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We continue to follow the festival of high quality Counter-Strike 2 at PGL Astana 2025. The group stage is in full swing, with 16 teams playing for 8 play-offs.
MIBR and paiN are among those who want to get through. The Brazilian derby will take place in the 1-2 bracket, which means that there is no margin for error.
Let's see how the Brazilian derby will end and which of the pair paiN - MIBR will keep the chance to qualify for the play-offs.
Let's go.
Form paiN Gaming
Let's open the analysis of the match paiN - MIBR with the analysis of paiN's form. In this match they play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.7.
The paiN Gaming club has played a lot of tournaments in 2024, among which there were results. However, no special results were achieved.
By far the most significant was PGL Major Copenhagen 2024, where paiN managed to show character and a good game. They were just enough for the top 9-11, but even that is a good result.
Where paiN shine is on the home stage. The club has essentially dominated the Latin American scene, consistently winning B-tier tournaments. Such was the case at RES Latin American Series #4, Global Esports Tour Rio de Janeiro 2024, where they earned $100,000 for the win.
- The lineup of paiN Gaming: biguzera, lux, kauez, nqz, snow.
Landmark results include a pass at IEM Cologne 2024. Passed through home qualifications.
IEM Cologne 2024 paiN Gaming started with a loss in the match against Liquid (0-2). Further, already in the lower grid, the team won against compatriots from Imperial (2-1). At the end of IEM Cologne 2024 the team took the top 8.
Later, paiN Gaming played at BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024, where they finished at the already "classic" for themselves TOP-8.
Before playing at PW Shanghai Major 2024, paiN Gaming visited Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024, where they finished in TOP-16, and ESL Challenger Katowice 2024, where they finished in TOP-4. The team made it directly to PW Shanghai Major 2024 thanks to a 3-1 score at American RMR.
At PW Shanghai Major 2024: Opening Stage paiN started their journey with a win over Imperial. Then they lost to GamerLegion, but then beat C9 and FlyQuest. Elimination Stage opened with a loss to MOUZ, followed by Ledgeili and 3DMax. In the match for life at Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024, paiN defeated BIG.
At the main stage of PW Shanghai Major 2024, paiN won 1-3, thus finishing in the top 14.
paiN opened the 2025 season with an appearance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. They managed to overcome qualification by beating GamerLegion and FaZe. In the play-offs of the tournament they met NaVi, where they were close to victory, but Ledgeili with the score 1-2, thus taking the top 6.
paiN visited IEM Katowice 2025, where they played at their level, i.e. top-20. At PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 things went much better: paiN played the group stage of the tournament with a score of 3-1, defeating Astralis, Falcons and Vp, and lost only to MongolZ, and that in a fight. However, they didn't have enough energy for the play-offs: Ledge and MOUZ were defeated in the first round, leaving the championship in the top 8.
At the ESL Pro League Season 21, Long Sogpeg started from the first stage of the group stage, where they played with the score 3-2. Once in the top 16, paiN lost to G2 and NaVi, but won against GamerLegion. However, they didn't manage to play long: they lost to Eternal Fire and were relegated to the TOP-14.
PGL Bucharest 2025 Long We started with a defeat by Aurora (ex-Eternal Fire). Then losses from FaZe and Falcons and final TOP-16.
After the failed PGL Bucharest 2025 they visited IEM Melbourne 2025, where they showed the same result. Nameless TOP-16.
At PGL Astana 2025 paiN Long Sogpeg with a win over HOTU, followed by Ledgeili Astralis and ODDIK.
Mappool paiN Gaming
The top 1 map paiN gaming has had in the last 3 months is Mirage. L4O has a mind-blowing 92% winrate with 13 games played.
They also played on Inferno, where they won 5 matches out of 7 games. In plus winrate and Nuke, where with 5 matches and 3 wins.
The most not favoured card for paiN Gaming will be Vertigo. There they have 6 maps and only 1 win.
MIBR Form.
We continue the analysis of the match MIBR - paiN with the analysis of MIBR's game form. In this match they play as an outsider with odds to win around 2.
In 2023, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at the Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2023. At that time, the Brazilians finished in the top 20. Then there were several qualifications, including the IEM Rio Masters 2023. At the Rio itself, they finished Top 16, but before that they won several B-tier tournaments, including ESL Challenger Season 44: North America and CCT North America Series #4.
At the S-tier championships, as unlucky as they were. ESL Pro League Season 17 had a top-28 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and a top-8 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR, which prevented them from qualifying for the only Major of the season.
- Composition mibr: exit, insani, drop, saffee, lucaozy.
Prior to the ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr attended a number of other tournaments. ESL Challenger League Season 45, followed by Top 1 there. But at CCT North Europe Series #6, CCT Online Finals #2 and Gamers8 2023 the successes were more modest: TOP-5-8 and TOP-16 respectively.
In the first match of ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr faced MOUZ, the only match of the first round that didn't end in favour of the favourite, as the Brazilians managed to flick MOUZ 2-1.
In the match to qualify for the play-offs, Mibr met ENCE. Despite the different weight classes, the Brazilian five gave ENCE serious competition: two matches ended on dopas (18-22 on Vertigo in favour of ENCE and 19-17 on Anubis), but on Ancient the Brazilians were edged 11-16, thus falling to the lower net.
In the previous match, MIBR played against Ukrainian club Monte. Not without problems, but MIBR closed the series with the score 2-1 in their favour. However, they failed to move further and as a result - TOP-20.
In the season 2024 MIBR did not have the stars in the sky. The team failed the American RMR and held a series of very unproductive tournaments. They finished in the top 6 at BB Dacha, ESL Challengers 47 SA, ESL Challengers at DreamHack 2024. At CCT Season 1 Global Finals and CCT Season 2 South America it was worse - top 12.
MIBR performed at Esports World Cup 2024, where they failed to make it through the Opening Stage. As a result - TOP-15. They also visited IEM Cologne 2024, where they played in a similar way - TOP-20
MIBR made it to PW Shanghai Major 2024 after playing at American RMR, where they finished TOP-1-2, beating Complexity. PW Shanghai Major 2024: Opening Stage Long They started with an important win over Vp, but then lost to The MongolZ and Passion UA, and then defeated Rare Atom. In the 2-2 basket, the team faced MOUZ, where they lost, thus finishing PW Shanghai Major 2024 in the top 12, which is still not a bad result.
In the 2025 season, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. There MIBR was not very lucky and the Brazilians ended up in TOP-17-32, losing in the first round of qualifiers. Next was a similar IEM Katowice 2025, where MIBR took TOP-20. From the top tournaments they also attended PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, where they took TOP-14.
At ESL Pro League Season 21 they debuted with the score 1-1. In the 2-1 basket, they qualified after beating FURIA. In the match for the next round they defeated TYLOO, thus ending the stage with a score of 3-1. However, the joy ended literally immediately in the next round. MIBR won stage 2 with a score of 0-3, leaving the tournament at the Top 16.
Attended IEM Melbourne 2025, which was (so far) one of MIBR's top performances of the season. They finished in TOP-12, which is not a good result.
MIBR beat G2 Esports at PGL Astana 2025, but later lost to MongolZ and FURIA.
MIBR Mapple
mibr has a fairly narrow pool of cards. Among the most popular are Mirage and Nuke (2 matches and 50% wins on each).
Next is Anubis (5 matches, 2 wins). Among the worst are Inferno and Ancient (3 matches each and 1 win).
History of head-to-head meetings paiN - MIBR
This will be the 6th match between the teams for the last year and the first for the 2025 season. MIBR have not won.
Predicted result of the match MIBR - paiN on PGL Astana 2025
In this match I expect a close game. Despite paiN's unquestionable lead in head-to-head matches against MIBR, the latter look much better at PGL Astana 2025. I am waiting for a full-fledged Bo3.
Bottom line: total +2.5.
