Match Prediction: Nongshim Red Force - Kwangdong Freecs | LoL
LCK Spring 2024 - Group StageWelcome to EGamersWorld.
The LCK Spring 2024 battles continue in South Korea. This is one of the best, if not the best, professional league on the expanse of League of Legends.
We are talking about the second week of battles in the group stage. This time we are talking about the match between Nongshim Red Force and Freecs. The match, frankly speaking, is not the top one, but it is definitely worth watching because of the importance of the South Korean league.
Let's try to see who will be stronger in the next game at LCK Spring 2024 and get important points ahead of the regular season.
Let's go.
Freecs Form
Let's open the match analysis with an analysis of the Freecs' form. In this match the team will play as favourites, with odds to win at around 1.7.
Freecs are one of the weakest teams in South Korea, although they are one of the oldest. They have been playing on the LCK since 2016, but they have not managed to achieve any performance.
The most successful year can be called 2018, when Freecs were twice in the top 3 at LCK (2nd place LCK Spring 2023, 3rd place at LCK Summer 2018) and made it to Worlds 2018. And there managed to reach the play-offs, but Ledgeili Cloud9, finishing in the top 8.
In the following years, they managed to reach the top 4 of LCK series tournaments four times. They finished Top-4 at the 2019 LCK Regional Finals, LCK Summer 2020, Top-3 at the 2020 LCK Regional Finals, and Top-4 at the 2022 LCK Spring.
In 2023, the Freecs failed in both LCK splits. First, they finished in the top 7 at LCK Spring without making it out of the group, and then they finished in the last, 10th, place at LCK Summer 2023.
- Freecs roster: DuDu, Cuzz, BuLLDoG, Taeyoon, Andil.
Freecs in the new season decided to strengthen Cuzz. The other four played for the club last season and the season before that.
Freecs will make their debut at LCK Spring 2024 with a match against T1. Obviously, they simply have no chance of winning there. Next up is HLE. Freecs have a busy calendar, I can't say anything.
Freecs approach the match against Nongshim Red Force with a 0-2 record. They have already lost to T1 and HLE, having an overall stat line of 0-2 in the series and 0-4 in the map.
Most popular Freecs champions
The most frequent guest is KSante (10 games, 8 wins). Gnar (6 games, 50% wins), Sion (2 games, 100% wins) and Renekton (2 games, 50% wins) appear less frequently.
The ubiquitous Maokai is ignored in the forest (he appeared only once and lost). But Vi (6 games, 100% wins), Elise (6 games, 60% wins), Sejuani (4 games, 75% wins) get quite a lot of attention.
The centre line is occupied by Syndra (7 games, 85% wins), Ryze (4 games, 0% wins), Talliyah (3 games, 66% wins).
From shooters like Lucian (5 matches, 80% wins), Varus (4 games, 75% wins), Zeri, Sivir and Caitlyn appeared 3 times each and only Sivir didn't win a single game.
Sapports: Nami (7 matches, 85% wins), Ashe (4 matches, 50% wins), Yummi (3 matches, 33% wins).
Nongshim Red Force uniforms
We continue our match analysis with an analysis of Nongshim Red Force's match form. In this match, they will play in the underdog status with win odds around 2.
Nongshim Red Force is a team with no stars from heaven. It is a solid "mid-table" team in Korea, or rather even one of the worst teams in the best region.
In the arena LCK Nongshim RedForce have been in the LCK Nongshim arena since 2021. It also became the best in the not yet long history of this particular tag: at that time Nongshim RedForce managed to take Top 6 at LCK Spring 2021 and Top 4 at LCK Summer 2021, and there was also Top 3 at Regional Finals, but it was not enough to pass to Worlds.
Things started to get worse in 2022. Nongshim RedForce finished top-8 at both LCK Spring 2022 and LCK Summer 2022.
In the 13 competition season, Nongshim RedForce can be called the worst team in the region. At LCK Spring 2023 the team took the last, 10th place, and at LCK Summer 2023 they were not far away - TOP-9.
- Nongshim RedForce roster: DnDn, Sylive, FIESTA, Jiwoo, Peter.
The only member of Nongshim RedForce from last season is Jiwoo. The remaining 4 players are newcomers to the team.
Nongshim RedForce will play against DRX in the first match. In that match I expect Nongshim RedForce to win. Next will be a game against Gen.G, where RedForce has no chance not only to win, but to take at least a map.
Before the match with Freecs Nongshim RedForce are in the middle of the standings. The team has a win against DRX and a defeat against Gen.G. in reserve.
Most popular Nongshim RedForce champions
The most popular champion on the top line is Gnar (10 games, 90% wins). Jayce appeared 8 times and had a winrate of 87%. Kenen was played 4 times and won all matches, KSante 4 times and 3 wins, Renekton 4 times and 2 wins.
In the forest were Vi (11 matches, 72% wins), Sejuani (10 games, 80% wins), Wukong (7 matches, 85% wins), Le Sin (6 games, 83% wins).
On the centre line it was Azir (13 games, 69% wins), Gragas (6 matches, 100% wins), Kassadin (5 games, 100% wins), Viktor (4 matches, 75% wins).
The most popular ADC is Lucian (12 matches, 83% wins). Next are Varus (8 games, 87% wins), Caitlyn (5 games, 100% wins), Zeri (4 matches, 75% wins).
Nami (13 matches, 84% winrate). Ashe and Lux have 4 games and 4 wins each.
History of head-to-head meetings Nongshim RedForce - Freecs
Previously the teams played each other during the regular seasons LCK Spring and LCK Summer. The score was 1-1.
Predicted result of the match Nongshim RedForce - Freecs on LCK Spring 2024
I would expect a close game in this match. This is hinted at by both the odds from bookmakers and the overall playing form of the teams. If we look at the actual results, Red Force seem to look a bit more pleasing, but it should be realised that they had a match against a simple DRX opponent, while Freecs played against both KT Rolster and T1. However, I still believe in the success of Nongshim RedForce.
Bottom line: Nongshim RedForce wins.
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Kwangdong Freecs as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.636. Nongshim Red Force chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 2.191 by bookmakers.
What are the successes of the teams in the last games
Last Matches | Nongshim Red Force | Kwangdong Freecs |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 0 |
10 matches (wins) | 4 | 0 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The teams played 13 matches with each other before. And Nongshim Red Force won 6 times while Kwangdong Freecs correspondingly became the winner 7 times.