Match Prediction: Quincy Crew - The Cut | Dota 2
DPC 2021/2022 Tour 2 (Season 2): NA Division I (Upper) - ESL One Spring 2022We continue to review what is happening as part of the DPC 2021/22 Tour II. This time we turn to North America.
Classically, this region does not really fit the description of interesting. Here comes up the oldest problem of American DotA - weak competitiveness.
Often outsiders cannot do anything in matches against favorites. Our case — a similar situation is played here by Quincy Crew and The Cut.
Let's try to figure out if The Cut has a chance of success or if this match will turn out to be a cakewalk for Quincy Crew.
Quincy Crew Uniform
Quincy Crew will play as the nominal favorite in this match. I don't think anyone will argue with that.
Quincy Crew has been one of the strongest teams in North America for several years now. Moreover, they do it in different compositions and in different periods, and sometimes they show not a bad DotA at the international level.
Quincy Crew
- YawaR
- Quinn
- KheZu
- MiLAN
- Ponlo
When the updated Quincy roster was announced before the start of the DPC 2021/22 Tour II, I did not have faith in this roster. I was wrong, and the Quincy five turned out to be very quick and already managed to snatch the championship last season.
Quincy Crew Latest Match Results
- Lost to TSM 1-2
- Lost to Evil Geniuses 1-2
- 2-0 victory over Wildcard Gaming
- 2-1 victory over 4 Zoomers
- 2-1 victory over Team DogChamp
After a solid first season where the Quincy beat TSM, this run is not without problems for them. We see dealt cards almost everywhere, but the main opponents are just ahead.
Heroes Quincy Crew
Most Picked Quincy Crew Heroes in 7.31: Enchantress (3 matches, 100% win rate), Hoodwink (2 matches, 100% win rate), Weaver (2 matches, 50% win rate).
Most successful Quincy Crew heroes in patch 7.31: Enchantress (3 matches, 100% win rate), Hoodwink (2 matches, 100% win rate), Pangolier (1 match, 100% win rate).
The cut shape
The Cut will play as catch-ups in this match. Absolutely logical and expected.
The Cut are newcomers to the top division and therefore you should not expect revelations from them. In addition, they are definitely not on par with the same Quincy Crew and other tops in the region.
Line-up of The Cut
- Scourge McDuck
- Kitzz
- Ade
- bgod
- Overlom
I can't say anything about The Cut five. They play to the best of their ability, they probably have high ranks in the American region.
The Cut Latest Results
- 2-0 victory over Stratyk Gaming
- Lost to 4 Zoomers 1-2
- Lost to Evil Geniuses 1-2
- 2-0 victory over Team DogChamp
- Lost to TSM 0-2
Despite The Cut's recent move to the top division and The Cut's rank, they've managed to make some noise. They have taken cards against 4 Zoomers and Evil Geniuses in their assets, which, of course, is not a major success, but at least speaks of the team's viability.
Heroes of The Cut
Most Picked Heroes in The Cut in 7.31: Bane (6 matches, 33% win rate), Skywrath Mage (6 matches, 16% win rate), Sand king (5 matches, 80% win rate).
The most successful The Cut heroes in patch 7.31: Leshrac (4 matches, 100% win rate), Medusa (1 match, 100% win rate), Lina (1 match, 100% win rate).
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams did not play each other in these lineups. This match will be the debut face-to-face confrontation.
Match outcome
I don't expect any surprises in this match. Quincy Crew will win for sure, but let's try our luck and get a +1.5 handicap on The Cut. Nevertheless, they squeezed the map from EG, and Quincy themselves are not the most stable this season.
Result: +1.5 on The Cut.
Prediction for the duel between Quincy Crew and The Cut within the first division DPC - North America (First Division). Quincy Crew is expected to fight for the first place with Evil Geniuses and Team SoloMid, they have 3 wins and 0 losses; 6 cards won and 2 lost.
Quincy Crew managed to defeat Wildcard Gaming with a score of 2:0, Team DogChamp with a score of 2:1 and 4 Zoomers with a score of 2:1.
The Cut in the 4th-6th place zone with 1 win and 2 losses; 3 cards won and 4 lost. The Cut turned out to be stronger than Team DogChamp, lost to Evil Geniuses 1:2, as well as Team SoloMid 0:2.
Quincy Crew
- YawaR
- Quinn
- KheZu
- MiLAN
- ponlo
- MSS (played as a substitute)
Line-up of The Cut
- Scourge McDuck
- Kitzz
- Ade
- bgod
- Overlom
Latest Quincy Crew results - 5 matches counted
- Victory in the match with Team DogChamp with a score of 2: 1 - March 27
- Winning the match with 4 Zoomers with a score of 2:1
- Victory in the match with Wildcard Gaming with a score of 2:0
- Lost in a match with Evil Geniuses with a score of 1:2
- Lost in a match with Team SoloMid with a score of 1:2
Latest The Cut results - 5 matches counted
- Lost in a match with Team SoloMid with a score of 0:2 - March 29
- Victory in the match with Team DogChamp with a score of 2:0
- Lost in a match with Evil Geniuses with a score of 1:2
- Lost in a match with 4 Zoomers with a score of 1:2
- Victory in the match with STRATYK with a score of 2:0
The Quincy Crew and The Cut teams have not yet played each other, QC retained their place in the first division, and The Cut made it through the results of the second division.
March 27, Quincy Crew defeated Team DogChamp 2-1, lost at first to Tidehunter, Shadow Shaman, Gyrocopter, Invoker, Enchantress; the second was won with Rubick, Jakiro, Pangolier, Night Stalker, Templar Assassin. We won at the decisive QC with Luna, Abaddon, Beastmaster, Ember Spirit, Keeper of the Light.
The Cut lost to Team SoloMid 0:2 on March 29, picking at the first one: Bane, Techies, Viper, Bloodseeker, Dragon Knight; on the second: IO, Skywrath Mage, Dragon Knight, Storm Spirit, Templar Assassin.
The Cut managed to take 1 card away from Evil Geniuses, which may mean a possible competition with Quincy Crew. QC, in turn, gave away 1 map with Team DogChamp and 4 Zoomers, so there is ambiguity in this fight.
Bookmakers give odds of 1.125 on Quincy Crew and 5.4 on The Cut; at 2:0 from QC - 1.59; on TB 2.5 on cards - 2.63; for 1 card from The Cut - 2.25. Good bet and likely outcome at 2:0 from Quincy Crew; if you want to take a risk, then you can believe in 1 card from The Cut, it is also better to bet in LIVE, after drafts, QC may well give away 1 card.
Prediction: The Cut will win Quincy Crew on one map - odds 2.25; with a risk of 2:1 in favor of QC - odds 3.38
Bookmakers & Statistics
Quincy Crew are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 1.115. The Cut, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 6.905.
If you stand in solidarity with bookmaker companies and think that Quincy Crew will prevail, at you will find the best odds on the team — 1.22. If in your opinion, the outsider achieved victory in the match, you can make the most profitable bet on The Cut at because odds on their triumph are equal to 12.52.