Match Prediction: Fnatic - Team Heretics | LoL
LEC Winter 2024 - Regular SeasonWelcome to EGamersWorld.
We continue to say goodbye to the LEC Winter 2024 regular season. We have three matches left to watch in the "group stage" of the tournament.
The equator for the last day of games at LEC Winter 2024 is the match between Fnatic and Team Heretics. The match promises to be The International heresy.
We are trying to find out which team will be stronger and will win the match, although it won't decide anything, as both teams are already in the play-offs.
Let's go.
Fnatic uniforms
Let's start the match with an analysis of Fnatic's form. In this match they will play the number one with odds to win at around 1.6.
Fnatic started their ascent to the LEC Regional Finals last season with an appearance at LEC Winter 2023. It wasn't a successful one, as the Orange finished the tourney in 9th place, not making it out of the group stage.
The following season, Fnatic gave one last chance to roster with Rekkles. They failed to use it, as FNC, after coming out of the group stage, lost in their first match against MAD Lions, thus ending the spring split at the top 8.
- Fnatic lineup: Oscarinin, Razork, Humanoid, Noah, Jon.
Two terrible splits resulted in major re-splits. ADC Rekkles and support Advienne left the band. In their place came Korean legionnaire Noah and experienced support Trymbi. The result was not long in coming.
Fnatic looked much better at the LEC summer split than at the two previous ones. The team managed to make it through the group stage and then made it to the top 3 of LEC Summer 2023, which allowed them to advance to the regional finals. Here's the truth, to the bottom set.
Fnatic played against Excel - the main opener of LEC Summer 2023 - in the match to advance to the Top 4 and won. They won 3-2 in a tense bo5.
In the match for the LEC Finals 2023 Small Final, Fnatic and BDS had a real fight (3-2), and Fnatic ended up here.
They also managed to beat MAD Lions, with whom they played for a place in the grand final. And again, the full-fledged bo5 with a score of 3-2 in favour of the Orange. But the grand final was not enough: G2 Esports beat Fnatic 3-1.
At Worlds 2023, Orange played to the best of their abilities. The club lost the first match against LNG Esports, and then outplayed the Vietnamese from GAM Esports. The last match on the way to a 1-2 set was a match against BLG, which Fnatic legitimately lost. Then FNC defeated C9 with a score of 2-1, and in the match for play-offs Ledge and WBG. The latter, by the way, became the vice-champion of the World Championship, so the result for the European club was excellent.
Fnatic will debut at LEC Winter 2024 with a match against Karmine Corp. Based on the experience of previous seasons, there is every chance to see the favourite (which is Fnatic) lose in that match. Next, they will face Vitality and this is where I would bet in favour of the Orange. That's how it turned out, except for the match against Karmine Corp: Fnatic closed two series, but lost in the match against SK Gaming.
Prior to Long Sogpeg's last match, Fnatic's stats were 4-4. They earned a slot in the play-offs thanks to a good Long Sogpeg, but have seriously slipped further.
Fnatic's most popular champions
Jax (3 matches, 33% wins), Gwen (2 matches, 50% wins), Gangplank (2 matches, 50% wins), Jayce (2 games, 50% wins) take the top line.
In the woods, Maokai (7 matches, 42% wins), Sejuani (4 games, 25% wins), Vi (3 games, 66% wins) were permanent.
The centre line was most often occupied by Sylas (5 matches, 40% wins), Ryze (3 games, 100% wins), Akali (2 games, 0 wins).
Zeri and Sivir peaked equally often on the shooter position. Both heroes appeared 4 times, but the former won all his games, and the latter - none.
Ashe appeared most often amongst the Spurrots. Archer was chosen 5 times and won 2 matches. Yuumi (4 matches, 75% wins), Heimerdinger (4 matches, 25% wins) were also frequently played.
Form Heretics
Let's move on to the analysis of Heretics form. In this match, the Spaniards play as the number two with odds to win around 2.2.
Heretics have been in the LEC structure since 2022. In their "debut" season Team Heretics played on the TIR-2 stage, more specifically in Superliga Summer 2022 (Top 1), European Masters Summer 2022 (Top 1) and Iberian Cup 2022, where they finished Top 2.
In 2023, the Heretics entered the LEC series of tournaments. The successes were not so good: first TOP-8 at LEC Winter 2023, with SK Gaming knocking them out.
In spring the situation only got worse: Heretics again failed in the group stage, this time playing it with a score of 3-6 and not making it to the play-offs.
In the next round of the LEC draw, Team Heretics performed their best as an affiliate team. They took the top 4 at LEC Summer 2023, Ledge and Fnatic in a battle for the top 3. Heretics secured $5,512 by finishing in the top 4.
- Team Heretics roster: Wunder, Jankoz, Perkz, Flakked, Kaiser.
After a series of bad performances last year, Heretics changed their roster by signing top European players. Let's see how they will do against the strongest representatives of the region.
At the end of the regular season, the Heretics are in the middle of the group table. They are 4-4 and have a slot in the play-offs.
Team Heretics' most popular champions
Aatrox (3 matches, 100% wins) and Renekton (2 matches, 100% wins) appear on LOUD's top line.
Sejuani (4 matches, 100% wins) and Wukong (3 matches, 66% wins) take the jungle.
On the centre line, Taliyah (3 matches, 100% wins) and Lissandra (3 matches, 66% wins) are not the most popular.
Among the shooters Aphelios (4 games, 75% wins) and also Xayah (3 games, 66% wins).
In ѕuрроrts they take Nautilus (4 games, 75% wins), Nami (4 games, 75% wins).
History of head-to-head meetings Heretics - Fnatic
The teams crossed paths three times during LEC 2023. Fnatic lead the series 2-1.
Predicted result of Fnatic vs Heretics at LEC Winter 2024
In this match, I expect an even game, as the teams show roughly the same level of play. However, I like Fnatic a bit more, as they have had more close matches, which is only worth their game against G2 Esports.
Bottom line: Fnatic wins.
Bookmakers & Statistics
According to leading bookmakers predictions, the team Fnatic are the favorite with average odds 1.529 at the moment. Respectively, bookmakers consider Team Heretics to be the outsider of the match with odds on a victory in the sum of about 3.175.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Fnatic | Team Heretics |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 4 | 5 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The teams played 3 matches with each other before. In these matches Fnatic won 2 times, Team Heretics active consisits of 1 wins.