Match Prediction: TSM - Evil Geniuses | Dota 2

DPC NA 2021/22 Tour 1: Regional Finals

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auroralance

NikitkaFLZ

EGWxxxBOT

All predictions: auroralance

TSM Will win

(Autotranslate. Original: RU)

Getting closer to the regional finals in North America. From the ship to the ball we get to the match between TSM FTX and Evil Geniuses.

This match is a potential rehearsal before the grand final. At least the bookmaker thinks so, and not unreasonably, it is worth noting.

Both teams showed a good game during the first DPC season, but you can't call it a benchmark. Marriage was enough for both TSM.FTX and EG, and the latter had it in full.

Evil Geniuses Form

EG will play as the nominal favorite in this match. It's rather strange to see them as a favorite against a TSM FTX level contender.

During the regular season, EG had huge, without exaggeration, problems. The team lost to WildCard Gaming and Black N Yellow, which is already an indicator of weakness.

Lineup EG

Arteezy
Abed
nightfall
Cr1t-
JerAx

It is worth noting that Nightfall returned to EG after missing a good half of the season. He is a strong player, however, Evil Geniuses had problems with him.

Latest Evil Geniuses results

2-0 victory over simply TOOBASED
2-0 victory over 4 Zoomers
2-0 victory over Undying
2-0 victory over Quincy Crew
Lost to Undying 0-2

With MSS as part of EG, they managed to fight back and start a series of victories, which TSM FTX managed to break in a series of replays.

Heroes Evil Geniuses

EG Most Picked Heroes in 7.30: Ember (7 matches, 71% win rate), Snapfire (7 matches, 57% win rate), Monkey King (7 matches, 28% win rate).

Most successful EG heroes: Tiny (3 matches, 100% win rate), Morphling (1 match, 100% win rate), Undying (1 match, 100% win rate).

Form TSM FTX

TSM FTX will act as catch-ups in this match. Forced to disagree with this.

For those not in the know, TSM FTX is Undying. With a new home in one of the largest organizations, ex-Undying gained confidence.

Composition TSM FTX

Timado
Bryle
SabeRLight-
MoonMeander
DuBu

Everything is in its place and there are no questions in terms of stability for TSM.

Results of the last matches of Undying

2-0 victory over 4 Zoomers
2-1 victory over Quincy Crew
Lost to EG 0-2
2-0 victory over Arkosh Gaming
2-0 victory over EG

In the middle of the regular season, TSM FTX had difficulties and the defeat from Quincy Crew did not give them the opportunity to cling to 1st place in the region.

Heroes TSM FTX

Most picked Undying heroes in 7.30: Mirana (8 matches, 62% win rate), Bane (7 matches, 42% win rate), Sand King (6 matches, 66% win rate).

The most successful Undying heroes in patch 7.30: Morphling (3 matches, 100% win rate), Dark Seer (2 matches, 100% win rate), DOOM (2 matches, 100% win rate).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams managed to play each other twice during the season. Full parity: 2-2 in cards and 1-1 in games.

Match outcome

In this matchup, I'm betting on TSM. The return of Nightfall to the camp of EG will entail the difficulties that the "evil geniuses" experienced in the regular season.

Outcome: TSM win.

All predictions: NikitkaFLZ

TSM Will win

(Autotranslate. Original: RU)

Forecast for the duel between TSM and Evil Geniuses in the DPC Regional Finals - North America. TSM took 2nd place in the regular season, in the replays they managed to defeat Evil Geniuses with a score of 2:0. TSM also lost this season to Evil Geniuses and Quincy Crew, but won 4 Zoomers, simply TOOBASED, Black N Yellow, Wildcard Gaming and Arkosh Gaming, all games 2-0.

Evil Geniuses started the season with Nightfall, but ended with MSS due to ping problems with a Russian player. EG quite unexpectedly lost to Black N Yellow 1:2 and Wildcard Gaming 0:2, defeated Quincy Crew, TSM, 4 Zoomers, simply TOOBASED and Arkosh Gaming 2:0.

Composition of TSM

Timado
Bryle
SabeRLight-
MoonMeander
DuBu

Evil Geniuses line-up

Arteezy
Abed
nightfall
Cr1t-
JerAx
MSS (in replacement)

Latest TSM results - 5 matches counted

- Winning the match with 4 Zoomers with a score of 2:0
- Lost in a match with Quincy Crew with a score of 1:2
- Lost in a match with Evil Geniuses with a score of 0:2 (!!!)
- Victory in the match with Arkosh Gaming with a score of 2:0
- Victory in the match with Evil Geniuses with a score of 2:0 (!!!)

Evil Geniuses latest results - 5 matches counted

- Winning the match with simply TOOBASED with a score of 2:0
- Winning the match with 4 Zoomers with a score of 2:0
- Victory in the match with TSM with a score of 2:0
- Winning the match with Quincy Crew with a score of 2:0
- Lost in a match with TSM with a score of 0:2

Both teams had their last match on January 20, just against each other, and then TSM turned out to be stronger 2:0. It is not yet clear if Nightfall will play in the Regional Finals or if MSS will replace him again.

In the last match, TSM beat Evil Geniuses 2-0, EG picked Lion, Queen of Pain, Timbersaw, Oracle and Kunkka in the first match; on the second: Kunkka, Snapfire, Ogre Magi, Morphling and Sand King. TSM played through Puck, Luna, Death Prophet, Tusk, Snapfire on the first one and Queen of Pain, Naga Siren, Death Prophet, Clockwerk, Shadow Demon on the second one.

Interestingly, former EG player Fly showed up at the TSM bootcamp and may be coaching them. Bookmakers give odds of 2.12 on TSM and 1.752 on Evil Geniuses. I would be inclined to TSM's victory and I'm ready to believe even in 2:0 from them, it's interesting that 2:0 and 2:1 equal quotes - 3.8.

Prediction: TSM will win against Evil Geniuses - odds 2.12; with a risk of 2:0 - coefficient 3.8

All predictions: EGWxxxBOT

Bookmakers & Statistics

TSM

2.115

45%

55%

Evil Geniuses

1.722

Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in Evil Geniuses victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.722. According to bookmakers data, TSM are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 2.115.

In the case of solidarity with the bookmaker’s position about the possible winner of the match, a bet at will be more preferable where odds 1.765 are given on Evil Geniuses victory. If you are confident that analysts provide a totally wrong prediction, you should risk and make a bet on TSM success at - the team’s victory is evaluated with the high odds 2.19.