Match Prediction: Outsiders - MOUZ | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Rio Major 2022Outsiders and MOUZ will compete for the right to make it to the grand finals of IEM Rio Major 2022. This is exactly the pair that no one expected to see in the semi-finals, as the mice got a sensational victory over Cloud9 in the ¼ finals.
In turn, the Outsiders took fnatic extremely confidently in their quarter-finals, leaving no questions about their preparation.
Let's not forget that the teams managed to hold two meetings at once during this championship. And if in the first case MOUZ got a victory in BO1 on the Inferno map, then the Russian team declassed the "mice" with a score of 2:0.
Moreover, in the latter case, the Outsiders got the victory with a huge backlog, tritely outplaying the opponent tactically. And now I'm not sure that MOUZ will be able not to repeat the result of that meeting, as well as dastan's wards look a little more interesting.
Form Outsiders
The sixth team of the world ranking played well in the Challengers Stage at IEM Rio Major 2022, although they started with a defeat from MOUZ in the first BO1.
Then the Russian team got three confident victories in a row and made it to the “legends”. Here, Outsiders also started with a loss and now lost to Heroic on Overpass.
And yet, dastan's wards ran through the grid again, outplaying Ninjas in Pajamas, Team Spirit and MOUZ in turn. In general, Outsiders showed that composure and preparation for each opponent bear fruit.
Well, in the quarterfinals, the team confidently defeated fnatic, once again showing class. Therefore, it makes no sense to think that Outsiders will stop now, since the game is really going on.
Latest Outsiders results:
- Defeat from Heroic with a score of 9:16.
- Victory over Ninjas in Pajamas with a score of 16:12.
- Victory over Team Spirit with a score of 16:14.
- Victory over MOUZ with a score of 2:0.
- 2-0 victory over fnatic.
Best Outsiders cards:
- Vertigo - 100% wins.
- Overpass - 80% of wins.
- Dust 2 - 73% win rate
- Mirage - 62% of wins.
- Ancient - 60% of wins.
- Inferno - 54% of wins.
It is worth recalling that the Russian team continues to refuse the Nuke card.
MOUZ form
The seventh team in the world ranking even started the Challengers Stage at IEM Rio Major 2022 with three wins, having managed to outplay Outsiders, Evil Geniuses and fnatic.
Having broken into the "legends", the European team faced the first difficulties. First, MOUZ made it to the fifth round, losing to BIG and the Outsiders along the way.
And yet, the "mice" managed to stay in the game, showing a couple of good matches. However, after the victory over ENCE, there was no particular feeling that now the team will continue to develop its success.
However, in the quarterfinals, MOUZ made an unthinkable sensation as they eliminated Cloud9. Partly, the “mouse” was pierced by the support of the stands. However, the rest of the team had all the problems as before.
Latest MOUZ results:
- Defeated by BIG with a score of 7:16.
- Victory over Vitality with a score of 19:17.
- Lost to the Outsiders with a score of 0:2.
- Victory over ENCE with a score of 2:1.
- Victory over Cloud9 with a score of 2:1.
Best MOUZ cards:
- Overpass - 75% of wins.
- Mirage - 73% of wins.
- Ancient - 60% of wins.
- Inferno - 57% of wins.
- Vertigo - 50% of wins.
Let's not forget that the "mice" continue to refuse the Dust 2 map.
Match statistics Outsiders — MOUZ
As part of the current season, the teams held four meetings:
- MOUZ's victory at PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR A with a score of 16:12.
- Outsiders win at ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022 with a score of 2:1.
- MOUZ's victory at IEM Rio Major 2022 Challengers Stage with a score of 16:6.
- Outsiders win at IEM Rio Major 2022 with a score of 2:0.
At the same time, both victories of the Russian team fell on full-fledged BO3.
Prediction for the match Outsiders — MOUZ
In this match, I consider Outsiders to be the favorite. Firstly, a couple of days ago the team proved that they are much stronger than the “mice” in terms of preparation and the ability to dictate their terms.
Secondly, we see approximately equal maps where both teams play. But here too, the Outsiders have a slight advantage in terms of experience, as the team gains on Inferno and is definitely stronger on Overpass or Mirage. The main question is this: how much do MOUZ want to pick Ancient?
There is no point in talking about Vertigo at all, since the “mice” are unlikely to want to risk so much. In general, for me MOUZ is again an outsider, and I'm unlikely to believe in the second sensation.
Therefore, in this case, I would recommend betting on the Outsiders team to win.
MOUZ:
World ranking - 7
Win rate for 3 months - 71%
Best cards in 3 months - Mirage(73.3% for 15 cards), Overpass(75% for 4 cards), Inferno(57.1% for 14 cards), Ancient(60% for 10 cards), Vertigo(50% for 6 cards).
Best player in 3 months - frozen(Rating 2.0 - 1.13)
Average age of players - 22
World ranking - 6
Win rate for 3 months - 69.2%
Best cards in 3 months - Vertigo(100% for 4 cards), Overpass(80% for 5 cards), Dust2(72.7% for 11 cards), Ancient(60% for 5 cards), Mirage(62.5% for 8 cards), Inferno(53.8% for 13 cards)
Best player in 3 months - Jame(Rating 2.0 - 1.12)
Average age of players - 22.3
Based on HLTV's performance and statistics, as well as personal analysis, the Outsiders should be the winner in this match.
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It is interesting for me to develop in this area and it is much more pleasant to do it while keeping statistics and discussing matches with other people. A telegram channel was created specifically for this. There I will post all my predictions for the matches that interest me. I think there will be people with whom it will be possible to talk about my predictions.
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I am going to devote quite a lot of time to this case, so I hope for your support and an objective assessment. Always glad to hear your opinion. Together we can achieve a good result.
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Telegram channel - https://t.me/demigodloot
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Outsiders as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.423. MOUZ chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 5.802 by bookmakers.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | Outsiders | MOUZ |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 8 | 7 |
Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 4 matches with each other. In these matches Outsiders won 2 times, MOUZ active consisits of 2 wins.