How should the effects of weather conditions be considered in football betting?
Yuriy SheremetHundreds of thousands of football matches are hosted in the world every day. Weather changes are a daily thing in every country, championship, or tournament. In some cases, weather conditions have a negative impact on a possible result of the match, which will prevent you from making the right bet.
Obviously, dozens of aspects are considered in an analysis of sports events. Weather conditions are not exceptions to the rules in this case.
We will consider how weather influences the results of football matches in today’s article.
The influence of cold weather on the result of matches
Cold does not have a big impact on the future results of matches in the leading national championships. The primary reason is the use of heating technologies at a stadium, which helps football players to play football even in severe frost without fear of getting ill or cold during the match.
Cold weather influenced the primary aspects in weak championships and even European cups:
- The horrible play by the favorites of matches, mainly in away matches;
- Low results.
In the first case, cold weather benefits weak teams. For example, there were sensational matches, especially in the CIS countries, in the last rounds of the Champions League. The victory of CSKA over Real Madrid in the away match was the last bright example. We also want to notice the victory of BATE over Bayern. Severe frost was the primary advantage of the outsider over the favorite in the above-mentioned matches.
So you should make sure before the start of the match that the favorite of the match will achieve victory, considering weather conditions before the beginning of the match.
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The second moment is the influence of cold weather on the future result of the match. For example, it is worth considering the results of Russian teams in the national championship. Teams mainly start demonstrating results when spring comes or before the start of the season. Teams rarely score the basic total of 3 goals before the start of the winter break. That’s why we have the following results: 0:0, 1:0, and 1:1.
Main coaches frequently notice in after-match interviews that frost makes a negative impact on further injuries among football players. In frosty weather, a football player can easily get injured due to a sudden move of cold muscles. As a result, a weak competition in the middle of the field and a small number of shots per game.
The following options of the future bet should be chosen in cold weather:
- A bet on «total under». TU 2.5 or 2.0 is an option for the future bet.
- «Total under» in the first half. Initially, you should bet on total goals under two in the first 45 minutes. As is well known, the first goals are frequently scored in the second half of the match.
- The absence of the scored goal in the first half of the first half. Teams usually do not score goals in the first 15-30 minutes, which provides an opportunity to place a bet.
The influence of hot weather
Teams are not afraid of attacking in hot weather, playing mainly in attacks. However, some aspects should be considered even in warm weather. Let’s consider the popular aspects of the influence of the warm climate on football matches:
- Sun rays against goalkeepers. The situations when a goalkeeper sees nothing due to direct sun rays are frequent at the end of the football season. In this case, defense players try hard to kick a ball away from the field. As a result, it is an opportunity to place a bet on total corners over and a goal in each half. The power of the teams should be considered in the first case. It is unlikely in the match between the favorite and the underdog that the underdog will have a chance to hit even three corners. Goal moments, considering the influence of sun rays, will happen in the clash of teams. In one of such episodes, the «blinded» goalkeeper will miss a «foolish» goal.
- A goal in the first half after a pause, stop in the match. There are frequent cases when there is a pause in the middle of the first half due to the injury of a football player. Football players have enough time to recover, drink water, and begin attacking the enemy’s goal line in two, three minutes. As a result, there are the scored goals by the break in the match. So it is important to watch a live broadcast of such a match to «catch» such goals and bet on the goal in the middle of the half.
- The first goal after the break in the match. There are cases when there are no goals in the first half of the match between two effective teams. After the recovery of their powers during the break, football players return to the field and score a goal in the first 15 minutes of the second half. So in this case, it is worth noticing such goals after the break in the match.
- Face-to-face results. The cases when both teams demonstrate high results only during the warmer months in face-to-face matches. So it is worth initially checking the statistics of matches between two teams over the last five years. Probably, there are ten matches, in which there is this tendency. As a result, a bettor will have to place a bet on «total goals over» in the match.
- Warm weather = the football players’ actions on the field. If football players do not try to do tackles in a frost in order not to get injured, football players will receive ten warnings per match during warm weather. This aspect should be paid special attention to.
Conclusion
As we can see, weather conditions play the primary role in the statistics, results of every next match.
It is worth checking various aspects, tendencies, reading the latest news and tips to place the «right» bet, initially. Every detail can play a key role in the upcoming football match.
Yuriy Sheremet – Expert in mobile gaming and esports among shooters and MOBA games.
At EGamersWorld, Yuriy, as in 2020 when he joined the portal, works with content, albeit with adjustments to his area of responsibility.