Match Prediction: Nemiga Gaming - mouz NXT | CS2 (CS:GO)
RES European Series #3Welcome to EGamersWorld.
Counter-Strike 2 is never in short supply. While ESL Pro League Season 19, the main tournament of May, is on a bit of a break, the situation on the TIR-2 scene continues to gain momentum. This is the case, for example, at RES European Series #3.
RES European Series #3 is a localised TIR-B for European clubs. It is a local TIR-V for European clubs, where $100,000 and RES ecosystem points are awarded. Nemiga Gaming and MOUZ Nxt are among the contenders for a pretty solid prize for this level.
However, the championship is still in the group stage and there is no need to think about high places, because first we need to reach the play-offs stage. And for that we need to gain points here.
We talk about the match Nemiga Gaming - MOUZ Nxt and try to understand who will be stronger in this fight.
Let's go.
Nemiga Gaming form
We open the match analysis with the analysis of Nemiga Gaming's form. In this match they play as favourites with odds to win at 1.6.
Nemiga is a mid-table side, at best, but no more than that. They have spent the whole year playing in all sorts of qualification tournaments, and before that they played in B and C-tier tournaments, only occasionally making a splash at championships like IEM Chengdu 2024.
For example, in the 2023 season the team won ESEA Season 45: Main Division - Europe, but then - everything was sad: only TOP-8 at the championships of all kinds of Influencers and nothing serious. The breakthrough began in the 2024 season.
Its opening - the performance at the open qualifications for PGL Major Copenhagen 2024, where they failed twice, taking the top-32, and later - the qualifiers for the IEM China 2024. Nemiga Gaming managed to make it here for the third time after failing at the first open qualifiers with Top-64, and then Top-2 at the second qualifiers, which turned into a win at the main qualifiers.
- Nemiga Gaming line-up: 1eeR, FL4MUS, khaN, riskyb0b, Xant3r.
Success at the qualifiers for IEM Chengdu 2024 did not turn into something stable. They took TOP-64 at the qualifiers for IEM Dallas 2024 and TOP-3 at ESEA Season 48: Advanced Division - Europe.
At IEM Chengdu 2024 Nemiga Gaming did what was expected of them: TOP-12. Later there was a performance at Thunderpick World Championship 2024: European Series #1 with the final TOP-8 there. Also, Nemiga Gaming became the champions of RES European Series #2, winning $50,000.
The RES European Series #3 started with a win over 1win in the Group B match.
Nemiga Gaming Mapple
Nemiga's favourite card remains Inferno. The Eagles have played it three times in the last 3 months and won all their games there. Things are also good on Nuke: Nemiga won 3 Nuke games out of 4 played.
Among the good options are Vertigo and Ancient, where Nemiga has 2 wins in 3 games.
The most undesirable map is Mirage. Nemiga have played it 6 times, but have won only once.
Form MOUZ Nxt
We continue the match analysis with the analysis of MOUZ Nxt form. In this match they will play as an outsider with odds to win at around 2.4.
MOUZ Nxt used to be a serious force on the TIR-2 scene and regularly won local championships, leagues and series. This was the case for most of 2021, when MOUZ became champions of 2 WePlay Academy League series and later won season 3 as well. There were also constant appearances in local championships like Malta Vibes and Pinnacle tournaments where MOUZ reached the top 8 and beyond.
MOUZ went on to win at WePlay Academy League Season 5 and then finished in the top 4 at WePlay Academy League Season 6.
MOUZ Nxt's performance dropped dramatically as 2023 progressed. All season long, the young "mice" played at all sorts of championships, qualifiers, leagues and so on. The results at single tournaments can be called successful.
For example, MOUZ Nxt took TOP-8 at CCT Season 1 North Europe Series #3 and TOP-3 at European Pro League Season 6. In the second half of the last season they finished TOP-1 at CCT Season 1 North Europe Series #5.
- MOUZ Nxt roster: Chr1zN, PR, sirah, Neityu, Burmylov.
At the end of the season they finished Top 16 at CCT Season 1: East Europe Series #4, Top 6 at CCT Season 1 Online Finals #4, Top 12 at CCT Season 1 East Europe Series #4 and Top 12 at LEON x TEAMPLAY Season 2 with ESEA Season 47: Advanced Division - Europe.
In the 2024 season, the team continued to play at all sorts of "minor" championships, but much more successfully than the year before.
They started the year with TOP-8 at HATOR Games #1 and continued it with two championships: at United21 Season 10 and European Pro League Season 13. Then a slip from the top-16 at EPL #13 and a win at United 21 Season 12.
At RES European Series #3 MOUZ Nxt Long Sogpegovali with a clean win over Dynamo Eclot.
History of head-to-head meetings Nemiga Gaming - MOUZ Nxt
The teams have played each other twice in the past year. They exchanged series.
Predicted result of Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ Nxt at RES European Series #3
In this matchup of Group D leaders, I expect a roughly equal game from both sides. Both teams have shown a very vigorous Counter-Strike 2 on the Long Stage of their performance in RES European Series #3 and I think they will be able to give us a full-fledged Bo3 series.
Bottom line: total +2.5.
The match has been mathematically analysed using HLTV 2.0 statistics.
Team composition Nemiga Elvis rating 44.83%
- FL4MUS
- khaN
- riskyb0b
- 1eeR
- Xant3r
The team's winrate for the last 33 matches is 56.70%
The team's current form for this match is 1.21
1eeR's Curry Form is 1.35
Team composition MOUZ NXT Elvis Rating 42.90%
- Neityu
- Burmylov
- Chr1zN
- PR
- sirah
The team's winrate for the last 41 matches is 53.90%
The team's current form for this meeting is 1.23
The sirah curry form is 1.51
According to the results of the analysis of the main personal characteristics of the two teams the favourite of Elvis is Nemiga
My prediction:
Nemiga Will win the match. Flat bet 100 rubles GL&HF
I share my opinion, but the decision to play for money is yours alone. It is solely your responsibility. Every game can be won by an outsider, so there is always a risk of losing.
Do not bet more than 5% of the bank, if you are not ready to lose large amounts of money.
My results
Start betting 04.11.2023
Initial bank 200 rubles
Current bank 22610 rubles
Winrate 78.40% (98/27)
More bets in Elvis' Telegram group https://t.me/elvisshotdownufo
Bookmakers & Statistics
According to leading bookmakers predictions, the team Nemiga Gaming are the favorite with average odds 1.483 at the moment. Respectively, bookmakers consider mouz NXT to be the outsider of the match with odds on a victory in the sum of about 3.204.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Nemiga Gaming | mouz NXT |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 5 |
Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 4 matches with each other. In these matches Nemiga Gaming won 1 times, mouz NXT active consisits of 3 wins.