Match Prediction: NRG - 100 Thieves | VALORANT
VCT 2022: North America Last Chance QualifierForecast NRG - 100 Thieves
We continue to review the Valorant Champions Tour 2022 Last Chance Qualifier in North America. Today we'll talk about the match between 100 Thieves and NRG in the upper bracket quarterfinals. Previously, the teams had 2 meetings between themselves, as a result of which both participants had one victory each. Today they have to reveal the strongest, in the bo3 format.
Form 100 Thieves
The current qualifications are the last chance for the team to qualify for the World Cup. Having shown a poor performance at VCT 2022 North America Stage 1 (9th-10th place) and Stage 2 (5th-6th place), the team missed the Masters in Copenhagen and Reykjavik. As a result, during the season, the players scored only 60 points, and remained in 8th position in the overall standings.
Last year, the team performed well at VCT 2021 Masters Berlin, taking 3rd-4th place in the end. Unfortunately for the players, they missed the World Cup. Let's see if 2022 can bring some significant achievements to the team.
Lineup of 100 Thieves
- Asuna
- Derrek
- stellar
- Will
- bang
Since the beginning of spring 2022, the roster has undergone many changes. Hiko retrained from a professional player to streamers, Ethan sat on the bench, and then was bought by future rivals NRG, and jcStani moved to Gen.G Esports. After that, the team was replenished with three newcomers: Derrek previously played for Rise, the new captain of stellar whose last club was SoaR, Will transferred from Built By Gamers.
100 Thieves Card Statistics
- Bind 66% in 44 matches
- Haven 54% in 59 matches
- Split 56% in 36 matches
- Ascent 64% in 67 matches
On their maps, the team plays well for both sides: Bind 58% wins in defense and 55% in attack, Haven almost 49% for defense and 56% for attack, Split 61% of wins for defense and 42% for attack, Ascent 59% wins for the defense side versus 49% for the attack side.
Most popular heroes in the last 60 days: Asuna - KAY/O (65), Sage (66), Derrek - Breach (92), Sova (131), stellar - Killjoy (83), Cypher (48), bang - Viper (114), Astra (49), Will-Raze (115), Jett (65).
Form NRG
The situation of the team is similar to future opponents. A mediocre performance at VCT 2022 North America Stage 1 9th-10th place as a result of skipping Masters Reykjavik, after 4th place at VCT 2022 North America Stage 2 and again skipping Masters Copenhagen. At the end of the season, the team has 70 points and 5th place in the overall standings.
Compared to last year, where the team participated only in small local tournaments, this performance is quite acceptable. Unfortunately for the players, getting into the World Cup is only available after winning the current qualifiers, which will be very difficult to achieve.
Composition NRG
- s0m
- eeiu
- tex
- hazed
- Ethan
The last change in the roster took place at the beginning of April 2022. ANDROID went to the reserve bench, and Ethan, who previously played for 100 Thieves, was invited instead, so this match can be considered fundamental for both teams. In addition, Zikz was signed as an assistant coach, and DeMars DeRover as an analyst.
NRG Map Statistics
- Bind 69% over 65 matches
- Haven 72% in 83 matches
- Ascent 55% for 42 matches
- Icebox 68% in 47 matches
On their maps, the team plays better on defense: Bind 62% of wins in defense and 55% in attack, Haven almost equal values of 60% for defense and 59% for attack, Ascent 58% of wins for the defense side against 45% for the attack side, Icebox 61% wins defending and 52% attacking.
Most popular heroes in the last 60 days: Ethan - KAY\O (85), Breach (84), tex - Chamber (239), hazed - Omen (85), Astra (84), eeiu - Fade (125), Sova (114), s0m - Omen (50) and Raze (127).
Match prediction
The second match from the beginning of the tournament, and the first for both teams after a short break, makes their chances almost equal. For me, the favorites of the match are NRG, so I will give my vote for them.
Outcome: NRG victory
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in 100 Thieves victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.777. According to bookmakers data, NRG are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 1.935.
How did the participants perform in the last matches
Last Matches | NRG | 100 Thieves |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 5 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The competitors have held 2 matches. In these matches NRG won 1 times, 100 Thieves active consisits of 1 wins.