Match Prediction: FURIA - paiN Gaming
The BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Playoffs are just around the corner, and we’re continuing to share our predictions for the upcoming matches. Today, we’ve got a Brazilian derby on our hands — FURIA vs paiN Gaming.
Both teams are known for their aggressive playstyle, and they’ve each proven to be dangerous opponents for any team at this tournament. Now, let’s take a closer look at both sides and try to determine who will come out on top in this matchup and move forward in the playoff bracket — especially from a betting tips perspective.
How the bookies view it: FURIA Favorite
Before we dive into our analysis, let’s take a look at what the bookmakers are saying and the odds they’re offering for each team’s victory.
The odds clearly favor FURIA, ranging 1.40. Meanwhile, paiN Gaming is getting much less confidence from the bookies — sitting at around 2.60, что в целом объяснимо, учитывая опыт игроков FURIA и paiN Gaming. Также немало важно выделить, что FURIA на данный момент занимает десятую строчку в мировом рейтинге, в то время как paiN Gaming 19. Хотя это не так важно на турнире такого уровня.
So, we’ve seen the bookmakers’ take — now let’s break down the matchup in more detail and move on to some well-grounded CS2 betting tips.
FURIA form. What result can be expected from FURIA
Let’s start our breakdown with the favorites of this matchup — FURIA.
We’ll take a look at their recent results, including both victories and losses across various tournaments.
Place | Tournament | Format | Type | Opponent | Score |
9th–12th | Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 | Offline | S-Tier | Gamer Legion | 1:2 |
4th | PGL Astana 2025 | Offline | S-Tier | Aurora | 1:2 |
12th–14th | PGL Bucharest 2025 | Offline | S-Tier | The MongolZ | 0:2 |
13th–16th | BLAST Open Spring 2025 | Offline | S-Tier | M80 | 1:2 |
12th–14th | ESL Pro League Season 21 | Offline | S-Tier | Falcons | 1:2 |
13th–16th | Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2025 | Offline | S-Tier | Astralis | 1:2 |
9th–16th | BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier | Online | A-Tier | Team BB | 1:2 |
9th–11th | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 | Offline | S-Tier | FaZe | 1:2 |
7th | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: American RMR | Offline | A-Tier | M80 | 2:0 |
3rd–4th | Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 | Offline | S-Tier | MOUZ | 0:2 |
13th–16th | ESL Pro League Season 20 | Offline | S-Tier | Team Spirit | 0:2 |
5th–6th | BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 #2 | Offline | S-Tier | Eternal Fire | 1:2 |
13th–16th | Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2024 | Offline | S-Tier | Liquid | 0:2 |
5th–8th | Esports World Cup 2024 | Offline | S-Tier | MOUZ | 1:2 |
3rd–4th | YaLLa Compass 2024 | Offline | S-Tier | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 0:2 |
2nd | CCT Season 2 European Series #4 | Online | B-Tier | GUN5 Esports | 0:2 |
5th–8th | CCT Season 2 European Series #3 | Online | B-Tier | 1WIN | 0:2 |
17th–20th | ESL Pro League Season 19 | Offline | S-Tier | Monte | 1:2 |
Judging by the results over the past year, FURIA has been going through a rough patch, with highly unstable performances. They’ve participated in many tournaments ranging from B-Tier to S-Tier, but the majority of those outings have been disappointing. Even in events well below their usual level, they failed to deliver — losing to teams significantly weaker and lower in the global rankings. From a Betting Prediction standpoint, this inconsistency makes them a risky pick — yet one with potential if they manage to find their form in time.
The team’s coach is sidde who has been with the roster for 11 months. He has coached 176 maps with a win rate of 52%.
paiN Gaming form. What result can be expected from paiN Gaming
Now let’s do the same with paiN Gaming — take a look at their recent tournaments and results.
Place | Tournament | Format | Opponent | Score |
12th–14th | PGL Astana 2025 | Offline | MIBR | 0:2 |
7th–8th | BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 | Offline | Grp.S | 0:2 |
13th–16th | IEM Melbourne 2025 | Offline | Complexity | 0:2 |
15th–16th | PGL Bucharest 2025 | Offline | Falcons | 1:2 |
12th–14th | ESL Pro League Season 21 | Offline | Eternal Fire | 0:2 |
5th–8th | PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 | Offline | MOUZ | 0:2 |
3rd–4th | Ace South American Masters Spring 2025 | Online | Imperial Esports | 0:2 |
17th–20th | IEM Katowice 2025 | Offline | Astralis | 0:2 |
5th–8th | BLAST Bounty Spring 2025 | Offline | NAVI | 1:2 |
1st–8th | BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier | Online | FaZe | 2:0 |
12th–14th | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 | Offline | FURIA | 1:2 |
3rd–5th | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: American RMR | Offline | 9z Team | 2:0 |
3rd–4th | ESL Challenger Katowice 2024 | Offline | B8 | 1:2 |
1st | ESL Challenger League Season 48: South America | Online | MIBR | 3:1 |
13th–16th | IEM Rio 2024 | Offline | FaZe | 1:2 |
3rd–4th | CBCS Masters 2024 | Online/Offline | Bestia | 0:2 |
1st | ESL Challenger Katowice 2024: South American Qualifier | Online | Fluxo | 2:1 |
27th | BLAST Premier World Leaderboard 2024 | Online/Offline | Grp.S | 550 pts |
4th | BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 #2 | Offline | Eternal Fire | 0:2 |
5th–8th | BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024 | Online | FaZe | 1:2 |
paiN Gaming, much like their opponents, have also struggled with consistency. Competing across various tournaments of different tiers, the team hasn’t managed to reach any major heights — but they’re far from being considered a weak team.
Player | Time on Team | Maps Played | Rating 2.1 |
biguzera | 6 years 4 months | 1320 | 1.14 |
nqz | 1 year 7 months | 444 | 1.10 |
snow | 1 year 1 month | 316 | 0.99 |
dav1deuS | 5 months | 94 | 1.03 |
dgt | 1 month | 25 | 1.06 |
The team’s coach is rikz, who has been with the roster for 3 years and 7 months. During this time, he has coached 894 maps with a win rate of 63%.
Recent head to head: FURIA Team edging it
Although the teams haven’t faced each other very often at major tournaments, their encounters have been quite competitive — and the results have varied each time.
Tournament | Winning Team | Score |
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Stage 2 | paiN Gaming | 0:1 |
Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 | FURIA | 2:1 |
As we can see, the teams have only faced each other a couple of times over the past year, and during that period, both FURIA and paiN Gaming have undergone roster changes. So in many ways, this match will feel like a fresh start — which adds an extra layer of intrigue from a CS betting prediction perspective.
Players to watch: KSCERATO and biguzera
As with every top-tier team, there are players who are simply a joy to watch — and these teams are no exception. I highly recommend keeping an eye on KSCERATO, one of the most consistent players in CS, who delivers excellent stats in every match. Also worth watching is biguzera, a seasoned player who’s putting up impressive numbers at this Major.
Probable map picks
Map picks are one of the most important aspects of the game. Even at this stage, they can determine the winner of the series. So, let’s try to figure out which maps we can expect in this exciting Bo3 matchup.
I believe we’ll most likely end up on either Dust2, Anubis, Mirage, or Nuke.
But let’s dive deeper into the map veto and see what we can figure out — especially for those looking to make informed CS2 betting picks.
Which maps does pick and ban most often FURIA?
Here is the table with the teams’ map results over the past few months.
Category | Map | Winrate | Notes |
Strongest maps | Dust2 | 70.0% | 7W-3L First Pick |
| Train | 66.7% | 6W-3L |
| Anubis | 55.6% | 5W-4L |
Average performance | Nuke | 50.0% | 3W-3L |
Weakest maps | Inferno | 33.3% | 2W-4L |
| Mirage | 30.0% | 3W-7L |
Most likely, paiN Gaming will ban the maps they don’t play at all — specifically Train and their current go-to first ban, Ancient. This opens up the possibility for FURIA to play their strongest map at the moment — Dust2. If Dust2 ends up banned, then I believe FURIA won’t mind playing Train or Anubis instead.
Which maps does pick and ban most often paiN Gaming?
Now let’s move on to paiN Gaming and take a look at their strongest and weakest maps.
Category | Map | Winrate | Notes |
Strongest maps | Nuke | 50.0% | 4W-4L First Pick |
| Mirage | 50.0% | 2W-2L |
Average performance | Dust2 | 45.5% | 5W-6L |
Weakest maps | Inferno | 33.3% | 3W-6L |
Weakest maps | Anubis | 20.0% | 1W-4L |
| Train | 0.0% | 0W-3L |
| Ancient | 0.0% | 0W-1L First Ban |
paiN Gaming’s map pool is a lot more complicated. They don’t seem to have any truly consistent maps, but judging by their recent performances, Mirage or Nuke could potentially be their pick. However, it’s more likely that FURIA will prefer to play Nuke over Mirage — a detail worth considering when making your CS2 picks.
Predicted result of the match
That wraps up our analysis, and now we’ve reached the decisive moment — it’s time to make a prediction for the FURIA vs paiN Gaming match at the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025. Based on all the information and statistics above, FURIA looks like the favorite in this matchup. The combination of the team’s vast experience and firepower should lead them to victory in this Bo3.
My prediction: a FURIA victory.
From a betting tips perspective, FURIA is the optimal and reliable pick. While the team has been somewhat inconsistent, swinging between success and failure, this Bo3 should go in their favor. If it were a Bo1 match, one might lean toward paiN Gaming — but in a Bo3, I believe in FalleN and his extensive leadership experience.
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