Match Prediction: Complexity Gaming - OG | CS2 (CS:GO)

Welcome to EGamersWorld.

The IEM Cologne 2023 Play-In breakdown continues. We are at the Play-In stage of the biggest summer tournament with a prize pool of $1,000,000.

In the Play-In 16 teams are trying to make it to the group stage to challenge the top clubs like Heroic, Vitality, FaZe, G2, NaVi and others. Only half of the participants will be able to do so.

Already today in Cologne the matches for life will begin. All of them will be held in Bo3 format, and one of them will be a clash between Complexity and OG.

The battle between North America and Europe promises to be The International heresy. Nominally, the two teams are roughly on equal footing, which makes their face-to-face meeting should be close.

Let's see who will be eliminated in the end, and who will have to play against the loser of the Apeks/Astralis pairing.

Let's go.

Complexity Form

Let's open the match analysis by analysing Complexity's form. In this match the team will play as favourites.

However, they can be called a favourite only by a stretch. The odds for victory from bookmakers are at around 1.7.

Such a figure speaks about the actual parity in this confrontation. In principle, we can agree with this.

Complexity are on the 19th line of the world ranking. They got there thanks to their performance during the season.

And it was, frankly speaking, so bad. CoL are remembered for their top 4 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR.

At the top tournaments, including the Blast Paris Major 2023, CoL were the back of the pack. The team finished in the top 21-28 at EPL S17, and at Major e it was top 20.

CoL started playing a little better in the second half of the year. They were already top six at BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023.

• Complexity's lineup: EliGe, JT, floppy, hallzerk, Grim.

The newcomer to CoL is EliGE. The North American CSGO legend joined CoL a month ago, but has already managed to become the leader of the team in KDA with 1.10 rating.

However, the legendary cap did not help CoL to cope with its first Play-In opponent. Ledge Americans beat Fnatic at Inferno with a score of 17-19.

Complexity's Mappool

Complexity's map roll is pretty sad. The most successful map is Overpass with 5 wins in 9 matches.

They can also play Nuke, Ancient and Anubis. But they have 33% wins each, with a very poor record of 6 and 3 maps respectively.

OG Form.

Let's move on to the OG form. The Europeans are the nominal outsider of the match.

The odds for an OG win are at around 1.9. Again, this is almost parity.

The 55th team of the world ranking cannot boast of big wins. OG played a lot of places during the season, but there are no results at all.

Among the most high-profile - 7th place on BLAST.tv European RMR A and passage to the Major tournament, but the failure directly in Paris. At the actual Paris Major 2023 the club took TOP-22.

Among the A Crossovers, we can mention only Brazy Party. The commercial tournament ended for OG at the stage of TOP-4, which was the best result for the whole year.

Before IEM Cologne 2023, OG failed to qualify for the last chance at Gamers8, and finished in the top 12 at BLAST Premier: Fall 2023 Groups.

• OG lineup: nexa, F1KU, FASHR, k1to, regali .

The latest replacements in the form of FASHR, k1to and Regali joining the team a month ago are not paying off yet. The Frenchman and the German have ratings below 0.89 and 0.94 and this is the worst among the team, which, however, does not shine with bright personalities.

Despite the dismal statistics of the players in recent months, in the first match against 9INE OG looked good, although they failed to get the win. They lost to the Poles on Overpass with a score of 17-19.

OG Mapple

The only map where OG have won in the last 3 months is Mirage. They won against BIG, but 2 losses later.

They tried to make something up on Inferno and Ancient, but they lost twice there and also lost to Overpass.

History of head-to-head matches

Previously, the teams played each other in 2022. In the updated lineups, however, there were no face-to-face matches.

Predicted result of the match OG - Complexity

To be honest, it is very difficult to pick a winner in such a match. Both teams showed roughly equal play in their first matches and it's hard for me to pick a winner here.

I prefer to take the total +2.5, as I think it is the most realistic outcome.

Bottom line: total +2.5.