Match Prediction: Eternal Fire - FURIA | Counter-Strike (CS2)

Eternal Fire and FURIA Esports will compete with each other in the second match of the first gaming day in Group D of ESL Pro League Season 16. In this case, it will be interesting to analyze the match, as experts from bookmakers give odds on FURIA Esports 1.48, which equates to 63% chance of winning. It's not 80%, not 75%, not 70% or even 65%, which suggests that the favorites of the meeting may fail. How likely is this possibility? We will get this answer during the analysis and understand how it would be better to bet in this case.

Eternal Fire Game Uniform

The Turkish team with famous MAJ3R, XANTARES and woxic is on the 29th place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters in the world according to HLTV. I would like to note in a special way that the team played in ten matches in September and won eight of them, which indicates a good game form. The Turks failed at CCT Central Europe Series 1, but later took first place at ESA Supremes Fall 2022 and the closed qualifier at ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022. There, the team beat opponents such as 1WIN, forZe, Sprout and Entropiq. Of course, they are far from FURIA Esports in terms of the level of play, but this is already an indicator that Eternal Fire are in good shape.

As for the map pool, EF has quite good performance in this regard. The team has a 100% win rate on Ancient, although this doesn't make much sense since only 1 match was played. But on Dust 2 and Inferno, the indicator is already more objective. 88.9% and 71.4% in each of them, and this is when played 9 and 7 times, respectively. On Nuke, Vertigo, Overpass and Mirage, the roster did not play very often, but each of them has a win rate of 50%, which is not bad at all.

History of recent encounters with Eternal Fire

ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022 Europe Closed Qualifier

• Eternal Fire 2-0 Entropiq
• Eternal Fire 2-0 Iron Branch
• Eternal Fire 2-0 1WIN
• Eternal Fire 2-1 Sprout
• Eternal Fire 2-0 forZe
• Eternal Fire 1-2 1WIN

ESA Supremes Fall 2022

• Eternal Fire 3-0 Brosskiez
• Eternal Fire 2-1 gothboiclique
• Eternal Fire 2-0 Peace of Heroes

CCT Central Europe Series 1

• Eternal Fire 1-2 Enterprise

Best Eternal Fire Maps

• Ancient (1 card) - 100%
• Dust 2 (9 cards) - 88.9%
• Inferno (7 cards) - 71.4%
• Nuke (12 cards) - 58.3%
• Vertigo (8 cards) - 50%
• Overpass (6 cards) - 50%
• Mirage (4 cards) - 50%

FURIA Esports uniform

FURIA Esports is the 13th team in the ranking from HLTV. ArT and his teammates last performed on the professional stage in July. Then they took part in ESL Challenger Valencia 2022 and Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2022. In the tournament in Valencia, the team did not win a single match, although they played against Sprout and 00NATION. The team ended up finishing in 7th-8th place. As for IEM Cologne 2022, the Brazilians also took 7-8th position in the standings, but before that they beat Outsiders and Team Spirit. However, the roster lost against Astralis and Team Liquid.

The fact that arT and the company never played in August and September is bad enough and could play a decisive role in making a further decision.

The team also has not the best performance on all maps. Overpass and Vertigo have the strongest indicator. Both there and there the roster has a win rate of 66.7%, although they played 3 cards each. On Inferno, the win rate is 50%, and on Mirage it is 25%. It’s better not to play on Ancient and Nuke, as they didn’t manage to achieve a single victory there, although they played 3 and 2 maps respectively. The team does not play Dust 2 at all.

Match history FURIA Esports

IEM Cologne 2022

• FURIA Esports 0-2 Team Liquid
• FURIA Esports 2-1 Team Spirit
• FURIA Esports 2-0 Outsiders
• FURIA Esports 0-2 Astralis

ESL Challenger Valencia 2022

• FURIA Esports 0-200NATION
• FURIA Esports 10-16 Sprout

Best FURIA Esports cards

• Overpass (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Vertigo (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Inferno (4 cards) - 50%
• Mirage (4 cards) - 25%
• Ancient (3 cards) - 0%
• Nuke (2 cards) - 0%

Conclusion

As I said earlier, FURIA Esports did not play a single match in August and September, and this can play a cruel joke on the Brazilians. Therefore, according to the bookmakers, the probability of their victory is 63%, and not 70 or higher. On the one hand, this leads to thoughts about the possible victory of Eternal Fire or the fact that you can bet on a total of more than 2.5 cards. However, I believe that the best solution in this situation would be to bet on Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of Eternal Fire.

Most likely, the meeting will end with a score of 2-1 in favor of FURIA Esports, as evidenced by the statistics on the choice of maps of the participants in the meeting, however, Handicap +1.5 map on EF seems to be a good solution. The coefficient for this outcome is 1.45. Not as much as we would like, but still the risk is not very high.

Final bet: Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of Eternal Fire with odds of 1.45