Match Prediction: Aster.Aries - EHOME | Dota 2

China region enters the finishing lap. DPC 2023: China Upper Division kicks off the final week of games.

As part of the second gaming week of 4 games, 2 matches await us. Aster.Aries and EHOME will play first.

Both teams are desperate for points. Each of them is to save a place in the first division, but Aster.Aries needs a victory especially urgently.

EHOME's situation during the tournament is going well. The team before the start of the match has a statistic of 2-3, and under a good set of circumstances (without winning this match in any way), the team has a chance to get into the TOP-4 and a trip to the Major.

Aster.Aries are experiencing huge problems. The team has 0-5 statistics and the victory over EHOME is the only opportunity to cling to the chance to stay in the top division.

We figure out which of the teams will be stronger and get, without exaggeration, the critically needed points.

Form EHOME

Let's start the review of the duel with an analysis of the game form of EHOME. They will appear before us in this match in the status of a favorite.

The bookmakers trust EHOME and predict them to win. For such an outcome, they give a coefficient in the region of 1.6.

You can understand the offices. Still, EHOME is much better in terms of performance, although the teams are separated by one position in the table.

Composition of EHOME

The updated EHOME roster did not inspire much confidence. However, with each of their games it seems that in vain.

EHOME Players

  • mks-
  • Night
  • xiaoyu
  • Salad
  • Lww

As for me, a couple of supports look good. Naturally, not without failed matches, which EHOME has enough of in the winter season, and yet.

EHOME Performance

After the qualifiers for The International, where EHOME took the TOP-12, the team played at the local BTS Pro Series Season 13: SEA, where they took the TOP-6. A series of unsatisfactory results led to drastic changes to the roster.

As part of the top division of DPC 2023 in China, EHOME played against IG in the first match. The team was in the status of an outsider, but managed to quite simply close the first map and impose their own rules of the game in the second, which led them to a 2-0 victory.

After debuting with Invictus Gaming, EHOME played against DAWN. Worst team in the first week of DPC 2023: China Upper Division failed to oppose anything to a more title rival. The match ended with an unconditional victory for EHOME.

EHOME later met with PSG.LGD. Despite the expectations of PSG.LGD's quick reprisals against EHOME, the latter showed their teeth and took one card from PSG.LGD.

In the fifth match, EHOME met Aster. The current leaders of the race did not leave a chance to their counterparts and closed the series with a score of 2-0.

Heroes of EHOME

In patch 7.32 EHOME, Disruptor and Pangolier are most commonly played. Both characters have 6 appearances, however, the first one won 66% of the matches, and Pangolier only 3 games.

Next come Mirana (4 games, 50% win rate), Tiny (4 games, 50% win rate). Lina, Tusk and Earth Spirit are also frequent guests with 3 appearances, but different win rates: the first two have 66%, ES has 33.

Aster.Aries form

We continue the analysis of the duel with the analysis of Aster.Aries. They are in this duel in the status of catching up.

The chance of Aster.Aries winning the series is estimated at around 2.2. The bookmakers are in no hurry to bury the youth line-up of Aries, and I completely agree with them.

With Aries in the new season there is an amusing situation. The team did not win a single match, but at least a few of them were very close to success.

Composition of Aries

It's a shame for Aries who got into such a situation, but nothing can be done. Players need more experience to be able to compete with more venerable colleagues in the division.

  • Ulu
  • White_Album
  • ss
  • TK
  • redpanda

Album and Panda were supposed to give that experience, but this tour lacks it - that's a fact. The roster definitely has potential, but I'm afraid after a very likely relegation from the first division, serious changes will come to the team.

Aster.Aries Performance

The main achievement of the team is the preservation of the slot in the top division of the DPC. There was an emphasis on this and in the new season the prospects have not changed.

We started the year with a performance at the Intel World Open Beijing, where we took the TOP-8. Further, a qualitative breakthrough in the second division of China and a passage to the elite league.

In the third round, playing in the top division for the first time in the history of the academic team, Aster.Aries managed to cling to the TOP-6, thereby retaining their place for the 2023 season.

There was no more to be expected. The team failed the subsequent qualifications for ESL One Malaysia 2022.

Participated in The International 2022: China Qualifier, where they were not particularly noticeable. There, the team lost to IG with a score of 1-2 at the TOP-6 stage, where it stayed.

In the first match of DPC 2023, Aster.Aries faced Xtreme Gaming. Contrary to expectations, Aries managed to impose a fight on Xtreme and looked good, although they lost.

What followed was no easier. Aster.Aries played against PSG.LGD, naturally losing with a score of 0-2, without much chance of winning.

The hellish calendar continued with the match against Team Aster. In a game against their parent organization, the Aries got hooked on the second map and led the net for a long time, but a few stupid and sometimes weird moments ended up 0-2.

Next, Aries waited for Invictus Gaming. In that match, the youth team of Aster acted as a favorite, but could not put the squeeze on, despite the card taken from the opponent.

A similar situation happened in the match against the Knights. Aries again took the map, but once again crashed in the series.

Heroes Aster.Aries

Played in Chinese tradition. Among the most selected characters: Death Prophet (4 matches, 25% wins), Ember Spirit (3 matches, 66% wins), Marci (3 matches, 33% wins).

Chen and Clockwerk have an ideal win rate, but too small a selection. Both have 2 games and 2 wins.

Match outcome

Bo3 will be the clearest outcome for me in this fight. Aster.Aries played a full b3 against Xtreme, IG and Knights and I think they have enough strength to fight with EHOME.

As for the victory, I can’t presume to say, but I’m sure about the map. I am also sure that EHOME 0-2 will not lose.

Result: total +2.5.

At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team EHOME as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.34. Aster.Aries chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 7.031 by bookmakers.

What are the successes of the teams in the last games

Last MatchesAster.Aries EHOME
5 matches (wins)21
10 matches (wins)53

The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The teams played 4 matches with each other before. And Aster.Aries won 1 times while EHOME correspondingly became the winner 3 times.