Match Prediction: Team Spirit - Evil Geniuses | Dota 2

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The group stage of DreamLeague Season 21 continues. We close the first round of matches in Group B with betting tipNNEW on the match between Team Spirit - Evil Geniuses.

The match between Eastern Europe and South America promises to be hot. At least on paper it looks that way, but the reality may turn out to be quite different.

The teams have had quite different results at the tournament. Team Spirit, after winning the Riyadh Masters 2023, look very confident, but Evil Geniuses are tired, that's a fact.

Let's see how this match will go. Will one side be able to earn a clean win and significantly improve their performance in the group stage or will we not have a winner.

Let's go.

Team Spirit uniforms

Let's start the match analysis by analysing Team Spirit's match form. In this match, they will have to play with the first number one.

This is what the bookmakers are pointing to. The odds on the victory of the Dragons are at around 2.

Such a figure did not come out of nowhere. Spirit, who have been struggling all year, regrouped at the end of the season and started to show championship play.

In the first round of DPC 2023: EEU Division 1 Spirit took 2nd place. Then the dragons were prevented from winning by BB Team, who finished the tournament in first place with a score of 7-0. After playing in their home league, Team Spirit visited The Lima Major 2023 where they finished in the top 8.

Later Spirit played the second round of the home league and again finished in the top 2. Going to The Berlin Major 2023 they expected to improve the result of the previous Major, but in the end it got worse: already TOP-12.

Despite the "sluggish" game on the international arena, Spirit still consistently come out of the groups at the Major, and at home they look like the main contender for victory in every game. This was the case in the third season of DPC 2023.

Spirit finished the Eastern Europe final cycle in first place. It took 3 attempts to earn the championship in Eastern Europe.

  • Team Spirit roster: Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, Mira, Miposhka.

The last tournament before DreamLeague Season 20 for the Dragons was DreamLeague S20. There the representatives of Eastern Europe took the top 5, which is not a bad indicator, considering the above mentioned performance for the year.

Spirit visited The Bali Major 2023, but the trip there ended in failure. The team finished in the top 12, failing to make it to the prizes.

Team Spirit made it to the Riyadh Masters 2023 directly into the group stage. The Dragons finished with a score of 8-6 and second place in Group A.

Once in the play-offs Team Spirit started their way to the grand finals. In the first match they outplayed Team Aster, after a very difficult Long Srpeg on two maps.

Next was BB Team and almost identical series: Spirit fell behind on all 3 maps, but somehow won 2-1.

In the match to reach the grand finals they played against Liquid. After giving up the first map, they cameback on the second and demolished Liquid on the third. At the Riyadh Masters 2023, Spirit were transformed into macro masters. Not least because of this, Spirit became champions of the biggest tournament of the year.

Team Spirit finished the first day of DL S21 with a score of 3-1 on mapmaps. They managed to defeat Gaimin Gladiators and also ended the match against BB Team with a draw.

Most popular Team Spirit characters

The top most chosen Team Spirit characters is headed by Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared in peak 6 times and has an 83% win rate.

Apart from Crystal Maiden, Disruptor and Underlord are also appreciated, having been peaked 5 times each with 80% winrate. There was also Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times each and has 100% wins.

Evil Geniuses Form

We continue the match analysis with the analysis of Evil Geniuses form. In this match they will play second number.

Bookmakers do not believe in the success of EG. The odds for their victory are at around 8.

This is probably the worst deficit in the entire group stage of DreamLeague Season 21. And EG have themselves to blame for this, as they have turned from a serious competitor into something average and unattractive.

In the first round of DPC 2023 SA Division 1 Evil Geniuses took the second place. It was not enough to beat Beastcoast. Later visited The Lima Major 2023, where they more than made up for the loss in their home league by finishing top 6 in the Peruvian tournament.

Then play the second round of the DPC in South America and again top 2, and again Beastcoast are ahead. However, the international scene helps again, where EG are already top 4 at ESL One Berlin Major 2023, making them the highest performing team from the region in history.

In the third DPC cycle, Evil Geniuses finally clawed their way back to the top of the regional stage. Evil Geniuses won DPC 2023: SA Division 1. And after such a good streak of high scores, EG fell face down in the mud, finishing in the top 18 at Bali Major 2023.

  • Evil Geniuses line-up: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.

Evil Geniuses made it to the Riyadh Masters 2023 thanks to ESL rankings and the merits of the past. I don't know if Bali Major 2023 was a mental breakdown or if EG really started playing so badly.

After failing at Bali Major 2023, I didn't expect anything good from EG, but EG turned it on. The Evil Geniuses closed out the first game day with a 3-1 win over 9 Pandas and finished with a draw against Team Spirit. However, it was not possible to finish what they started: at the end of Riyadh Masters 2023 Evil Geniuses finished in the Top 12, which was a so-so result.

After participating in Riyadh Masters 2023, Evil Geniuses visited BB Dacha. They failed it, finishing in the top 6 out of 8 places.

Evil Geniuses finished the first day of DreamLeague Season 21 with a score of 1-3. They lost dryly to OG, but managed to take the map from Quest Esports.

The most popular Evil Geniuses heroes

The top most popular Evil Geniuses heroes were Beastmaster and Death Prophet. Both heroes were taken 8 times each and had a 75% win rate.

Following DP and Primal Beast was Leshrac, and he was most often played in the third position. He appeared 6 times and had a 66% winrate.

In addition, Marci (5 matches, 60% wins), Templar Assassin (4 matches, 100% wins), Jakiro (4 matches, 100% lunch) were picks.

Head-to-head history

The teams have played against each other 4 times during the season. Twice the Dragons won and twice the matches came down to a draw.

Predicted result of Team Spirit vs Evil Geniuses at DreamLeague Season 21

Considering EG's debut at DreamLeague Season 21 and their recent performance in general, I don't see why they should win. Spirit look serious, play meta and confident and that should be enough for a clean win.

Bottom line: Spirit win.

Team Spirit is the 2nd team in the world ranking. At the first DPC of their region, they are ranked 2nd, passing BetBoom in front of them. At the second DPC a similar situation happens, but this time they pass HellRaisers(9 Pandas). Lima Major was pretty good, although they could have gone higher. They finished in 7th-8th place. DreamLeague finishes rather sadly. 9th-10th place in the table. Berlin Major is going through a similar trend. They take 9th-12th place. DPC have a phenomenal 3rd round, finishing with the statistics 7-0. DreamLeague S20 is also becoming successful for the team. They finished the tournament on a confident 5th place. Bali Major was not so pleasant, they ended up in 9th-12th place.

Evil Geniuses is the 17th team of the world ranking. All three rounds of DPC managed to finish only on the 2nd place, as they couldn't beat beastcoast, but the team is obviously stronger than bc, considering the results of the last majors. EG managed to take the 5th-6th position at Lima Major, although if they hadn't made stupid mistakes they could have gone even higher. Nevertheless, it's still a decent result. Dreamleague Season 19 was a bit worse, ending up in 7th place. At Berlin Major they managed to climb to the 4th place, which is a very strong achievement. DreamLeague Season 20 improved by one position compared to the previous season. They took 6th place. By Bali Major they seemed to be out of shape and took the last place in the tournament.

Spirit seemed to me very good at the tournament, while EG with Daci didn't seem to strengthen too much. I'm going to take a clean win for the favourite in this case.

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Prediction: Spirit wins!

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At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Team Spirit as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.68. Evil Geniuses chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 8.067 by bookmakers.

Team statistics in recent matches

Last MatchesTeam Spirit Evil Geniuses
5 matches (wins)42
10 matches (wins)84

The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The competitors have held 9 matches. And Team Spirit won 4 times while Evil Geniuses correspondingly became the winner 2 times.