Match Prediction: Natus Vincere - M3 Champions | VALORANT

perepelovsky

Handicap +1.5 (Natus Vincere)

NAVI and M3 Champions (Gambit) will meet in the group stage of VCT 2022: EMEA Challengers 1. While the champion of the championship is experiencing difficulties both in and out of the game, the Born to Win clearly want to offend their compatriots and earn a ticket to playoffs.

Form NAVI

The ninth team of the European ranking had a good start in the championship, having obtained two victories. The only embarrassing thing is the defeat from Team Liquid, although this is not so shameful. One way or another, NAVI is one step away from reaching the playoffs of VCT 2022: EMEA Challengers 1, which will surely give the team additional strength.

Latest NAVI results:

Victory over Tactical Five with a score of 2:1.
Victory over 5MOKES with a score of 3:0.
Victory over LDN UTD with a score of 2:0.
Lost to Team Liquid with a score of 1:2.
Victory over BIG with a score of 2:1.

The best NAVI maps:

Fracture - 80% of wins.
Split - 68% of wins.
Ascent - 67% of wins.
Icebox - 61% of wins.
Bind - 56% of wins.
Haven - 50% win rate.

I note that the team is much more complicated with the Breeze card.

M3 Champions Uniform (Gambit)

The second team of the European ranking, as expected, had a strong start in VCT 2022: EMEA Challengers 1, having closed Team Liquid without a chance. However, in the next round, the team lost to FunPlus Phoenix. But Gambit's problems happened later, which we ourselves know firsthand. Now the team is forced to finish the championship, and I doubt that the players have kept their optimal condition.

M3 Champions (Gambit) latest results:

Victory over X10 CRIT with a score of 2:1.
Victory over KRÜ Esports with a score of 2:1.
Defeat from Acend with a score of 2:3.
The victory over Team Liquid with a score of 2:0.
Lost to FunPlus Phoenix with a score of 1:2.

Best M3 Champions (Gambit) maps:

Ascent - 85% of wins.
Breeze - 82% of wins.
Bind - 78% of wins.
Icebox - 74% of wins.
Split - 71% of wins.
Haven - 67% of wins.
Fracture - 60% of wins.

I note that the team refuses the Haven card.

Match statistics NAVI — M3 Champions (Gambit)

The teams have not met before.

Prediction for the match NAVI — M3 Champions (Gambit)

Even all other things being equal, M3 Champions no longer seems to be such a strong team, capable of taking matches without a hitch. Yes, and NAVI are quite confident in the championship, successfully imposing their ideas. Therefore, here I would recommend betting on Handicap by maps (+1.5) for the NAVI team.

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