Match Prediction: Tundra Esports - Evil Geniuses | Dota 2

Good to see you on EGamersWorld.

DreamLeague S19 continues, and with it our series of analyses in which we have prepared a betting tip on Tundra Esports - Evil Geniuses, one of the central matches of the day.

For the analysis of the match, we watched the teams' games in DreamLeague Season 19 and beyond it: on DPC 2023, Lima Major 2023 and other tournaments (such, not many). Having compiled the data, we are ready to tell you what to expect from the rivalry between the teams and who will be stronger in the EG - Tundra Esports match.

Let's begin.

Tundra Esports uniforms

We will begin the analysis of the match with an analysis of the game form Tundra Esports, which in this match will play as a favorite of the match. The chance of Tundra Esports to win is estimated at odds in the region of 1.6.

Such a figure primarily came about because of Tundra's status on the international stage. We should not forget that we are facing the world champions of The International.

Yes, after The International, Tundra Esports started to have problems, but gradually they are solving them. This can be seen in the increased performance.

If at DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division Tour I Tundra Esports struggled to make the top 4 and went to The Lima Major 2023, where they eventually crashed out in the first round of play-offs, then the progress began. On DPC 2023: Tour II, Tundra Esports won second place and a pass to The Berlin Major 2023.

However, on reaching DreamLeague S19, Tundra began to experience difficulties. This was reflected in the substitution of a player in the middle of the tournament.

• Tundra Esports: skiter, Nine, 33, Aramis, Sneyking.

Saksa, the "brain" of the team burned out during the DreamLeague S19 and went to rest waiting for the new patch. His place was taken by Aramis, unsuitable in status, but very skilful, otherwise Tundra would not have played here as a favourite.

Tundra are 2-2 on DreamLeague Stage 2 before their match against Evil Geniuses, but have a match against Gaimin Gladiators in reserve. It's doubtful they'll win it, as we've covered in more detail in this betting thread on the GG vs Tundra match.

Tundra Esports' most popular characters

In the top most frequent characters is Enchantress (8 matches, 75% win rate). Also chosen are Mirana (8 matches, 62% wins) and Beastmaster (8 matches, 50% wins).

Choosing heroes include Snapfire (7 matches, 71% wins), Dragon Knight (6 matches, 66% wins), Riki (5 matches, 80% wins).

If you have enough faith in Tundra Esports after a performance from future EG opponents, feel free to bet on them winning at odds in the region of 1.6.

If you think that betting on a Tundra Esports win with a substitute is too early, take a closer look at Evil Geniuses' game performance. The form of this South American representative is covered below.

Evil Geniuses form

On the other side of the barricades in this matchup will be Evil Geniuses. The strongest representative of South America in international tournaments is predicted to be the underdog and the odds are 2.3 for a potential victory.

That kind of figure fits in with the tournament logic, but it also fits in with the overall picture. Evil Geniuses are really the underdog in the encounter, because their performance in DreamLeague Season 19 is a little bit lacklustre and admirable in general.

The team has twice finished in the top 2 in South America, which is not a top result if you want it to be. EG climbed into the top 6 at Lima Major 2023, which is certainly high, but not enough to overtake Tundra Esports even with a replacement.

• Evil Geniuses line-up: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.

Before the Long Conger DreamLeague S19, the Evil Geniuses could be called a stable roster, but with the Long Conger of a major tournament for 1,000,000, that same stability vanished somewhere.

The team made it through to the second stage from Group A, finishing 3rd place there at 10-4, and after that they've been playing like a fog. On the negative side, Pakazs has been the strongest, with his performance against Beastcoast and Shopify Rebellion proving to be a silly extravaganza.

Such individual performance has taken Evil Geniuses to the place where they are now, namely a score of 2-3.

Evil Geniuses' most voted heroes at DreamLeague S19

Beastmaster and Death Prophet remain at the top of Evil Geniuses' most popular heroes. Both heroes have been taken 8 times each and have a good win rate of 75%.

After DP and Primal Beast comes Leshrac, and he is most often played in the third position. He has appeared 6 times and has a 66% win rate.

In addition picks Marci (5 matches, 60% wins), Templar Assassin (4 matches, 100% wins), and Jakiro (4 matches, 100% win).

Ready to give Evil Geniuses "credit" - bet on their victory at odds of 2.3.

If you haven't made up your mind yet, take a look at the history of their head-to-head encounters. Spoiler: They're not exactly in favor of EG.

History of head-to-head encounters between EG and Tundra Esports

The teams have played each other in The Lima Major 2023. That gave Tundra Esports a clean sweep.

Predicted result of the match Evil Geniuses - Tundra Esports

In this match, the most likely outcome of stutunet win Tundra Esports, because the team is really status-oriented and nominally stronger than their South American counterparts. However, a forced stand-in by Saksa on Aramis could cause problems, as no matter how capable the Israeli is, he won't make it as far as Saksa.

I'll believe in one card taken from EG, but that requires some work with Pakazs. In the last series he simply fills up and you can't get that far.

Bottom line: +1.5 on Evil Geniuses.