Match Prediction: Into the Breach - NO SORRY | Dota 2

The Singapore International 2022 is over. The top DotA is going on hiatus until, hopefully, next year, and the DPC leagues will return only by January next year. However, this does not mean that we will starve for tournament games for two months.

Having rested from the overabundance of high-level DotA, we return to more local events. So, now European Pro League Season 4 is taking place in Eastern and Western Europe.

The EPL series events have always gathered a pool of stable “middle players” and obvious outsiders in the European regions. Season 4 is no exception.

The tournament is in the middle of the group stage, so we jump straight from the ship to the ball. Fortunately, our match is not the most passing and not devoid of intrigue.

We are trying to figure out which team will be stronger and earn the necessary points to advance to the upper bracket of the playoffs.

Form NO SORRY

NO Sorry will be the favorite in this fight. The chance of success of the Eastern European mix is estimated by bookmakers with a coefficient of around 1.7.

This figure is quite comparable with the overall picture and corresponds to the team. Looking ahead, we can say that NO Sorry is one of the contenders for the championship in the European Pro League Season 4, and therefore you should not be surprised at their status in a particular match.

Unlike most teams present at European Pro League Season 4, NO Sorry has a serious background. Five has been functioning for 4 months now.

During this long line level for TIR-2, the team managed to participate in several local tournaments. So, for example, they played last EPL season, climbing into the TOP-6 there. They also performed at D2CL Season 15, where they took the TOP-14.

There were games in the history of NO Sorry and within the DPC ecosystem. The team competed at the DPC EEU 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division II, where, taking fifth place, they retained a slot for the next round.

Line-up No Sorry

  • dream
  • Mannik
  • cloud
  • Lefitan
  • BLACKARXANGEL

The No Sorry five consists mainly of “young” representatives of the Eastern European Dota scene, but there were some familiar faces. Here you have dream, who once played at the top level for Gambit class teams, and now wanders around the teams at the junction of TIR-2 and TIR-3, and BLACKARXANGEL, who has been performing on the professional stage since 2017 at least.

Efficiency No Sorry

We have already talked about the game within the DPC EEU and other tournaments on a smaller scale, and therefore now it is more specific. It is interesting to look at No Sorry in the perspective of the European Pro League.

When in the last season of the championship held for teams from Eastern and Western Europe the team took the TOP-6, the group stage played with dignity: they finished it with a score of 6-3, but did not go to the playoffs.

In the fourth season, the team slowly repeats past achievements. Before the start of the match with Into the Breach, the team has 3 wins in 3 matches:

  • 2-0 victory over No Bounty Hunter
  • 2-0 victory over Ivy
  • Defeated Yet Another Team

In three series, no cards were dealt by No Sorry players.

Heroes No Sorry

Most often, No Sorry uses Tiny in different positions: the hero has appeared 26 times since the release of patch 7.32 has a 50% win rate.

Also often chosen are Enchantress (19 games, 73% win rate), Faceless Void (17 games, 70% win rate), Marci (17 matches, 70% win rate), Shadow Fiend (11 matches, 63% win rate).

Form Into The Breach

Into The Breach will perform as an underdog in this fight. The team's chance of success is estimated by a factor of around 2.

The difference between the teams in terms of coefficients is minimal, and therefore I will call this confrontation parity. I would even give a smaller coefficient for ITB, but specialists know better.

Most likely, No Sorry's classically good performance at the group stages of tournaments at the level of the European Pro League plays a role here. As for the rest, ITB look at least as good, if not better looking than No Sorry as a team.

The team has experience playing in the DPC and is a frequent guest at local events. Showed promise in the second division of Western Europe and not only.

Line-up Into The Breach

  • Otaker
  • Supream
  • xibbe
  • Ari
  • Kidaro

This roster formation was introduced in June of this year and has not changed since then. Moreover, the club has acquired a MiLAN coach and a Leamare analyst, which is clearly done with an emphasis on the future that ITB can have.

ITB Performance

Having casually mentioned the performance of ITB during the season, now let's dwell on them in more detail. The main achievement of the British club with an international roster is the second place in the DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 3 – Division 2, followed by promotion to the first division.

In addition, the team played in the Western European qualifiers for The International. There, the team took 4th place, eventually losing to Team Secret (TOP-2 The International), which is not bad at all.

However, here a problem emerges. Later, ITB played at local events like Last-Last Chance, which are clearly not a priority for them, because preparation for the start of a new competitive season is much more important.

At the European Pro League itself, the team is still playing worse than it can. At least, that is the impression now, based on the current results.

  • Lost to Monaspa 1-2
  • Lost to Ooredoo Thunders 0-2

Agree, not the level of the team that passed into the first division of the DPC.

Heroes Into The Breach

In this patch, ITB is most often played in the meta, the influence of Leamare on the face. Most Picked Crystal Maide (18 games, 55% wins), Tiny (11 matches, 45% wins), Enigma (10 games, 50% wins), Slark (8 matches, 50% wins), Pudge (7 appearances, 71% victory).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams did not play each other.

Match outcome

If guided by logic, then ITB should win this fight. The status of the team is higher, but the current performance of the team does not correspond to it.

In the group stages, NO SORRY play sensibly, there is no doubt about it. And yet, I will be for ITB. I don't think that they completely "scored" in the European Pro League, and therefore 0-2 in the results column will be changed starting from this match.

Outcome: ITB victory.

All bookmakers have agreed that NO SORRY is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.507. This number in the favor of Into the Breach amounts 3.362. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.

What are the successes of the teams in the last games

Last MatchesInto the Breach NO SORRY
5 matches (wins)32
10 matches (wins)65

It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The competitors have held 1 matches. And Into the Breach won 0 times while NO SORRY correspondingly became the winner 1 times.