Match Prediction: Mousesports - paiN Gaming | Counter-Strike (CS2)

MOUZ and paiN Gaming will meet at IEM Cologne 2022 Play-In. Despite the fact that the Brazilian team has started to consistently win in North America, I still can't see these guys as a competitor.

It is clear that MOUZ is not the team that will claim victory in any TIER-1 championship, but I think the “mice” will cope with the Brazilians. Especially since paiN Gaming has recently had a negative experience of playing in Europe, and I don't expect any drastic changes in the game of these guys.

Well, another disadvantage of the Brazilians will be the pool, since the opponent plays no worse on all the strongest maps of paiN Gaming, given the difference between the two regions.

MOUZ form

A month ago, the 17th team of the world ranking performed at the Global Esports Tour Dubai 2022, where they managed to reach the grand final and lose to the NIP without the main captain.

Then the European team went to conquer the Roobet Cup 2022 online tournament. It seemed that after defeating Imperial, the “mice” would crush a not-so-strong group and advance to the playoffs.

However, at first MOUZ lost to ENCE, and then they couldn't cope with Eternal Fire. No matter how funny that tournament was, but the wards of sycrone once again failed, which again hints at the need for replacements, first of all, for the position of captain.

Latest MOUZ results:

• Victory over Movistar Riders with a score of 2:0.
• Defeated by NIP with a score of 1:2.
• Victory over Imperial with a score of 2:0.
• Lost to ENCE with a score of 1:2.
• Defeat from Eternal Fire with a score of 1:2.

Best MOUZ cards:

• Ancient - 100% win rate.
• Vertigo - 75% of wins.
• Nuke - 60% win rate.
• Mirage - 50% of wins.
• Overpass - 50% of wins.

It is worth saying that the European team has stopped appearing on the Dust 2 map.

form paiN Gaming

The 26th team of the world ranking managed to take part in the BLAST Premier Spring Final 2022 back in mid-June, where, to put it bluntly, they failed. We can say that the Brazilians took the card from Vitality - after all, the future finalist. But in general, the team failed that championship, once again proving the difference between victories in North America and Europe.

Well, then paiN Gaming routinely won the ESL Challenger League Season 41 North America without dropping a single map in the playoffs. But, again, there is a difference in competition here, because in America you can win, but when you come to Europe, you will lose cards to everyone in a row.

Therefore, I do not believe in the prospects of paiN Gaming in this championship, since the team plays too typical for its region, which will make it easy for any prepared opponent.

paiN Gaming latest results:

• Defeat from Vitality with a score of 1:2.
• Victory over Mythic with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over EG.CD with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over ATK with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over ATK with a score of 3:0.

The best paiN Gaming cards:

• Overpass - 80% of wins.
• Vertigo - 79% of wins.
• Nuke - 77% win rate.
• Dust 2 - 75% win rate.
• Ancient - 75% of wins.
• Inferno - 56% of wins.

At the same time, the Brazilian team continues to refuse the Mirage card.

Match statistics MOUZ — paiN Gaming

The teams have not met before.

Prediction for MOUZ vs paiN Gaming

Personally, I remember how helplessly the Brazilians looked at BLAST Premier Spring Final 2022. There, paiN Gaming could not offer FaZe Clan and Vitality anything at all, by some miracle they managed to take the Dust 2 card away from the Danish-French team.

Otherwise, all these victories against ATK mean nothing, since the North American region is dead and shows no signs of life for the third year.

In turn, MOUZ also has problems, but the team can gather on LAN thanks to experience. Plus, it's hard to get the difference between the two regions out of my head, which makes me not want to look in favor of paiN Gaming at all.

Therefore, here I would recommend betting on the victory of the MOUZ team with Handicap by rounds (-3.5).