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We continue to look at what's happening at LEC Winter 2024. We are still looking at the group stage, aka the regular season.
During the "regular season", the 10 participating teams at LEC Winter 2024 battle it out for 8 slots in the tournament's play-offs. There seem to be plenty of slots, but it's important to realise that all regular season matches are Bo1, and it doesn't forgive mistakes.
Among the contenders are Karmine Corp and GiantX. Both teams have quite big ambitions, but to realise them, they need to gain maximum points in each of their matches. Including this head-to-head match.
Let's see how the match Karmine Corp - GiantX will end and who will be the winner. Let's go.
Karmine Corp uniforms
Let's open the analysis of the match with the analysis of Karmine Corp's form. "French" here play the first number one, and the odds for their victory are at around 1.6.
Despite their great popularity in Europe, Karmine Corp is an absolute newcomer to the LEC league. The French team has previously played on the local scene, competing against compatriots, as well as playing in various TIR-2 events within the LEC ecosystem.
For 2023, the teami has a very strong record, having played in 4 tournaments. For professional teams in League of Legends, this is significant, as most of them play exclusively in a single league.
Karmine Corp started with LFL Spring 2023 and had a terrible start. At the local league the team played 7-11 in the group stage, which was not even enough to qualify for the play-offs.
Things improved dramatically from there and Karmine Corp lifted the championship trophy over their heads twice in a row. The first time at LFL Summer 2023 and the second time at EMEA Masters Summer 2023. Incidentally, Masters Karmine Corp have won 4 times in the team's history and that is a significant statistic.
The last tournament of last season was the Coup De France 2024 championship. Either there was no priority for the event, or they were not in shape at all, but KC took the top 8 there.
- Karmine Corp line-up: Cabochard, Saken, Caliste, Targamas, Kameto.
Karmine Corp became a member of LEC through the purchase of a slot from Astralis. The Danish club, which did not achieve results last season, decided to sell its place in the prestigious league. Whether they did the right thing - we will find out later.
In the first match of LEC Winter 2024 Karmine Corp will play against Fnatic. In that match I believe in the victory of Karmine. After that - the game against G2 Esports and there Karmine Corp will be much more difficult. However, with Fnatic everything turned out to be the opposite: KC won, and with G2 Esports - everything is logical, an easy victory for the "samurai".
At the end of the first week, Karmine Corp were 0-3. The most offensive defeat from the principal rival - MAD Lions.
The most popular champions of Karmine Corp
The most popular and successful top line champions are Gragas (3 matches, 100% wins) and Kennen (3 matches, 66% wins).
Wukong (6 games, 33% wins) and Sejuani (4 matches, 100% wins) play in the forest.
The centre line is played with Ahri (4 matches, 0% wins), Tristana (3 matches, 100% wins) and Syndra (3 matches, 100% wins).
The ADC position is most often occupied by Lucian (4 matches. 50% wins), Aphelios (4 matches, 75% wins).
Nami (3 games, 66% wins), Thresh (3 matches, 100% wins) are often paired with shooters.
GiantX Form
We continue our analysis of the KC vs GiantX match with an analysis of GiantX's form. In this match, they will play as the number two, with odds to win at around 2.3.
GIANTX is the new name for the LEC league. The LEC 2024 Winter Split is the debut match for the club, which has absorbed the EXCEL slot. Incidentally, GIANTX themselves are the fruit of a merger between British club EXCEL and Spanish club Giants.
GIANTX had a very difficult last season. At LEC Winter 2023, the team completely failed, finishing in the top 10.
The spring split, however, didn't show anything new. GIANTX once again failed in the split and once again came in last.
- EXCEL line-up: Odoamne, Peach, Abbedagge, Patrik, LIMIT.
After two disgusting splits, GIANTX changed their forester and replaced Targamas with South Korean legionnaire Peach. The change was a good thing, because there is no other way to explain the miracle-run at LEC Summer 2023.
GIANTX not only finished in the top 3, but also made it to the split grand final, thus guaranteeing themselves a spot in the LEC Finals. Ledge and G2 Esports are in the finals, but there is no shame in that, you have to understand.
The achievements of LEC Summer 2023 are at risk of being reversed given the experience of the first match of LEC Finals 2023. In the match against MAD Lions, GIANTX looked more like what we saw during LEC Winter and Spring, but not at the summer split.
In the next match, then EXCEL faced Fnatic. That match was more like something worthwhile and ended in a full-fledged bo5, but in Fnatic's favour. For ex-Excel, LEC Finals 2024 ended with a top-5 finish.
In their first match under the new tag, GIANTX will meet Vitality. I think the Ledge Bees will bee. Next up is The International and the game against BDS. If the French can beat the former, it's hard to believe that they will succeed against BDS.
In the first week of LEC Winter 2024, GiantX played 1-2. The only win was against the weakest team, Vitality.
GIANTX's most popular champions
On the top line the most frequent picks are KSante (4 matches, 50% wins), Gnar (3 matches, 100% wins).
Foresters picks are Wukong (4 matches, 50% wins), Vi (2 matches, 50% wins), Nocturne (2 matches, 50% wins), Viego (2 matches, 0% wins).
On the centre line Gragas (4 matches, 50% wins), Annie (4 matches, 50% wins).
Aphelios (6 matches, 33% wins), Jinx (3 matches, 66% wins), Zeri (2 matches, 100% wins).
The other stable players are Lulu (3 matches, 66% wins), Rakan (3 games, 0% wins), Nautilus (2 matches, 50% wins).
KC vs GiantX
Nominally, this is the debut meeting of the clubs.
Predicted result of Karmine Corp - GiantX at LEC Winter 2024
In the first week, Karmine Corp seemed to me unprepared to compete with the top European clubs on a level playing field. However, their excuse may be that they have already played against G2 and Fnatic, and MAD Lions KOI is not the last team in Europe. Still, I have a feeling that GiantX will win.
Bottom line: GiantX wins.
