Match Prediction: Complexity Gaming - Falcons | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Katowice 2024Welcome to EGamersWorld.
The first grand tournament of the 2024 season is gaining momentum. IEM Katowice at Spodek Arena continues with the group stage matches.
Today we are talking about Group A, where 6 teams are left in the race for $1,000,000 and 3 slots for the main top tournaments of the year (Esports World Championship, IEM Cologne 2024 and BLAST Premier: World Final 2024). Among them are Falcons and Complexity.
We talk about the Falcons and Complexity matchup from the perspective of a lower grid match. Let's find out which of them will be stronger and will go to the next stage of Group A, where they will wait for the winner of NaVi - Eternal Fire.
Let's go.
Complexity Form
Let's start the match analysis with Complexity's form. In this match the American club will play as favourites, with odds to win at 1.8.
Complexity results
At top tournaments, including Blast Paris Major 2023, CoL have been on the back foot. The team finished in the top 21-28 at EPL S17, while at Major e it was top 20.
CoL started playing a little better in the second half of the year. They were already top six at BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023.
- Complexity's lineup: EliGe, JT, floppy, hallzerk, Grim.
CoL's "newcomer" was EliGE. The North American CSGO legend joined CoL a month ago, but has already managed to become the leader of the team in KDA with 1.10 rating.
Complexity played at IEM Masters Cologne 2023, where they finished early. CoL crashed out at the Long Cogner Play-In, losing to OG and finishing in the top 24.
CoL partially overcame their failure by winning the local Thunderpick World Championship 2023: North America Series #2. They defeated Nouns in the grand finals.
In the first match at the EPL S18 Complexity faced 9INE. The Poles put up a good fight, but couldn't pull out a win - the result was 2-1 in favour of CoL.
In the match to come here Complexity surprised, perhaps, everyone. They ran over Cloud9 with an ice rink, closing the series 2-0 in their favour.
They didn't manage to play long in the play-offs. CoL went straight to the second round of the main stage, but there they lost to Monte with a 1-2 score, finishing in the top-12.
Before the IEM Sydney 2023 Long Convergence, Monte fuelled themselves with a win on American Blast. They defeated Team Liquid 2-0 in the grand final of the qualifier, thus earning themselves a place at the autumn finals.
In the first round of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL played against Monte. Ukrainian club gave a fight, but the forces were enough only for 9 rounds.
Next, the Americans met with the "samurai" from G2 Esports. They gave a fight, but it was not enough: as a result, G2 closed the series with a score of 2-0, giving the Americans a total of 14 rounds.
After the defeat from G2 in the group stage, Complexity seemed to go off the chain: the club started to gain momentum and go head-to-head: first 2-1 against Cloud9, then a confident 2-0 against Monte, and then - play-offs. In the main stage of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL ran over BB Team (2-0) in the first round, and in the semi-finals they avenged their group loss to G2 Esports by knocking M0nesy and company out of the tournament with a 2-0 win.
After a top performance at IEM Sydney 2023, CoL travelled to play Thunderpick World Championship 2023. There the result was more modest - now top 9 with a 1-2 loss to MOUZ.
At BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 Complexity got into Group A, where they played two matches. In the first, they beat Astralis 2-0, followed by Ledge and Vitality (1-2) in the play-offs seeding match.
In the first round of play-offs Complexity played against Natus Vincere. The match ended in favour of the Americans, although the game was close (2-1).
CoL finished their way through BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 in the second round of the play-offs, and fell out after a meeting with FaZe. As a result, CoL finished in the top 4 at BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 and lost their chance to play at the World Final.
Next up was Elisa Masters Espoo 2023 and ESL Challenger at DreamHack Atlanta 2023. At the former CoL finished in the top 8, and at the latter they finished in the top 6.
The 2024 season started with a victory at the American PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: North American Qualifier, but then - failure. It happened at the BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024 tournament, where the Americans finished in the top 16.
IEM Katowice 2024 CoL started with a rather difficult win over Apeks (13-9; 13-11), but then - a scoreless 0-2 defeat to Team Spirit.
Complexity's mappool
Complexity's mappool is pretty sad. The most successful map is Overpass with 5 wins in 9 matches.
They can also play Nuke, Ancient and Anubis. But there they have 33% wins each, with a very poor record of 6 and 3 maps respectively.
Team Falcons uniforms
Let's continue the match analysis with Team Falcons' form. In this match, the Saudi club plays as the number two with odds to win at around 2. In general, the gap is small.
Falcons results
The 11th team of the HLTV world ranking shows rather "smeared" results. The 2023 season can be called a failure.
All 2023 Falcons were, as they say, in search of themselves. They started the professional season by playing at B-Tier tournaments: Thunderpick Bitcoin Series #2, OMEN WRG Challenge 2023 and CCT West Europe Series #1. At the first two, they celebrated a top-2 finish, and at the more prestigious CCT, a top-8 finish.
Later tried to make it to the Paris Major . Had two attempts, at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR A and BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR B. Both were unsuccessful: top-11 and top-6.
In the middle of the year, Falcons continued to bang their heads against the wall. Top-13 at ESL Challenge League Season 45: Europe, Top-10 at ESL Championnat National Spring 2023 and Top-24 at Thunderpick World Championship 2023: European Series #1.
Tried to qualify for IEM Sydney 2023, but fell off at the top-64 stage in the open qualifiers. As a Saudi Arabian club they got a slot at Gamers8 2023, where they played to the best of their ability, which is Top 16.
- Falcons line-up: BOROS, Snappi, Magisk, maden, SunPayus.
At the end of the year Falcons tried to put together DreamTeam. So far they are not doing so well, because they failed in the first tournament with the new squad. That was BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024, where the team finished top-12.
At IEM Katowice 2024 they got to the IEM Katowice 2024 by ESL Ranking points. There they were ranked in the top 10 before the tournament's Long Shogpeg, but for what merits - a big mystery.
IEM Katowice 2024 Falcons started with a defeat against the best team of Turkey - Eternal Fire. After losing to the Turks, the Falcons were close to crashing out of the tournament in a lower bracket match against Rebels, but managed to stay afloat thanks to a 2-1 win.
Falcons Mappool
The best mapped Falcons is Nuke (1 game, 1 win). Next is Ancient (1 win, 1 loss).
Among the unfavourable maps for Falcons are Vertigo and Anubis. They have 3 matches and 1 win on the former, while Anubis has 1 loss.
Head-to-head history
The teams have not played each other in head-to-head matches before. This will be their first experience of playing each other.
Predicted result of Falcons - Complexity at IEM Katowice 2024
In this match I am definitely on the side of CoL. I mentioned in previous match analyses that I don't consider Falcons to be a TIR-1 club and I don't believe in their prospects. Not that CoL is a guarantee of stability, but against the Saudis, they look preferable.
Bottom line: Complexity wins.
Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Complexity Gaming is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.987. This number in the favor of Falcons amounts 2.201. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
How did the participants perform in the last matches
Last Matches | Complexity Gaming | Falcons |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 4 |
Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 0 matches with each other. In these matches Complexity Gaming won 0 times, Falcons active consisits of 0 wins.