Match Prediction: OG - GamerLegion | CS2 (CS:GO)
PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR BWelcome to EGamersWorld.
The battles continue at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B. The qualifying tournament for the first ever Counter-Strike 2 Major is gaining momentum and today is the penultimate day of games.
As a reminder, there are 11 slots at stake at the Major, including 3 spots on Decider Brackets. OG and GamerLegion are also in Copenhagen, but they have the longest road ahead of them, as both teams are 1-2 away from elimination.
We are trying to figure out which of the teams will be stronger and will earn an important victory, but not a guaranteed one. The loser will have nothing to hope for.
Let's go.
GamerLegion Form
Let's open the match with an analysis of GL's form. In this match GamerLegion will play in the status of favourites with odds to win at around 1.6.
After the triumphant Paris Major a GamerLegion gave up in terms of performance. However, they are not weak, otherwise they would look much worse at major tournaments than they do now.
In 2023, GamerLegion didn't show much promise. They played well at local events like Thunderpick Bitcoin Series #2 where they won, CCT West Europe Series #1 where they finished top 2, RES Western European Masters: Spring 2023 where they finished top 2 again.
There was also TOP-1 at Elisa Invitational Winter 2023, but the main achievement happened in May this year. It was then that GamerLegion defied logic and made it to the grand final of BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023, where they defeated the hosts of the tournament - Vitality.
- GamerLegion lineup: acoR, Snax, Keoz, isak, volt.
After a great injury in Paris, GamerLegion lost two of their headliners - siuhy and iM. Newcomers neaLaN and volt are not yet reaching the level of Top 2 Major a, and their KDs are eloquent: 0.64 for the former and 0.78 for the latter.
The first match at IEM Cologne 2023 was against Monte. The Ukrainian club was head to head and shut down their vis-a-vis with a score of 2-0 (16-8 Mirage, 16-11 Overpass).
GamerLegion managed to switch on at the last moment. In the match against TheMongolZ, on the first map GL Ledge were 8-16 up on Mirage, but cameback Inferno (16-8), and closed the series on the dopes with Overpass (19-15).
The International was even more interesting against fnatic. On the first map Vertigo GL lost with the score 5-16, but on Inferno GamerLegion played 16-12, and on Ancient they closed the dopes with the score 19-17.
As a result, IEM Cologne 2023 ended with GL in 8th place. They were knocked out by Cloud9, but the result is a good one considering the lineup change.
At Gamers8 Long Sogpeg were matched against Apeks, the other opener of the Paris Major. Both maps gave GL a serious headache, but after dopes on Mirage and a close fight on Overpass GL made it to the next round. However, that's where GL's G8 journey ended at the Top 8, when they lost to Heroic 1-2.
GamerLegion later attended ESL Pro League Season 18 and IEM Sydney 2023. Both tournaments didn't go well: top-20 at EPL, top-8 at IEM Sydney.
ESL Challenger Jonkoping 2023 GL is going pretty well. First Ledge beat MIBR 9-13, and then beat 3DMAX 2-1 in the match for life. With a race left, GL made it to the top 6, but there Ledgeili Vp.
Towards the end of the year Gamer Legion played at Elisa Masters Espoo 2023, where they reached the top 6, BB Dacha (top 8) and ESL Challenger at DreamHack Atlanta. Top 8 there again.
There were two big tournaments in the 2024 season before RMR's Long Sogpeg - BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024 and IEM Katowice 2024. Both GL championships finished in the top 12, which I would call a pretty good result.
At PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B GL Long Sogpeg started with a no-hitter against VItality (3-13) before beating Pera (13-6) and losing to ENCE (14-16) on the dopes.
GamerLegion mappool
The best map GL is Overpass. The team has 6 wins and 2 losses there.
There was also Ancient with 2 wins and 1 loss. Still have Mirage in the pool (57% wins in 7 matches).
On Inferno they are 2-2. Nuke has 1 try and a loss.
Not playing on Anubis and Vertigo.
OG Form
We continue the match analysis with the analysis of OG form. In this match the team is playing as number two, with odds to win at around 2.2.
The 55th team of the world ranking can't boast of big wins. OG have played a lot of games during the season, but there are no results at all.
Among the most high-profile - 7th place on BLAST.tv European RMR A and passage to the Major tournament, but failure directly in Paris. At the actual Paris Major 2023 the club took TOP-22.
Among the A Crossovers, we can mention only Brazy Party. The commercial tournament ended for OG at the stage of TOP-4, which was the best result for the whole year.
Before IEM Cologne 2023, OG failed to qualify for the last chance at Gamers8, and finished in the top 12 at BLAST Premier: Fall 2023 Groups.
- OG roster: F1KU, regali, k1to, Nexius, HeavyGod.
The latest replacements in the form of FASHR, k1to and Regali joining the team a month ago are not paying off yet. The Frenchman and the German have ratings below 0.89 and 0.94 and this is the worst among the team, which, however, does not shine with bright personalities.
Despite the dismal statistics of the players in recent months, in the first match against 9INE OG looked good, although they failed to get the win. They lost to the Poles on Overpass with a score of 17-19.
Cologne itself did not end well for the Europeans. OG lost to NaVi in the last chance set, and then prematurely left the championship.
After failing at a major event, OG took to playing everything. Mostly small tournaments: CCT Online Finals #2, CCT East Europe Series #1, Pinnacle Cup V, IEM Sydney 2023 qualifiers, Thunderpick World Championship 2023: European Series #2, CCT Online Finals #3 with BLAST Premier: Fall European Showdown 2023 and CCT North Europe Series #8. I purposely didn't separate these andVent and lumped them together as OG dissolved on them everywhere else. At best it was top 6, like at the IEM Sydney qualifiers, and on average it was top 8.
In general, Roobet Cup 2023 can be assessed as a real chance for OG to show something in the second half of the year. So far there are prospects for that, because OG came out of a rather difficult Group D, where they left behind Fnatic and NiP. However, they didn't manage to get any further than the top 8.
Next up was the Top 16 at CCT Central Europe Series #8. 2024 started off pretty tough: they finished Top 64 at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024 at the first qualifier, but after that they finished Top 2 at the second qualifier. This allowed them to advance to PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European Qualifier A, where they took Top-7 and made it here.
Prior to PGL CS 2 Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B, they played at BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024, where they couldn't get above the top 16.
PGL CS 2 Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B started with an expected loss to Apeks (5-13), then managed to beat Preasy (13-9) but Ledgeili ECSTATIC (11-13).
OG Mapple
The only map where OG have won in the last 3 months is Mirage. They had a BIG win, but 2 losses later.
They tried to make something up on Inferno and Ancient, but they lost twice there, and then there was Overpass and the same loss.
History of head-to-head meetings GamerLegion - OG
The teams played each other twice last season and both times GamerLegion won.
Predicted result of OG vs GamerLegion at PGL CS 2 Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B
In my opinion, OG have already spent all the mana for the game with Preasy. They can't go further than the basket 1-2, and there is nothing to do there, unlike GL, who can give a fight to more serious opponents than OG.
Bottom line: GL wins.
OG vs. GamerLegion
On Wednesday 21.02.2024 at 17:00 there will be a BO3 match in CS2 (CS:GO) format between OG (Denmark) and GamerLegion (Germany). The event takes place in the format of the Europe RMR B stage of the Major Championship PGL Copenhagen 2024 tournament. According to the OG vs GamerLegion odds list, there is no clear favourite in the match, with bookmakers giving the OG team a 40% chance of winning and GamerLegion a 60% chance of winning. According to the analysis of individual indicators GamerLegion is a bit stronger. In terms of the tournament, OG look a little stronger. The teams have no head-to-head meetings. Against common opponents both lost to Vitality.
Prediction:
In this meeting I consider GamerLegion as the favourite, the OG squad is dead and is unlikely in its current form can be a good opponent for Siuhy and companies that have gained momentum, so we can safely take the victory of GamerLegion.
Betting:
GamerLegion victory - 12.5% of the bank (~coeuf. 1.53)
The analysis was made with the help of a special programme.
More predictions and details in my telegram channel, not all predictions I have time to give here:
https://t.me/foxkingcast
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team GamerLegion as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.568. OG chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 2.393 by bookmakers.
What are the successes of the teams in the last games
Last Matches | OG | GamerLegion |
5 matches (wins) | 1 | 1 |
10 matches (wins) | 4 | 4 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 2 matches with each other. And OG won 0 times while GamerLegion correspondingly became the winner 2 times.