Match Prediction: Polaris Esports - Team SMG | Dota 2

NikitkaFLZ

EGWxxxBOT

Handicap +1.5 (Polaris Esports)

Prediction for the ESL One Malaysia 2022 closed qualifier match between Polaris and Team SMG. The DPC seems to be over, but it feels like it's still going on.

Team SMG received a direct invite, as well as Polaris, which even raises questions. Polaris ranks higher than Execration and Lilgun after such a DPC season - very funny.

Polaris ended the DPC season without a win, 7 losses in 7 games; 3 cards won and 14 lost. Team SMG has 3 wins and 4 losses; 8 maps won and 9 lost - they were a few steps away from elimination, although they had great chances to get to the Major if they hadn't thrown their own.

On June 15, the teams played each other, then Team SMG defeated Polaris with a score of 2:0. It will be very interesting whether there will be changes in the composition of Polaris or Team SMG, perhaps there will be new players. Throughout the season, Polaris looked for a problem in their difficult - replacing Nevermine and Xavius with Force and Jing. Interestingly, Masaros was declared for SMG on the top three, poloson on the top five, apparently the performance in the DPC season was not particularly satisfactory.

Polaris line-up

Natsumi-
Lelouch
force
xavius
eyyou

Team SMG roster

mid one
MOON
Masaros
ah-fu
poloson

Latest Polaris results

- Winning the match with M11 with a score of 2:0
- Win the match with Refraction Gaming 2:0
- Victory in the match with XERXIA with a score of 2:1
- Lost in a match with T1 with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with fnatic 0:2

Latest Team SMG Results

- Victory in the match with Nigma Galaxy SEA with a score of 2:1
- Lost in a match with Talon Esports with a score of 0:2
- Win the match with fnatic 2:0
- Lost in a match with RSG with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with T1 with a score of 1:2

4 times the teams played each other for all the time; 3 Team SMG wins and 1 draw. In 2022, 3 matches - 2 SMG wins - 1 draw.

On the one hand, Polaris are playing at the Asian Battle Arena there, it may seem like a bad sign, but they need to build synergy with the new offlaner and therefore I consider this a plus. True, they play there with M11, Refract Gaming and other slag.

More esports betting on Telegram: t.me/flzbets

Team SMG somehow quietly made 2 substitutions in the roster, poloson is on the top five instead of pieliedie, Masaros is on the top three instead of Raging Potato, I don't know how good this replacement is, both players are very good.

They are not in a hurry to add odds in Southeast Asia, I am for 1 map from Polaris, I think they are able to take some kind of random rink against a team with 2 substitutions, there Polaris still has high-skill players with a high rating.

Prediction: Polaris will take 1 card from Team SMG

Polaris Esports

2.9

Statistics

32%

68%

Team SMG

1.38

Team SMG are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 1.38. Polaris Esports, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 2.9.

How did the participants perform in the last matches

Last Matches	Polaris Esports	Team SMG
5 matches (wins)	3	2
10 matches (wins)	3	3

Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The competitors have held 4 matches. In these battles Polaris Esports got 0 victories while Team SMG managed to take 3 matches.