Match Prediction: Monte - Rebels Gaming | CS2 (CS:GO)
ESL Challenger League Season 47: EuropeWelcome to EGamersWorld.
We continue to traverse the expanses of competitive Counter-Strike 2 in search of worthy matches and tournaments. And thankfully, there are plenty of them.
While IEM China 2024 takes place in Chengdu, the ESL Challenger League Season 47 matches continue online. This is an intermediate championship where TIR-2 and TIR-1.5 teams play for a bright future in the ESL ecosystem.
Group stage matches continue at the tournament, where the so-called "middle set" is being prepared for the Long Segment. And one of the central matches of this grid is a clash between Monte and Rebels Gaming.
Let's try to figure out which of the pair of European teams will be stronger and will eventually earn an important victory on the way to the play-offs.
Let's go.
Monte's form
We open our match analysis with an analysis of Monte's form. In this match they will play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.7.
Before the Long Spring IEM Cologne 2023 they had a series of unsuccessful tournaments. They finished top-16 at another CCT, this time North Europe Series #5, and top-8 at the Elisa Invitational Spring 2023.
- Monte lineup: Gizmy, ryu, Woro2k, DemQQ, kRaSnaL.
After a great run at BLAST.tv Major 2023, Monte left the headliner of that roster - BOROS - and was replaced by Astralis Talent member - Danish br0.
Monte rolled out the roster at Play-In IEM Cologne 2023, where they defeated Brazilian teams twice: first Imperial 16-9 and then FURIA 2-1 in the series. Monte beat GamerLegion in the group stage, but were unable to face more serious opponents like Heroic. IEM Cologne 2023 ended with a match against Cloud9. Monte tried, but Ledgeilie more titled club with a score of 0-2.
Before ESL Pro League Season 18 played a number of local championships. Among them were CCT Series tournaments, where Monte finished in the top 4, and top 2 at CCT North Europe Series #7, and there was also Pinnacle Cup V, where the Ukrainian club again finished in the top 4.
In the debut match at ESL Pro League Season 18 they met with the Germans from BIG. As expected, the match was equal, especially on the first two maps, but the decisive one was very lopsided: 16-5 in favour of BIG and Monte fell to the lower grid.
In the first round of the lower grid Monte played with the nominally weakest participants of Basket B - Australians from Rooster. It looked like they were going to close with a 2-0 score, but it turned out that there was no need to be happy before the time, and Monte Ledge were on the first card, but then cameback, thus turning the series in their favour.
In the previous match Monte played against MIBR. As in all other matches on ESL Pro League, the game was tense and hard, but in the end the Brazilians triumphed.
Next, Monte managed to get through the last chance net. First they outplayed Heroic with a score of 1-2, and then took revenge on MIBR.
After a real success in the group, Monte made it to the first round of play-offs. There they showed a very serious level of play, defeating Fnatic, Complexity and then Vitality. They were beaten by NaVi, winning the semi-finals 2-0.
Before playing at Roobet Cup 2023, Monte played at IEM Sydney 2023, where they showed a pretty good, but not perfect, game. Monte finished the Sydney tournament at the top-8 stage.
Monte played their debut match at Roobet Cup 2023 against OG. They won 2-0, running over their opponents on class.
Monte qualified for the Roobet Cup 2023 play-offs after a solid win over NiP. The match, by the way, was very intense, although it ended 2-0, the two maps were a struggle: 13-11 Overpass, 16-14 Mirage.
In the quarter-finals Monte faced Movistar Riders. The Ukrainian club defeated their Spanish counterparts 2-0. Then there was another victory over Aurora, but in a more difficult match (2-1 in favour of Monte). But the Roobet Cup 2023 grand final was not enough. Monte met Vp, gave a fight, but lost with a score of 1-2.
In parallel with the game at Roobet Cup 2023 Monte played at Thunderpick World Championship 2023, where at the time of writing this betting thread they were waiting for their semi-final opponent.
In the first High Group match at ESL Challenger Season 46, the team played against a tough French ѕtask Looking4Org. So tough that those won with a score of 2-1.
In the last match of the group stage Monte faced SINNERS Esports. Being the clear favourite to win, the Ukrainian club lost to the Czechs somehow toothlessly, thus sending themselves to the first round of the lower net. As a result, Monte withdrew from the tournament due to a busy schedule.
Next, the club had a very good Challenger in Atlanta, where they managed to reach the top 4, a failed IEM Katowice 2024 with a final top 12 and a win at RES Eastern European Masters: Spring 2024 with a subsequent appearance at BLAST Spring Showdown.
At PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B started with a loss to ECSTATIC, then beat NEXUS and then Ledge and Apeks. It all ended with a loss to Astralis.
Monte then finished in the Top 12 at RES European Series #1 and Top 8 at BLAST Premier: Spring Showdown 2024. After that Monte were supposed to play at IEM China 2024, but didn't make it there due to travel problems, so they started playing ESL Challenger League Season 47 to the best of their ability, but it didn't work out so well. In the first group, Monte finished in the top 4, barely making it to the "middle grid".
Mapule Monte
Monte's best map is Ancient. There Monte has 7 wins in 9 matches. However, Mirage can also be called a signature choice for the Ukrainian club: it has been played 13 times and won 10 of them.
Things are not bad on Anubis, where Monte has 8 wins and 4 losses.
The worst is Vertigo. There Monte have a statistic of 2-4.
Rebels Gaming form
Rebels Gaming cannot be called a top club. At most, the Poles claim to be a mid-table club, without much, at first glance, prospects.
Before the Long match IEM Katowice 2024, the main tournament in the history of the club, the team is on the 118th line of the world ranking HLTV. The Poles got there thanks to their performance in local championships, which Rebels have not much in their portfolio.
Rebels Gaming played at three events in total. These were mostly qualifying tournaments and various qualifications. So the Poles played at ESL Challenger League Season 46 Europe Relegation, where they took TOP-6, then - ESL Pro League Season 19 NC Europe Qualifier and finally - qualifiers for PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Europe RMR Open Qualifier 4, where they took TOP-9/16.
- Rebels Gaming roster: innocent, casey, olimp, Flayy, kisserek.
The headliner of the team and one of the most experienced shooters is Flayy. The 18-year-old Pole has a kda of 1.11, which is the highest among his teammates.
At IEM Katowice 2024 Rebels have already made a local sensation. They managed to overcome the Play-In stage, leaving behind Cloud9 and M80, which is clearly the best performance of the Poles in the history of the club. However, they failed to jump above their heads and the team finished the tournament in TOP-16, but they gained important experience.
Directly at ESL Challenger League Season 47 the team started from Group C, where they finished top-4 with a score of 2-3. This was enough to advance to the "middle grid", where Rebels defeated B8 Esports in the first match.
Rebels Gaming Mappool
Rebels Gaming's top 1 map in the last 3 months is Mirage. Rebels Gaming has a mind-blowing winrate of 92% with 13 games played.
They also played on Inferno, where they won 5 matches out of 7 games. Nuke is also in plus winrate, where the "ninjas" have 3 wins from 5 matches.
The most not favoured card for Rebels Gaming will be Vertigo. There they have 6 cards and only 1 win.
History of head-to-head meetings Monte - Rebels Gaming
Previously, the teams have not played each other in official matches.
Predicted result of the match Rebels Gaming - Monte at ESL Challenger League Season 47
From this match I expect a roughly equal game. Although Monte look more status than Rebels, after relatively recent changes in the squad they have clearly lost their strength, which affects their performance. However, the problems should not prevent them from taking the series here, but I think it will be a full-fledged Bo3.
Bottom line: Monte wins 2-1.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Monte are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 1.572. Rebels Gaming, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 2.313.
How did the participants perform in the last matches
Last Matches | Monte | Rebels Gaming |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 4 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The teams played 0 matches with each other before. In these battles Monte got 0 victories while Rebels Gaming managed to take 0 matches.