Match Prediction: Monaspa - NO SORRY | Dota 2

The autumn reshuffle in the open spaces of competitive Dota 2 continues, and with it, big events are on pause. In order not to completely forget the taste of competitiveness, we are cautiously looking towards European Pro League Season 4.

The local event takes place online, where 10 teams compete for a total prize pool of $20,000. The tournament is at the final stages of the group stage, and therefore the matches, the further, the more significant.

Today I propose to talk about the duel between Monaspa and NO Sorry. Both teams are claiming the upper bracket, and their face-to-face confrontation may decide the fate of reaching the winner.

We figure out who will be stronger and earn important points.

Form NO SORRY

NO SORRY will appear as a favorite in the match. The chance of a team from Eastern Europe winning is estimated by a coefficient of around 1.5.

One and a half coefficients in the column at such a tournament, although it gives an understanding, does not make the team a clear favorite. The level of execution at European Pro League Season 4 often leads to local chaos, and therefore the outcome of the match may turn out to be far from the nominal values.

Whether this is true or not, we will find out in a few hours. Now let's look at the input data.

Line-up NO SORRY

  • dream
  • Mannik
  • cloud
  • Lefitan
  • BLACKARXANGEL

Like most teams in the tournament, NO SORRY is a hodgepodge of downed pilots frantically trying to gain altitude. Of all, we will single out the dream carry and the BLACKARXANGEL five.

The first one used to perform at a high level, representing the lineups of Empire, Gambit Esports and AS Monaco Gambit. For a career already $92,264. In the last year, he has been trying to “put together” his team, playing on the local scene with claims for more.

BLACKARXANGEL has been on the professional stage since 2017, during which time he managed to earn $25,994. Played for Empire, Unique, EXTREMUM, Khan and other teams. Recently, a faithful companion of dream in his ideas to build a combat-ready team.

Efficiency NO SORRY

Previously, the NO SORRY roster defended the Team Unique tag. Playing under the banner of Unique, the team visited 2 seasons of D2CL: TOP-4 at Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 and a similar place at Dota 2 Champions League Season 13. The failure at the qualifiers for The International 2022 put an end to cooperation between the players and the organization.

Returning to their former tag, Dream and the company did not change themselves. Everyone also played local events: TOP-14 at D2CL Season 15, TOP-6 at European Pro League Season 3.

At the tournament itself, the team is on the second line of the group stage before the start of the match. No Sorry has 6 wins in seven matches. The only loss was against the MooN Team on day 11 of the group stage and it wasn't a clean sheet.

Heroes No Sorry

Most often, No Sorry uses Tiny in different positions: the hero has appeared 26 times since the release of patch 7.32 has a 50% win rate.

Also often chosen are Enchantress (19 games, 73% win rate), Faceless Void (17 games, 70% win rate), Marci (17 matches, 70% win rate), Shadow Fiend (11 matches, 63% win rate).

Monaspa shape

In the status of an underdog, Monaspa will approach this match. The chance of winning the European mix is estimated by the odds around 2.3.

As mentioned above, pre-match odds in European Pro League championships are not the fairest. However, in our case, it is more likely to correspond to reality.

It's not that the team is somehow weaker than NO SORRY in terms of performers or other game parameters. The point here is the statistics at the event itself, which will be discussed a little later.

Composition Monaspa

  • Nande
  • W1sh
  • Skylark
  • dEsire
  • SsaSpartan

As we can see, Monaspa's names are not inferior to No Sorry, and perhaps even surpass them. It's about the experience of playing on the Western European scene, which is certainly more competitive than neighboring Eastern Europe.

SkyLark, SsaSparta are dota veterans who know how to play. Or those who once knew, here how to look.

Monaspa results

Since Monaspa is a kind of “Frankenstein monster”, it is not very rational to consider the performance of the team in tournaments other than the current one, although some achievements should be noted. The team managed to win Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 and become the champions of the last season of the European Pro League.

The above milestones look odd when looking at Monaspa's results during Europea Pro League Season 4.

Before the start of the match, the team is on the fifth line with 3-2 statistics. Far from the indicators of past events, but the situation can still be changed. To do this, you need to win No Sorry.

Heroes Monaspa

They play meticulously, but not without personal sympathy. Most Picked Characters in 7.32: Tiny (21 games, 71% win rate), Earthshaker (20 matches, 80% win rate), Snapfire (18 games, 83% win rate), Beastmaster (16 games, 75% win rate), Viper (13 matches, 69% of wins).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams did not play in official matches in these lineups. The match within the group stage of European Pro League Season 4 will be the debut.

Exodus

In this match, I expect an approximately equal game. I do not believe in a clear victory of one of the teams, even despite the intermediate arrangement of the clubs, which is clearly better at No Sorry.

I bet on the total +2.5.

Result: total +2.5.

All bookmakers have agreed that NO SORRY is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.493. This number in the favor of Monaspa amounts 5.077. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.

How did the participants perform in the last matches

Last MatchesMonaspa NO SORRY
5 matches (wins)32
10 matches (wins)85

The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The teams played 0 matches with each other before. And Monaspa won 0 times while NO SORRY correspondingly became the winner 0 times.