Match Prediction: Sharks - MIBR | CS2 (CS:GO)

Sharks Esports and MIBR will play in the BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America semi-final match for the right to become the first grand finalist. The compatriots will fight in an unequal battle and, according to experts and spectators, MIBR obviously and fairly act as the clear favorite of this fight. According to experts, the probability of MIBR triumph in the match is 69%, which is equivalent to a coefficient of 1.35. Is it worth just betting on MIBR here, or can you find an alternative market with little risk to improve your profit and performance? We will find out.

Sharks Esports uniform

Now the Brazilian squad is in 167th place. I don't like the composition of this team, unlike the one who plays in the ranks of MIBR. In addition, the last time before the start of BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America, Sharks Esports played on the professional stage only at CCT South America Series 2 and took 3rd-4th place there, having been defeated in the semi-finals by Paqueta Esports, which is not a good result.

The debut of the team at BLAST Premier was quite good. The team fought against Complexity Gaming and did not lose a single map in the fight against the latter. This result was quite surprising, since Complexity is a team that is in the top 20 rosters of the world and is ranked 18th in the HLTV rating. Theoretically, if Sharks beat Complexity, then they will be able to defeat MIBR, but in practice, I doubt the likelihood of such an event. The team won the fight against Complexity Gaming on Dust 2 and Nuke. There they have a win rate of 54.5% and 60% respectively. In fact, these are the 2 best maps of the Brazilian squad, not counting Vertigo, where it was played only 1 time. It is worth noting that Complexity Nuke is also in the status of the best card.

As for the map pool, Sharks, with the exception of Mirage, has more or less positive statistics. The team performs successfully on Ancient, Inferno, Dust 2 and Nuke in 50% of cases and more. On Vertigo, the win rate is 100%, but there was only one match, but on Mirage, the win rate is equal to 42.9% with 7 cases played. In general, the Sharks map pool looks quite good, and if the team picks cards that are convenient for themselves in the match, they will be able to impose a fight on their countrymen from MIBR.

History of Sharks Esports recent meetings

BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America

• Sharks Esports 2-0 Complexity Gaming

CCT South America Series 2

• Sharks Esports 0-2 Paqueta
• Sharks Esports 2-0 Daotsu
• Sharks Esports 2-0 WINDINGO

Sharks Esports Card Statistics

• Vertigo (1 card) - 100%
• Nuke (5 cards) - 60%
• Dust 2 (11 cards) - 54.5%
• Inferno (2 cards) - 50%
• Ancient (2 cards) - 50%
• Mirage (7 cards) - 42.9%

MIBR uniform

MIBR here looks like a more confident participant in the meeting than Sharks Esports. This applies to many aspects. The team has a higher position in the world rankings and is ranked 27th in the top by HLTV. The mappool is also admirable, but the last match held as part of the BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America suggests that MIBR is not in its best shape right now. In addition, MIBR were defeated in the last match at ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America against Nouns. If MIBR lost one map in the match against LOS + oNe, then the meeting against the Sharks, who defeated the 18th team in the world, is also unlikely to be easy.

But what plays into the hands of MIBR players is the arsenal of maps they play on. There is absolutely no place in the MIBR pool where they have less than 58% win rate. The best two maps are Nuke and Ancient, where the team has a win rate of 71.4%. It is also noteworthy that the team played 14 times on Nuke, and 7 times on Ancient. MIBR also performed quite well on Inferno and Dust 2. There, the percentage of wins is 62.5% and 60%, respectively, and with 8 and 15 games played, this can be considered an objective assessment. On Overpass and Vertigo, the Brazilian squad performed successfully in 60% and 58.3% of cases. The team played there 5 and 12 times.

History of recent MIBR meetings

BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America

• MIBR 2-1 LOS + oNe

ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America

• MIBR 0-2 Nouns
• MIBR 2-0 Evil Geniuses Black
• MIBR 2-0 Iron Blood Gaming
• MIBR 2-0 Brazen
• MIBR 2-1 Mythic

MIBR card statistics

• Nuke (14 cards) - 71.4%
• Ancient (7 cards) - 71.4%
• Inferno (8 cards) - 62.5%
• Dust 2 (15 cards) - 60%
• Overpass (5 cards) - 60%
• Vertigo (12 cards) - 58.3%

Conclusion

In this confrontation, on the one hand, we have the favorite of the meeting, MIBR, and on the other hand, the dark horse Sharks Esports, a team that cannot be underestimated. They can quite win here if they have already managed to defeat Complexity Gaming. To do this, the Sharks will have to perform on their favorite Nuke and Dust 2 maps. The bad news for them is that MIBR also love to play on Nuke, and Dust 2 is the most played map by Brazilians. For this reason, I assume that Sharks Esports, although they will be able to show themselves well, will still fail here. However, the dark horse may well pick up one card, and the match will end with a score of 2-1 in favor of MIBR.

From here, there are several options for betting on this match. We can make a save bet and choose to simply win MIBR at odds of 1.35. You can also bet on Total over 2.5 cards with odds of 2.05. The last option can be considered not too risky, but decently increasing the profit from betting on this market. Since I'm pretty sure the Sharks will take 1 card, we can also consider a Handicap of +1.5 cards at odds of 1.68. The most risky and interesting option in my opinion is the exact score 2-1 in favor of MIBR. In this case, the daredevils, under such a set of circumstances, will receive a reward with a coefficient of 3.20, which is not bad at all. However, I like the golden mean rule the most and my choice will be in favor of Total over 2.5 cards.

Final bet: Total over 2.5 cards with a coefficient of 2.05