Match Prediction: Vitality - OG | CS2 (CS:GO)
ESL Pro League Season 17Vitality and OG will meet in the semi-finals of the ESL Pro League Season 17 group stage. Here, the teams will determine who will definitely go to the playoffs and have a chance to fight for a direct trip to the quarterfinals, and who will fall back to the bottom net.
To be honest, it's difficult to compare the teams' starting results, because the opponents were of completely different levels. However, it is worth understanding that the French team left no questions asked, while OG nearly lost the 00NATION card.
Moreover, Vitality did not lose much due to changes in the line-up, while the European team could not say the same about the European team. I admit that in some moments OG will have chances to cling to the result, but in general the team is noticeably inferior to the opponent.
Therefore, here I would look out for a logical win for Vitality, who in their current form should cope with an unstable and inconsistent opponent.
Vitality's form
The world number six team played well in the January BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2023 where they got three wins in their group, including beating the Danes from Heroic.
However, at the next IEM Katowice 2023, Vitality had problems, as after the opening victories over Ninjas in Pyjamas and fnatic, the boys showed nothing. As a result, the team lost to Heroic and Team Liquid, dropping out of the quarterfinals already.
However, at the start of the group stage of ESL Pro League Season 17, the French team did not see any resistance from Grayhound Gaming. Understandably, you can't judge an opponent like that, but ZywOo was particularly good.
Vitality's latest results:
- A 2-0 win over Ninjas in Pyjamas.
- Victory over fnatic with a score of 2-1.
- Defeat to Heroic by a score of 0-2.
- Defeat to Team Liquid, 1-2.
- Beat Grayhound Gaming 2-0.
Top cards for Vitality:
- Vertigo - 100% wins.
- Inferno - 67% wins.
- Nuke - 60% wins.
- Overpass - 60% wins.
Let's not forget that the French team continues to give up on the Ancient map.
OG shape
The world's eighth ranked team failed in the group stage of IEM Katowice 2023, where after a hard-fought victory over MOUZ they suffered two straight defeats to avoid making the playoffs.
Immediately afterwards, the European squad not only lost their captain, but also took part in the closed qualification for the BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Europe RMR, where they completed the task with one mistake.
As for the start in the group stage of ESL Pro League Season 17, OG outplayed 00NATION here, although the team frankly bounced back and did not deserve to win at the peak of their opponent.
OG's latest results:
- Victory over JANO with a score of 19-17.
- A 10-16 loss to HEET.
- A 16-13 win over Anonymo Esports.
- Beat Aurora Gaming 2-0.
- A 2-0 win over 00NATION.
Best OG cards:
- Anubis - 67% wins.
- Mirage - 64% wins.
- Overpass - 60% wins.
- Ancient - 57% wins.
In turn, the European squad continues to take no chances on the Nuke card.
Vitality - OG encounter statistics
Within the last season, the teams held three meetings:
- Vitality's victory in the BLAST Premier Fall Groups 2022 by a score of 16-11.
- Vitality's 2-1 win at the IEM Rio Major 2022 Challengers Stage.
- OG win at the BLAST Premier World Final 2022 2-0.
The teams played most often on the Inferno map.
Vitality vs OG
It is likely that we will see Mirage and Vertigo, which are optimal for each team. However, objectively, OG doesn't have many chances to end the meeting with success.
First, the loss of the captain is a serious thing. Second, niko is a fairly average player who does not provide any useful features. Third, zonic's wards didn't lose at all when playing with JACKZ.
All in all, there aren't a lot of options. Therefore, in this case, I would recommend to bet on Vitality's team victory with a handicap over the rounds (-5.5).
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Vitality as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.235. OG chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 4.992 by bookmakers.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Vitality | OG |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 4 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 7 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The teams played 10 matches with each other before. And Vitality won 7 times while OG correspondingly became the winner 3 times.