather sadly. 9th-10th place in the table. And the Berlin Major is following a similar trend. 9th-12th place in the table. DPC have a phenomenal 3rd round, finishing with 7-0 stats. DreamLeague S20 is also a success for the team. They finished the tournament in a confident 5th place.
Perhaps in this meeting I do not see anything better than a draw, as everything is rather unpredictable, and when so it is the most logical option.
I am a prognosticator, I live only by it. I dedicate all my time to it. I have no other interests.
I have been in business for quite a long time, and I have had some success with it. To believe in me or not, is up to everyone. But why not give it a try? Maybe you will like this life too!
Prediction: A draw!
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Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Team Spirit as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 3.578. Tundra Esports chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 3.902 by bookmakers.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | Tundra Esports | Team Spirit |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 5 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The teams played 16 matches with each other before. And Tundra Esports won 8 times while Team Spirit correspondingly became the winner 6 times.