How do the mistakes of football referees influence football betting?
Yuriy SheremetFootball referees had made mistakes almost in every match before the introduction of the VAR system. There are such mistakes in some matches even after the appearance of VAR. Mistaken warnings of a football player or an unobvious penalty – these are the popular mistakes of referees in the leading national championships.
Definitely, you can easily make money on betting with the help of referee’s mistakes.
In today’s article, we will talk about the popular mistakes made by referees, which influence further bets.
Referee’s mistaken decision at the beginning of the match
From the very first minutes of the match, it is easy to predict the way the match goes. It is worth noticing that the nature of the match can be predicted based on the decisions made by a referee.
The first popular moment is unobvious yellow cards in the first minutes of the match. Due to the referee’s fatal mistake, football players begin acting way more aggressive, which will lead to a big number of warnings in the match. The first reaction of football players to a serious mistake of the referee is regular arguments, discussions, and outrage. A football player can receive a card even for a «wrong» word, which will benefit a bettor.
The second popular moment is unobvious decisions regarding penalties. If a referee pointed at the 11-meter mark in the first controversial moment, you should also expect a row of cards.
It is important to find such situations in the first minutes of the match. If a referee is loyal to controversial situations in the first 20-25 minutes, it is not worth expecting high results in terms of yellow cards. If a referee demonstrates in the first minutes that players are strictly punished for every controversial episode, it will be important to pay attention to the following betting options:
- Total yellow cards are over;
- Bets on penalties. You should not doubt that a referee will point at the mark if the moment is appropriate in the game;
- A bet on a red card. When there are too many yellow cards, sending offs should be expected in the match;
- Total fouls are over. Due to the banal mess caused by a referee, football players will just start losing their mind, playing inaccurately, and make brawls, which will definitely lead to a big number of violations and yellow cards in the match.
Considering the above-mentioned factors, every bettor can find appropriate matches for betting. However, it is worth considering that football players made a minimum number of fouls before the break and received 1 or 2 cards, this match should be missed. Bets should usually be made in the middle of the first half when the scenario of the match will be obvious. Otherwise, it is better to miss such a match.
Yellow cards given to emotional coaches on the line and football players on the bench
While choosing bets it is important to find out in every bookmaker company if they count cards given to a coach or a football player who is benched. Usually, such moments are counted in the majority of bookmaker companies because it is written in the match statistics.
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This criterion should be considered before the end of the first half. As a rule, coaches like to make claims against referees after they signal half-time. Of course, such discussions can easily end with a yellow card. In particular cases, there can even be a sending-off.
The emotionality of football players sitting on the bench should also be considered. As a general rule, it is important to choose appropriate matches where the emotions are on fire. For example, it is worth expecting higher results in terms of yellow cards than goals in Brazil or Turkey.
Total yellow cards in the last 15 minutes of the math are over
If one of the teams loses a one-goal difference by the end of the football match, the possibility of yellow cards given at the end of the match will be high. One of the teams will certainly run to win, trying to shoot the enemy’s goal line. Due to regular attacks and the football players’ outrage, there will be brawls and controversial situations, which will be over with yellow cards.
You should look after this moment in the last 15 minutes of a football match. Football players usually receive 2, 3 yellow cards. Also, besides betting on yellow cards, you should consider bets on a number of warnings. You should not doubt that both teams will start violating the rules frequently. For example, the defending team will start defending and will regularly violate the rules, playing for time.
A controversial penalty in the first 20 minutes of the football match
If a referee points at the 11-meter mark before the middle of the first half, you should not expect loyalty from players. Especially it concerns the moments when the whole stadium is worried about the controversial decision. Football players will definitely start telling things to a referee, which will lead to warnings. But it is not worth choosing the general total yellow cards over in such situations. It is important to choose the individual total yellow cards over on the team, which was punished with a penalty. Football players will be emotional, will regularly violate the rules, and argue with a referee after every upcoming episode. This moment is especially profitable for bets on total yellow cards over in the first half. For example, if the penalty is received in the 24th minute, the teams will definitely cause two yellow cards in the last 21 minutes.
Statistics of referees
If you do not want to watch every upcoming match for the absence of the referee's loyalty, you can just look at statistics. It is easy to find such websites on the Internet, which demonstrate the statistics of every referee. It is comfortable to use this data in Live betting.
Obviously, you can initially make a bet on the number of yellow cards, comparing it to the statistics of the referee. For example, the average number of yellow cards given by the referee per match is 6 and a bookmaker offers total yellow cards are over 4.5, this bet is worth making. If the referee is loyal, considering the statistics, it will be better to miss such matches.
Conclusion
The experienced bettors know how to «read» the possible scenario of the match in the first minutes. It is better for beginners to gain experience to analyze the possible result of the match. A minimum number of mistakes will only benefit a bettor. At first, it is better to refuse betting with real money, practice, and gain experience in virtual betting. To do so, it will be enough to write the predicted result and odds in your notebook. Sometime later, you can compare results, having checked the possible reward. If it makes sense to continue, you will be able to try real betting.
Lucrative betting odds and positive betting dynamics will definitely increase the bettor’s gaming bank in the long distance.
Yuriy Sheremet – Expert in mobile gaming and esports among shooters and MOBA games.
At EGamersWorld, Yuriy, as in 2020 when he joined the portal, works with content, albeit with adjustments to his area of responsibility.