Match Prediction: Team Knights - EHOME | Dota 2

The first season of DPC 2023 is fast approaching its climax. We have already learned the names of the best teams in Western and Eastern Europe, North and South America, as well as Southeast Asia.

In China, we do not yet know who exactly will lead the tournament table, but we already know the names of three participants in Lima Major 2023. It remains to deal with the last one, and in this regard, the duel between Knights and EHOME plays a huge role.

Knights will approach this match calmly: the team has 5 wins in 6 matches and nominally the first place in the table. The team has already guaranteed itself a spot in the major in Lima, which means they can afford to rest.

EHOME will come into the match with 3-3 in the standings and a very precarious position. Now the team is sharing a place with Extreme and in case of victory they will make an important leap forward, and if they lose, they will leave the final word to Xtreme.

We figure out which team will be stronger in this confrontation. Will EHOME be able to overcome a serious opponent and grab the opportunity to get to Lima Major 2023.

Knights form

We begin the review of the match with an analysis of Knights' game form. They will appear before us as favorites.

The team's chance of winning is estimated by a coefficient around 1.3. This figure is well within the current realities.

As we said above, the Knights have already guaranteed themselves a place at Lima Major 2023 and they are not interested in the result of this match. However, you should not forget about prestige points.

Knights line-up

What is true, it is not clear how much the “knights” are interested in this prestige. From the list of their performances, one can understand that the team does not disdain the status of tournaments and plays on frank

Players

• eGo
• AlaCrity-
• flyby
• Felixciaoba
• XCJ

Recently, the Lunar New Year 2023 “mega” tournament began in Asia. The teams there are of a serious caliber, and the Knights, for a second, are the first place in the top division.

Perfect World launched an investigation into the possible use of the map hack by Knights players. However, after the accusation, the team has already managed to play, which means that either the investigation is ongoing or no evidence has been found, and the Knights will continue to play quietly at DPC 2023: China Upper Division and will most likely go to Lima Major 2023.

Knights performance

Having gathered for the start of DPC 2023, the team managed to “prove” itself at a third-party event. They became the Star Series, held at the local level.

Knights played there against teams like Neon Esports, Team Flow, IG. Vitality and others. As a result of the championship, the team took 3rd place, which, frankly, is a rather strange result. I don't presume to say, but it seems that someone played there not only for the training game.

However, as expected, a completely different game began at the DPC. The team won the map against Team Aster after a rather sad start, and they, in turn, are almost the main contender for the TOP-1 this season.

In the second series, the Knights played with Invictus Gaming. A high-ranking team, but obviously not up to the level of Aster, did not bring any problems to the “knights”. Knights outplayed Invictus Gaming 2-0 rather cleverly.

Later there was a match with PSG.LGD, which plunged into a minimal shock. The Knights outplayed their opponents, closing them with a score of 2-0 with virtually no chance.

The “knights” did not stop at the victory over PSG.LGD and closed down another direct competitor - Xtreme Gaming, but this time for 3 maps.

Knights' next opponent was Aster.Aries. The series was not easy, but the Knights managed to win: 2-1 in their favor.

Before EHOME, the band played with DAWN. It was that match that guaranteed their passage to Lima Major 2023: the Knights defeated the worst team of the season 2-0 without a chance.

Heroes Knights

In this patch, the team played as Tiny (16 matches, 68% win rate), Treant Protector (8 matches, 87% win rate), Drow RANger (8 matches, 62% win rate), Snapfire (7 matches, 71% win rate), Lich (7 matches, 71% wins), Shadow Fiend (7 matches, 71% wins).

Form EHOME

We continue the analysis of the match with the analysis of the game form of EHOME. They will appear before us in the status of an outsider.

Bookmakers do not believe in the success of EHOME. The chance of their victory is estimated by a coefficient in the region of 3.

In principle, the figure can be called conditional. EHOME is playing in waves this season and you don't expect any stability from them.

Composition of EHOME

This is probably due to the replacements in the team's roster. Before the start of the season, the team changed the entire line-up, releasing their most serious performers (shiro in PSG.LGD, for example) on free bread.

EHOME Players

• mks-
• Night
• xiaoyu
• Salad
• Lww

The squad has a perspective, otherwise they would not be here. For example, a couple of supports Salad and Lww look very good.

EHOME Performance

After the qualifiers for The International, where EHOME took the TOP-12, the team played at the local BTS Pro Series Season 13: SEA, where they took the TOP-6. A series of unsatisfactory results led to drastic changes to the roster.

As part of the top division of DPC 2023 in China, EHOME played against IG in the first match. The team was in the status of an outsider, but managed to quite simply close the first map and impose their own rules of the game in the second, which led them to a 2-0 victory.

After debuting with Invictus Gaming, EHOME played against DAWN. Worst team in the first week of DPC 2023: China Upper Division failed to oppose anything to a more title rival. The match ended with an unconditional victory for EHOME.

EHOME later met with PSG.LGD. Despite the expectations of PSG.LGD's quick reprisals against EHOME, the latter showed their teeth and took one card from PSG.LGD.

In the fifth match, EHOME met Aster. The current leaders of the race did not leave a chance to their counterparts and closed the series with a score of 2-0.

Further, the youth team Aster - Aries became the rivals of EHOME. The match ended in a tense bo3 matchup, but ended in EHOME's favour, leaving them with a potential chance to go to the Lima Major.

Heroes of EHOME

In patch 7.32 EHOME, Disruptor and Pangolier are most commonly played. Both characters have 6 appearances, however, the first one won 66% of the matches, and Pangolier only 3 games.

Next come Mirana (4 games, 50% win rate), Tiny (4 games, 50% win rate). Lina, Tusk and Earth Spirit are also frequent guests with 3 appearances, but different win rates: the first two have 66%, ES has 33.

History of personal confrontations

Previously, each team did not play official matches. The duel within the penultimate gaming day of DPC 2023 China Upper Division will be the debut confrontation between the teams.

Match outcome

In this fight, I expect a fairly equal fight, even though the teams are strong in different weight categories. I would venture to believe in EHOME.

The Knights come off as not very sophisticated guys and seem to be able to use the chance for a break if one comes along. They have it, and therefore they can play laxly, if not worse. All in all, EHOME have very slim chances of winning, but they should definitely take at least a card.

Result: +1.5 on EHOME.