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The LEC Winter 2025 group stage is underway. Slowly but surely, we are approaching the climax of what is happening.
It remains to watch the games of the last week. And SK Gaming and BDS will open them.
We're trying to figure out who will be stronger in the debut match of the third and final week of LEC Winter 2025.
Let's go.
BDS Form
We open the analysis of the BDS – SK match with an analysis of the game form of BDS. In this match, they play first number, but with a small gap: the coefficient for victory is around 1.8.
At LEC Winter 2023, BDS made it to the group stage, but quickly dropped out, finishing last in their quartet. The result is TOP-7.
Next up is LEC Spring 2023 and BDS' moment of glory. They unexpectedly reached the grand final, but lost to MAD Lions, who were on a roll in the spring.
- BDS composition: Irrelevant, 113, Nuc, Ice, Parus.
Before LEC Finals 2023, BDS played LEC Summer 2023. They were one map short of making it to the playoffs. They finished the championship in 5th place.
Thanks to near-top places and TOP-2 at LEC Spring 2023, BDS were able to get to LEC Finals 2023, and also to the upper bracket, where they got to G2 Esports in the first round. The face-to-face meeting did not end with anything interesting and G2 closed the match without any problems with a score of 3-1.
After losing to the main favorites of the LEC Finals 2023 – G2 Esports – BDS played against SK Gaming. The German club could not do anything against the French and fell with a score of 0-3.
However, the match with SK ended BDS's path to the LEC Finals 2023. The team lost to Fnatic with a score of 2-3 in the next round of the lower bracket, thus not reaching the TOP-3 of the tournament for direct participation in the main tournament.
BDS have already started Worlds 2023 on a positive note. They outclassed Golden Guardians in the Worlds Qualifying Series, thereby snatching a slot in this same Play-In.
After a confident victory over GG at the Worlds Qualifying Series, BDS unexpectedly failed their first match at Worlds 2023. They lost to the second number Vietnam, thus becoming the main losers of the World Championship so far.
They managed to partially rehabilitate themselves in the match against DFM. The Japanese club did not put up the necessary resistance and BDS easily closed the series with a score of 2-0.
In the match for entry here, BDS played against CTBC. The French outplayed their opponents with class, closing the series with a score of 2-0.
BDS fought PSG Talon for the group stage. The French were one map away from elimination, but on the third map Adam and his Olaf gave his team a chance to cling to a comeback and BDS used it: a reverse sweep in the match for the group stage actually allowed BDS to get into the group stage.
In the group stage of Worlds 2023, BDS first encountered JD Gaming. Obviously, the world's number one team was too much for the French and they lost without much of a chance. Next came the match against MAD Lions and again an ironclad defeat. BDS's final at Worlds 2023 was as inglorious as their entire stay at the tournament - they lost to Dplus with a score of 0-2.
BDS will debut at LEC Winter 2024 against G2 Esports. Power to them! Later there will be a duel with GIANTX, it will be easier, but far from easy.
BDS had almost no equals in the regular season of LEC Winter 2024. The French club lost only 2 matches: the first of the year against G2 Esports and the last in the regular season against Karmine Corp.
In the LEC Winter 2024 playoffs, they met Team Heretics. There, the French team outclassed the “heretics” with a score of 2-0. The quarterfinals were not much more difficult for BDS: again a confident victory with a score of 2-0, but this time against Vitality. They fell to the lower bracket after a hopeless defeat to G2 Esports in the small final of the upper bracket. And there they lost to MAD Lions.
LEC Spring 2024 was a good year, but they couldn't make it to MSI 2024. Fnatic got in the way, knocking out BDS in the match for the Grand Final.
BDS advanced to the LEC Summer 2024 playoffs with great confidence, sharing the TOP-1 of the regular season with SK Gaming. The championship playoffs started with a 2-1 victory over MAD Lions KOI. Then they met G2 Esports and the outcome was more than obvious - 0-2 in favor of G2. Having fallen to the lower bracket, BSD beat GiantX, closing the series with a score of 2-1. Before this match, BDS played against Karmine Corp and that was a pretty tough match, but still ended in a 3-2 victory for BDS. But in the match for reaching the grand final, they were unlucky to meet G2: 1-3 and were eliminated in the TOP-3.
The LEC Finals 2024 started with a hopeless loss against Fnatic. Then came an equally hopeless win against SK Gaming in the first round of the lower bracket. Then came a match against G2 Esports for the TOP-3 of the LEC Finals, but BDS literally lacked one map to win and left the tournament with a score of 2-3.
The first week of LEC Winter 2025 was 2-1. In the second week, BDS will face Heretics, KOI, and BDS.
Most Popular BDS Champions
The most common picks for the top lane are K'Sante (4 matches, 50% win rate), Gnar (3 matches, 100% win rate).
From the junglers, they choose Wukong (4 matches, 50% wins), Vi (2 matches, 50% wins), Nocturne (2 matches, 50% wins), Viego (2 matches, 0% wins).
In the mid lane Gragas (4 matches, 50% wins), Annie (4 matches, 50% wins).
On marksmen, everything is stable and according to the meta: Aphelios (6 matches, 33% wins), Jinx (3 matches, 66% wins), Zeri (2 matches, 100% wins).
On supports, everything is also stable: Lulu (3 matches, 66% wins), Rakan (3 games, 0% wins), Nautilus (2 matches, 50% wins).
SK Gaming Uniform
We continue our analysis of the SK – Team BDS match with an analysis of SK’s game form. In this match, they are playing as underdogs with a win odds of around 2.3.
SK Gaming's main achievement for the season before last was the debut LEC winter split. The team, being among the outsiders and previously occupying the TOP-8 in LEC Spring and LEC Summer, managed not only to get to the playoffs, but also to impose a serious fight on MAD Lions in the match for the TOP-3.
Things got much worse later. At LEC Spring 2023, SK Gaming were no longer so confident. This time, they managed to get through the regular season and bo1 matches, but not the group stage. SK dropped out in the TOP-7.
- SK Gaming lineup: JNX, Isma, Reeker, Rahel, Loopy.
At LEC Summer 2023, SK Gaming almost repeated the spring result, with a slight improvement. They took TOP-6, but thanks to TOP-4 at LEC Winter 2023, they still reached the regional finals.
However, SK Gaming's achievements ended with reaching the LEC 2023 finals. There, they played their only match against BDS and lost it without a chance, losing with a score of 0-3.
SK Gaming had a pretty good run through the LEC Winter 2024 group stage. The team finished the regular season with a score of 5-4.
In the first round of the playoffs, SK Gaming met Vitality. After a terrible start to the season, Vitality came back, and managed to get to the second round of the upper bracket, and SK Gaming went to the lower bracket. There, in the first round, they met Team Heretics and turned out to be stronger, and this despite the fact that they were nominal outsiders. However, the path to the LEC Winter 2024 playoffs ended for SK Gaming with a match in the second round of the playoffs against Fnatic.
They got to the LEC Spring 2024 playoffs by chance and character. To get to the main stage, they had to win tiebreakers against Rogue. In the first match of the playoffs, SK gave a good fight to Vitality, taking a map from them, but unfortunately for them, this did not help them win. A similar situation was in the match against Heretics, which ultimately led SK Gaming to the TOP-8.
SK Gaming finished the LEC Summer 2024 regular season in 1st place with a score of 8-1. At the start of the LEC Summer 2024 playoffs, they dealt with Heretics with class, winning with a score of 2-0. Next was a match against Fnatic, where SK Gaming lost with a score of 0-2. And in the next game, they unexpectedly lost to Karmine Corp with a score of 1-2.
They started from the lower bracket at the 2024 LEC Regional Finals. They didn't get very far, finishing in the top 6.
The first week for SK Gaming, as they say, did not go well. The team played the worst, losing all 3 matches. In the second week, they will have matches with Karmine Corp, Vitality, and also the closing match against KOI.
SK Gaming's Most Popular Champions
For the top SK Gaming picks were Gnar (2 games, 1 win), KSante (1 game, 0 wins), Camile (1 game, 1 win), Sion (1 game, 1 win), Renekton (1 game, 1 win).
The jungle honors Sejuani and Eliza. Both champions have appeared twice and won both matches, but Vi and Kindred lost their games.
The mid lane is played by Sylas (2 matches, 50% wins), Kassadin (1 time, 0 wins), Azir, Syndra and Akali (1 game each and 100% wins).
From the shooters – Zeri. The character appeared 3 times and won 2 matches, and also picked Varus (who lost the only match), Sivir and Lucian.
On the supports, Karma, who had already become boring, as well as Renata Glasc and Lulu. Yummi won two out of three matches, Karma lost the only game, and Renata Glasc and Lulu won.
BDS vs SK Gaming Head-to-Head History
In the 2024 season, the teams played each other 4 times, with BDS winning 3 times.
Predicted SK Gaming vs BDS match result at LEC Winter 2025
It seems that the trend of head-to-head matches between BDS and SK Gaming will continue. At least from what we saw in the first week, SK Gaming is not ready for a serious test yet.
Result: BDS victory.
