Match Prediction: Monte - Complexity Gaming | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Sydney 2023Welcome to EGamersWorld.
IEM Sydney 2023 continues with the group stage. We're talking about the Group B clash between Complexity and Monte, who will play each other for a place in the IEM Sydney 2023 play-offs.
The International match is interesting not only because of the play-offs, but also because of the history of head-to-head matches. Monte and CoL have already partially formed their own storyline and the viewers benefit from it.
We will try to figure out who will be stronger in this match and who will be one of the 6 teams playing in the play-offs of the first major CS2 tournament.
Let's go.
Form Monte
We will open the match analysis with the analysis of Monte's form. In this match, the Ukrainian club plays in the status of the favourite with a minimal gap: the odds for victory are at 1.87.
Monte almost never miss tournaments, hence their performances in a lot of TIR-2 events. There are both failures, such as the top-16 at CCT South Europe Series #3, and victories, such as at CCT West Europe Series #2 and CCT Central Europe Series #5.
However, Monte became famous thanks to his performance at BLAST.tv Paris Major. At the Paris Major, unexpectedly for many, Monte made it to the top 8, but in the first match of play-offs Ledge and GamerLegion.
Before the Long Cologne IEM Cologne 2023 they had a series of unsuccessful tournaments. They finished top-16 at the next CCT, this time North Europe Series #5, and top-8 at the Elisa Invitational Spring 2023.
- Monte lineup: sdy, br0, Woro2k, DemQQ, kRaSnaL .
After a great run at BLAST.tv Major 2023, Monte left the headliner of that roster - BOROS, and was replaced by Astralis Talent member - Danish br0.
Monte rolled out the roster at Play-In IEM Cologne 2023, where they defeated Brazilian teams twice: first Imperial 16-9 and then FURIA 2-1 in the series. Monte beat GamerLegion in the group stage, but were unable to face more serious opponents like Heroic. IEM Cologne 2023 ended with a match against Cloud9. Monte tried, but Ledgeilie more titled club with a score of 0-2.
Before ESL Pro League Season 18 played a number of local championships. Among them were CCT Series tournaments, where Monte finished in the top 4, and top 2 at CCT North Europe Series #7, and there was also Pinnacle Cup V, where the Ukrainian club again finished in the top 4.
In the debut match at ESL Pro League Season 18 they met with the Germans from BIG. As expected, the match was equal, especially on the first two maps, but the decisive one was very lopsided: 16-5 in favour of BIG and Monte fell to the lower grid.
In the first round of the lower grid Monte played with the nominally weakest participants of Basket B - Australians from Rooster. It looked like they were going to close with a 2-0 score, but it turned out that there was no need to be happy before the time, and Monte Ledge were on the first card, but then cameback, thus turning the series in their favour.
In the previous match Monte played against MIBR. As in all other matches on ESL Pro League, the game was tense and hard, but in the end the Brazilians triumphed.
Next, Monte managed to get through the last chance net. First they outplayed Heroic with a score of 1-2, and then took revenge on MIBR.
After a real success in the group, Monte made it to the first round of play-offs. There they showed a very serious level of play, defeating Fnatic, Complexity and then Vitality. They were beaten by NaVi, winning the semi-finals 2-0.
In the first match of IEM Sydney 2023 Monte played against Americans from Complexity. Monte failed to get their act together and lost with a score of 9-13, giving up quite a few clutch kills for the game.
Next Monte played against Grayhound Gaming, sending the Australians home. The Ukrainian team beat GG on class with the score 2-0.
Next up was a match against Fnatic. The Oranges caused trouble on one map, which they took, but the result was 2-1 in Monte's favour.
Mappool Monte
Monte's best map is Ancient. There Monte has 7 wins in 9 matches. However, Mirage can also be called a signature choice for the Ukrainian club: it has been played 13 times and won 10 of them.
Things are not bad on Anubis, where Monte has 8 wins and 4 losses.
The worst is Vertigo. There Monte have a statistic of 2-4.
Complexity Form
We continue the match analysis with the analysis of Complexity's form. In this match they will have to play as the number two, but again - the gap is minimal.
At top tournaments, including Blast Paris Major 2023, CoL have been trailing at the back. The team finished top 21-28 at EPL S17, and at Major e it was top 20.
CoL started playing a little better in the second half of the year. They were already top six at BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023.
- Complexity's lineup: EliGe, JT, floppy, hallzerk, Grim.
CoL's "newcomer" was EliGE. The North American CSGO legend joined CoL a month ago, but has already managed to become the leader of the team in KDA with 1.10 rating.
Complexity played at IEM Masters Cologne 2023, where they finished early. CoL crashed out at the Long Cogner Play-In, losing to OG and finishing in the top 24.
CoL partially overcame their failure by winning the local Thunderpick World Championship 2023: North America Series #2. They defeated Nouns in the grand finals.
In the first match at the EPL S18 Complexity faced 9INE. The Poles put up a good fight, but couldn't pull out a win - the result was 2-1 in favour of CoL.
In the match to come here Complexity surprised, perhaps, everyone. They ran over Cloud9 with a roller skating rink, closing the series 2-0 in their favour.
They didn't manage to play long in the play-offs. CoL went straight to the second round of the main stage, but there they lost to Monte with a 1-2 score, finishing in the top-12.
Before the IEM Sydney 2023 Long Convergence, Monte fuelled themselves with a win on American Blast. They defeated Team Liquid 2-0 in the grand final of the qualifier, thus earning themselves a place at the autumn finals.
In the first round of iEM Sydney 2023 CoL played against Monte. Ukrainian club gave a fight, but the forces were enough only for 9 rounds.
Next, the Americans met with the "samurai" from G2 Esports. They gave a fight, but it was not enough: as a result, G2 closed the series with a score of 2-0, giving the Americans a total of 14 rounds.
Complexity's mappool
Complexity's map roll is pretty sad. The most successful map is Overpass with 5 wins in 9 matches.
They can also play Nuke, Ancient and Anubis. But they have 33% wins each, with a very poor record of 6 and 3 maps respectively.
Head-to-head history
The teams have played each other several times before. In the ESL Pro League play-offs Monte won (2-1), but at iEM Sydney they won already CoL, but it was bo1.
Predicted result of Monte vs CoL at IEM Sydney 2023
In this match I expect a close game and creative solutions from both sides. As far as I'm concerned, this is exactly the series where we will see a full-fledged bo3.
Bottom line: total +2.5.