Match Prediction: Fnatic - Team Vitality | LoL
LEC Winter 2024 - Regular SeasonWelcome to EGamersWorld.
We continue to watch the battles in the regular season of LEC Winter 2024. As they say, the deeper you go in the forest, the more wood you find and that applies to LEC Winter 2024 as well.
There are 10 teams playing for 80,000 euros in prize money and slots to the Mid-Season Invitational 2024 and LEC Finals 2024, including Fnatic and Team Vitality, whose match we will talk about separately.
Both teams have a big weight on the European scene, which means that many people will be watching this match. We are among them.
Let's try to find out how the upcoming match between the big European clubs will end and which team will be stronger.
Let's go.
Fnatic uniforms
We start the match review with an analysis of Fnatic's form. In this match they will play the number one side, with odds to win at 1.48.
Fnatic started their rise to the LEC Regional Finals with an appearance at LEC Winter 2023. It wasn't a successful one, as the Orange finished in 9th place and didn't make it out of the group stage.
The following season, Fnatic gave one last chance to roster with Rekkles. They failed to use it, as FNC, after coming out of the group stage, lost in their first match against MAD Lions, thus ending the spring split at the top 8.
- Fnatic lineup: Oscarinin, Razork, Humanoid, Noah, Jon.
Two terrible splits resulted in major re-splits. ADC Rekkles and support Advienne left the band. In their place came Korean legionnaire Noah and experienced support Trymbi. The result was not long in coming.
Fnatic looked much better at the LEC summer split than at the two previous ones. The team managed to make it through the group stage and then made it to the top 3 of LEC Summer 2023, which allowed them to advance to the regional finals. Here's the truth, to the bottom set.
Fnatic played against Excel - the main opener of LEC Summer 2023 - in the match to advance to the Top 4 and won. They won 3-2 in a tense bo5.
In the match for the LEC Finals 2023 Small Final, Fnatic and BDS had a real fight (3-2), and Fnatic ended up here.
They also managed to beat MAD Lions, with whom they played for a place in the grand final. And again, the full-fledged bo5 with a score of 3-2 in favour of the Orange. But the grand final was not enough: G2 Esports beat Fnatic 3-1.
At Worlds 2023, Orange played to the best of their ability. The club lost the first match against LNG Esports, and then outplayed the Vietnamese from GAM Esports. The last match on the way to a 1-2 set was a match against BLG, which Fnatic legitimately lost. Then FNC defeated C9 with a score of 2-1, and in the match for play-offs Ledge and WBG. The latter, by the way, became the vice-champion of the World Championship, so the result for the European club was excellent.
Fnatic will debut at LEC Winter 2024 with a match against Karmine Corp. Based on the experience of previous seasons, there is every chance to see the favourite (which is Fnatic) lose in that match.
Fnatic's most popular champions
Jax (3 matches, 33% wins), Gwen (2 matches, 50% wins), Gangplank (2 matches, 50% wins), Jayce (2 games, 50% wins) take the top line.
In the woods, Maokai (7 matches, 42% wins), Sejuani (4 games, 25% wins), Vi (3 games, 66% wins) were permanent.
The centre line was most often occupied by Sylas (5 matches, 40% wins), Ryze (3 games, 100% wins), Akali (2 games, 0 wins).
Zeri and Sivir peaked equally often on the shooter position. Both heroes appeared 4 times, but the former won all his games, and the latter - none.
Ashe appeared most often amongst the Spurrots. Archer was chosen 5 times and won 2 matches. Yuumi (4 matches, 75% wins), Heimerdinger (4 matches, 25% wins) were also frequently played.
Team Vitality uniforms
We continue our match review with an analysis of Team Vitality's form. "Bees" to play the second number, with odds to win around 2.5.
Vitality is a rather dubious team. They showed a rather unstable game throughout last year. Globally speaking, their 13th season was a failure, and a serious one at that.
They started last season by competing at LEC Winter 2023. In the regular season, Vitality went over the heads of their opponents: they played it 7-2 and then went to play the group stage, where they had much less luck. So much so that Vitality failed to get out of their basket, Ledgeiv SK Gaming and KOI. As a result, the top 5.
Next up was an appearance at LEC Spring 2024. This was Vitality's best split where they managed to make it to the top 3. However, that was enough for exactly nothing: just Top 3.
The last tournament last season for Vitality was LEC Summer 2023. And it was a total fiasco: Vitality had their worst performance of the year, going 1-8 in the regular season and finishing the split in the top 10.
- Vitality roster: Photon, Daglas, Vetheo, Carzzy, Hylissang .
The team has a pretty strong lineup, but the realisation is Vitality's kryptonite.
In the first match of LEC Winter 2024, Team Vitality will play against GIANTX, where I see problems for the Bees. I think EXCEL's invigorating core will give Vitality a boost.
Vitality's most popular champions
The most frequent guest on the top line is Jax (2 matches, 100% wins). Also picked by KSante, Gnar, Gwen and Ornn, Renekton and Gragas. Ornn and Renekton, who didn't quite hit the season 13 meta, lost their matches.
Bo predominantly played as Vi. One of the most meta characters of the season appeared in spades 4 times and won all his games. There was also Sejuani and Maokai (2 games and 1 win each).
On the centre line, Azir was the favourite character (3 games, 100% wins). The Croatian also played Ryze, Syndra, Cassiopeia, Tristana, LeBlanc and Taliyah. Only Tristana and LeBlanc lost.
Of the shooters, Zeri (3 games, 66% wins), Ezreal (2 matches, 100% wins), Varus (2 games, 100% wins) appeared most often. Caitlyn and Sivir peaked once each: the former won her game and the latter lost.
Of the supporting characters, Yummi (3 games, 33% wins), Ashe (2 games, 100% wins) played three times. Leona, Braum, Nami and Lux won once each.
History of head-to-head meetings between Team Vitality and Fnatic
Vitality has beaten Fnatic twice in 2023, but the last game in LEC Summer 2023 broke Fnatic's losing streak.
Predicted result of Fnatic vs Vitality at LEC Winter 2024
Despite Fnatic's nominally superiority, there is a feeling that they can "tank" in a seemingly simple match. Even though Vitality blew their last split, that doesn't mean they can't rebuild for the Long Corner of the new season. Still, a win for Fnatic.
Bottom line: Fnatic wins.
Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Fnatic is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.32. This number in the favor of Team Vitality amounts 4.627. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Fnatic | Team Vitality |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 0 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 1 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 30 matches with each other. In these matches Fnatic won 21 times, Team Vitality active consisits of 9 wins.