Match Prediction: Movistar Riders - Team Liquid | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Cologne 2022Movistar Riders and Team Liquid will play as part of the evening quarter-finals of IEM Cologne 2022. I think it is necessary to say in advance that the winner will enter FaZe Clan, which, as it were, automatically minus morale and a permanent defeat with a 90% probability. Well, a plus for the losing team will be an additional day of rest, which will be added to the upcoming pause between the championships for a whole month.
If we talk about this match, then I looked at the statistical sample even on our website and was a little horrified, since the majority voted for the victory of the Spanish team. Honestly, no matter how cool he performed at the start of the championship, this pause, as well as pressure from the stage, will definitely have a negative impact on Movistar Riders.
Plus, the North Americans themselves skate well, having found their game in recent matches and, as it seems to me personally, have become liberated. And if we add here the experience, which Team Liquid has much more, it becomes sad for the Spaniards.
Well, I would like to say that no matter how cool Movistar Riders played at this tournament, one should not forget where the team crawled a month ago. And she collected some crumbs at all the championships in a row, and then the Spaniards did absolutely nothing.
Movistar Riders Uniform
The thirteenth team in the world ranking impressed absolutely everyone with their game over the past two weeks. Let's go back and say that the Spanish team managed to win the home ESL Challenger Valencia 2022, where, not without a bounce, they outplayed Outsiders.
However, at the start of IEM Cologne 2022, the team surprised absolutely everyone, although they had not shown anything supernatural before. And after all, Movistar Riders started with a difficult victory over MIBR, but then they took out Vitality on two maps and made it to the group stage.
Here the team continued to break all conceivable and unthinkable patterns, first rolling out G2, and then not allowing the poor fellows from Vitality to take revenge. Of course, the Spaniards still didn’t pass NAVI, but they managed to show their teeth on the Inferno map, where they didn’t give a single round for defense.
Still, I still have doubts about Movistar Riders, because this team seems to me for one tournament, and then we will return to the championships from the bookmakers and the last places.
Movistar Riders latest results:
- Victory over MIBR with a score of 16:13.
- Victory over Vitality with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over G2 with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over Vitality with a score of 2:1.
- Lost to NAVI with a score of 1:2.
The best maps of Movistar Riders:
- Nuke - 78% of wins.
- Vertigo - 60% of wins.
- Mirage - 50% of wins.
- Ancient - 50% win rate.
- Inferno - 50% win rate.
Let me remind you that the Spanish team has long abandoned the Dust 2 map.
Form Team Liquid
The 17th team in the world ranking was also not considered a favorite to win, in addition, it is unlikely that anyone would put them in the playoffs. Moreover, at the start of the group stage (and the team started from here), the North Americans lost to Team Spirit, at some point letting go of their game on the Ancient map.
However, then Team Liquid began to gain and, as it seems, find their game in conjunction with YEKINDAR. As a result, the team closed out 00NATION, Cloud9 and FURIA in turn, and ended up in the playoffs.
What do I think? The North American team has clearly found a balance between strict preparations and starting aggression that comes from one YEKINDAR. And there is a feeling that in these few days Team Liquid will play even stronger.
Latest Team Liquid results:
- Defeated by Cloud9 with a score of 0:2.
- Defeat from Team Spirit with a score of 1:2.
- Victory over 00NATION with a score of 2:1.
- Victory over Cloud9 with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over FURIA with a score of 2:0.
The best maps of Team Liquid:
- Mirage - 80% of wins.
- Ancient - 73% of wins.
- Vertigo - 60% of wins.
- Dust 2 - 67% of wins.
It is worth recalling that the North American team is no longer shown on the Nuke map.
Match statistics Movistar Riders — Team Liquid
Within the framework of the current season, the teams held one meeting - at ESL Pro League Season 15, the victory went to Movistar Riders (2:1).
Prediction for the match Movistar Riders — Team Liquid
Well, back to the statistical parameters that surround the presented teams:
- Movistar Riders have the second strongest defense among the participants in the championship playoffs - the North Americans are not so far (on the third line), but they are 4.5% behind.
- However, Team Liquid feels a little better in attack (the third indicator among the playoff participants). At the same time, the Spaniards are doing a little worse, but not critical - the fourth indicator.
- The obvious advantage of Movistar Riders is the ADR value applied from grenades (the best of the presented).
- While the Spaniards are slightly better in 5 vs 4 situations, Team Liquid is ahead in terms of win percentage in 4 vs 5 situations.
As for the subjective opinion, I do not believe in the continuation of the Spanish miracle. Firstly, Movistar Riders has never played in such conditions (filled arena). In addition, the Spaniards had a few days of rest, which could break the motivation.
In addition, the North American team also cannot be called a favorite, so loud epithets do not apply to “liquid”. And yet, these guys seemed to me a little more interesting in terms of their growth within the same tournament.
Therefore, here I would recommend betting on Team Liquid to win.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Movistar Riders are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 1.811. Team Liquid, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 3.579.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Movistar Riders | Team Liquid |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 8 | 5 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 1 matches with each other. In these matches Movistar Riders won 1 times, Team Liquid active consisits of 0 wins.