Match Prediction: BIG - Vitality | CS2 (CS:GO)

In the top matches of Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B, Team Vitality and BIG will play against each other. Vitality is obviously the clear favorite of the meeting here and, according to experts from bookmakers, their probability of winning is 69%, and the odds, respectively, are equal to 1.35. They are likely to emerge victorious, but instead of simply betting on their triumph, I suggest placing a bet on the alternative market. On which one we will understand further.

Team Vitality uniform

Vitality is the 3rd team in the world according to HLTV and the champion of the recently completed ESL Pro League Season 16. As part of the previous event, the team was defeated only on 4 maps during the entire championship. Now the roster is in excellent playing shape, which was perfectly demonstrated in the debut match at the ongoing Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B. Then ZyWoo and his teammates played against FANTASY and lost in only 6 rounds on the Dust 2 map. It is worth noting that that their opponents, for some reason, have chosen this card, which Vitality plays best. So Vitality is currently on a 9 win streak and there is no reason they won't extend it to 10 wins. The team is rapidly moving towards getting an invitation to the Major tournament with a prize pool of $1,250,000 and BIG is just one more obstacle on the way to this goal.

Surprisingly, according to the stats, Vitality perform almost undeniably on only one map, Dust 2. They have an 85.7% win rate there. On Inferno, Vertigo and Overpass, the figures are also not bad and equate to 66.7%, while on Mirage and Nuke things are even worse - 50% and 42.9% respectively. It is noteworthy that most often the team performs at Inferno and Vertigo, where they have two-thirds of the meetings won.

History of recent Team Vitality meetings

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B

• Team Vitality 16-6 FANTASY

ESL Pro League Season 16 (playoffs)

• Team Vitality 3-2 Team Liquid
• Team Vitality 2-0 G2 Esports
• Team Vitality 2-0 Outsiders

ESL Pro League Season 16 (group stage)

• Team Vitality 2-0 Team Spirit
• Team Vitality 2-1 Natus Vincere
• Team Vitality 2-1 Fnatic
• Team Vitality 2-0 NiP
• Team Vitality 2-0 Endpoint

Team Vitality Card Statistics

• Dust 2 (6 cards) - 85.7%
• Inferno (9 cards) - 66.7%
• Vertigo (9 cards) - 66.7%
• Overpass (6 cards) - 66.7%
• Mirage (10 cards) - 50%
• Nuke (7 cards) - 42.9%

Game form BIG

Lately, there has been a decline in BIG results and their descent in the world rankings. Previously, they were in the top 10 strongest teams in the world, and now they are on the 16th line in the HLTV rating. Surprisingly, BIG performed in the first match of IEM Road to RMR not just well, but simply smashed their opponents, losing to them in total by only 3 rounds. There were no special prerequisites for this, as the team performed poorly at ESL Pro League Season 16, where it took 13-16th place. Nevertheless, the team got together and, apparently, is ready to show good results. But defeating the ESL Pro League champion will not be so easy, but tabseN and his teammates will at least try.

The team is still the same as before, there are problems with the approach to choosing maps. They can only do great on Mirage, where they have a 66.7% win rate. On the rest of the maps, at best, the percentage of wins is equal to 33.3%.

History of recent BIG meetings

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B

• BIG 16-3 Sangal

ESL Pro League Season 16

• BIG 0-2 FaZe Clan
• BIG 2-1 FTW
• BIG 2-1 MIBR
• BIG 0-2 G2 Esports
• BIG 0-2 Outsiders

BIG map statistics

• Mirage (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Inferno (3 cards) - 33.3%
• Vertigo (3 cards) - 33.3%
• Dust 2 (7 cards) - 28.6%
• Nuke (7 cards) - 28.6%
• Overpass (1 card) - 0%

Conclusion

Team Vitality is a clear favorite here, but BIG can also impose a good fight on their opponents. Teams won't play Mirage, because Vitality doesn't like it, and BIG has the best map, where they showed a master class in the previous match. By the same logic, Dust 2 will not appear either. In all other respects, all the maps on which BIG did not show excellent results remain. This is where the confidence comes from that Vitality will not lose in a large number of rounds in the upcoming fight. Here you could also bet on Handicap -3.5 with odds of 1.72, but I prefer the more risky option with Handicap -4.5 rounds in favor of Vitality. The coefficient for this market is 1.97, and BIG, apparently, will not be able to take even 11 rounds from their opponents.

Final bet: Handicap -4.5 rounds in favor of Team Vitality with odds of 1.97