Match Prediction: NRG - The Guard | VALORANT
VCT 2022: North America Stage 2 ChallengersForecast NRG - The Guard
We continue to analyze the group stage matches of Valorant Champions Tour 2022 North America, this time the match between The Guard and NRG. At the moment of the tournament, both teams can be called outsiders, since so far their performances are far from ideal.
The Guard Uniform
The team kicked off the tournament with a 0-2 loss to 100 Thieves in the first game week, but the bad luck didn't end there. For 4 matches in the tournament, the club scored only one victory against TSM and as a result is now on the 5th line of the table with a score of 1-3.
Throughout the year, the Defenders showed a good result, with 30 matches played, the club had a 66% win rate, in addition, two tournament victories: NSG Winter Championship Open 14, and the more serious VCT 2022 North America Stage 1 where the team beat OpTic Gaming in the final with a score of 3-2, winning $50,000.
Lineup of The Guard
- net
- Valyn
- JonahP
- Sayaplayer
- trent
In January this year, psalm sat on the bench and was replaced by trent, who previously played in small clubs, the latest of which was Fenrir.
The result of the last 5 matches of The Guard
- Victory over TSM 2-0
- Lost to XSET 1-2
- Lost to Ghost Gaming 1-2
- Lost by 100 Thieves 0-2
- Lost to Paper Rez 0-2
Despite a good overall win rate from the beginning of the year, the last games have been almost continuous losses, which are not covered even by a victory over a team like TSM.
The Guard Map Statistics
Bind 58% for 12 matches
Haven 74% in 23 matches
Ascent 67% in 18 matches
Icebox 80% for 20 matches
Of the four maps on which The Guard has the highest win rate, they perform well on defense on two: Ascent 66% of wins for defense and 45% of wins for attack, Icebox 61% for defense versus 59% for attack, on the other maps the situation is reversed, the best Attack stats on Bind are 55% Attack and 46% Defense, Haven 61% Offense and 52% Defense.
Most popular heroes in the last 30 days: neT - Killjoy (86) and Viper (63), trent - Sova (107) and Skye (59), valyn - Brimstone (58) and Astra (73), JonahP - Sage (65) and Raze (58), Sayaplayer - Chamber (93) and Jett (86).
Form NRG
The first game in the tournament and already a victory over TSM looks like a very good start, but it wasn’t there: after that, the members of the club did not win a single game, as a result, they ended up in last place in the standings with a score of 1-3, which is very reminiscent of their future opponents.
The club had good results throughout the year: from 29 matches they have a 65% win rate, but apart from 2nd place at the Knights Arena Valorampage, no more prizes in tournaments.
Composition NRG
- s0m
- eeiu
- tex
- hazed
- Ethan
In the middle of spring 2022, ANDROID sat on the bench from the main roster, and after the club bought Ethan, who previously played in 100 Thieves, and strengthened the main roster with him.
The result of the last 5 matches NRG
- Victory over TSM 2-0
- Victory over Version1 2-0
- Lost to XSET 0-2
- Lost to Ghost Gaming 0-2
- Lost by 100 Thieves 0-2
Despite the good results in the matches for the year, the last games are dominated by the loss, which may show that the team is not ready for the American League.
NRG Map Statistics
Bind 71% over 63 matches
Haven 72% in 81 matches
Ascent 55% for 40 matches
Icebox 69% in 45 matches
On all their maps, NRG win more often playing defense as statistics show: Bind 63% wins in defense vs., Icebox wins 60% defensively and 54% offensively.
Most popular heroes in the last 30 days: Ethan - KAY\O (45) and Skye (67), tex - Chamber (170), hazed - Omen (64) and Viper (68), eeiu - Reyna (83) and Sova (68), s0m - Omen (68) and Raze (66).
Match prediction
It is difficult to determine the winner, since the teams are almost identical: both showed a good result for the year, but at the same time they are in the last places in the standings, besides, the only team that lost to both outsiders is TSM, so there is nothing to even compare with. I still like NRG more and I think that they will win, although not without problems.
Result: 2-1 victory for NRG.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in NRG victory. Odds on them are equal to 2.05. According to bookmakers data, The Guard are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 3.267.
How did the participants perform in the last matches
Last Matches | NRG | The Guard |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 1 |
10 matches (wins) | 3 | 4 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The teams played 0 matches with each other before. In these battles NRG got 0 victories while The Guard managed to take 0 matches.