Match Prediction: Lilgun - Army Geniuses | Dota 2
BTS Pro Series Season 12: Southeast AsiaPrediction for the match between Lilgun and Army Geniuses in the group stage of BTS Pro Series Season 12: SEA. Lilgun is now on the 8th line, they will 100% go to the playoffs, as Neon Esports are in the relegation zone. Lilgun has 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses; 4 cards won and 8 lost.
Army Geniuses are on the 6th line, they are a little bit short of the upper bracket, they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses; 5 cards won and 7 lost.
Lilgun lost to BOOM Esports 0:2, fnatic 0:2, SMG 0:2, Execration 2:0, draws with Neon Esports and TNC Predator.
Army Geniuses defeated Neon Esports 2:0, Execration 2:0, losses to fnatic, Hokori and TNC Predator, draw with BOOM Esports.
Composition of Lilgun
- 423
- sanctity-
- eleven
- knishka
- Ace12
Lineup of Army Geniuses
- db-
- inYourdreaM
- womy
- NARMAN
- Varizh
- Vinz (played as a substitute)
Army Geniuses latest results - 5 matches counted
- Lost 0:2 to Hokori - September 27
- Lost 2-0 to fnatic - September 26
- Lost in a match with TNC Predator with a score of 0: 2 - September 25
- Victory in the match with Execration with a score of 2: 0 - September 23
- Draw 1:1 against BOOM Esports
Used Army Geniuses heroes in this tournament:
- db-: Monkey King/Undying/Bounty Hunter/Morphling/Faceless Void/Nature`s Prophet/Pudge/Drow Ranger/Terrorblade
- inYourdreaM: Pangolier/Shadow Fiend/Tiny/Ember Spirit/Storm Spirit
- womy: Broodmother/Mars/Pangolier/Marci/Pugna/Beastmaster
- NARMAN: Skywrath Mage/Faceless Void/Earth Spirit/Techies/Weaver/Grimstroke/Skywrath Mage (Vinz)/Rubick (Vinz)/Tiny (Vinz)/Dark Willow (Vinz)
- Varizh: Gyrocopter/Ancient Apparation/Witch Doctor/Undying/Jakiro/Bane
Latest Lilgun results - 5 matches counted
- Defeated in a match with Team SMG with a score of 0: 2 - September 28
- Lost in a match with fnatic with a score of 0:2
- Winning the match with Execration with a score of 2:0
- Draw in the match with Summit Gaming 1:1
- Draw in the match with Neon Esports 1:1
Used Lilgun heroes in this tournament:
- 423: Necrophos/Enchantress/Kunkka/Faceless Void/Undying/Pudge/Bloodseeker/Morphling/Ursa
- sanctity-: Lina/Morphling/Shadow Fiend/Void Spirit/Ember Spirit
- eleven: Visage/Undying/Venomancer/Broodmother/Monkey King/Doom/Sand King/OD
- knishka: Marci/Rubick/Crystal Maiden/Skywrath Mage/Snapfire/Earth Spirit
- Ace12: Primal Beast/Dazzle/Undying/Vengerful Spirit/Bane/Death Prophet
423 is in terrible shape, the only ones who play Lilgun are the mid and offlaner, they rate in the mid: Shadow Fiend/Lina, on carry he is afraid to play late heroes, some Undying, Necrophos, Ursa, even dies on them 5 times. Undying is highly rated, they have it for 4 roles, plus do not forget their very signature - Broodmother.
Army Geniuses seem to look more stable, I expected 1 map from them with Hokori, but lost 0:2. In general, Lilgun will definitely not win 0:2, but Army Geniuses is quite able to confidently beat them if they ban Undying/Broodmother and build a normal draft.
- Army Geniuses win - odds 2.515
- Lilgun win - odds 3.62
- Draw - odds 2.365
Purely because of the drafts, I'm for Army Geniuses, it's just hard to believe in the current form of 423 even on 1 map, although 1.5. The BO2 factor is always present, but 2.5 looks very good on Army Geniuses.
Prediction: Army Geniuses will win Lilgun - odds 2.515
Forecast Lilgun - Army Geniuses
We close the penultimate week of BTS Pro Series Season 12: Southeast Asia. Today, as part of the first match of the tenth gaming day, there will be a meeting between Army Geniuses and Lilgun. Previously, the teams had 20 meetings with each other, according to the results, Lilgun won 10 times, Army Geniuses 7 times, the remaining three matches ended in a draw. Today they will again have to determine the strongest in the bo2 format.
Lilgun form
The team played its first match in the tournament against the favorites from BOOM Esports, and the result is quite expected, a defeat on two quick maps of 26 and 33 minutes. In the second match, they faced the previously strong TNC Predator, and the match ended in a draw. The first map was a tight fight and after 59 minutes Lilgun earned the win. The second map was completely controlled by TNC, who finished it in 27 minutes. In the third match, they were expected by opponents from Neon Esports, and the meeting again ended in a draw. The first Lilgun map was closed in 33 minutes, the second was won by Neon players in 27 minutes. In the fourth match, the team met with Execration, and despite the resistance, won a fairly easy victory on two maps of 44 and 40 minutes each. Next, the team was waiting for a series of two defeats against SMG and Fnatic.
Composition of Lilgun
- 423
- sanctity-
- eleven
- knishka
- Ace12
The main game roster has not changed since the beginning of 2022. At the beginning of June, MaRveL, acting as a stand-in, moved to KOBOLDS. Separately, I would like to note that almost all members of the team have not previously performed on the professional stage, and Lilgun became their debut club.
Lilgun last matches result
- Victory over Execration - 2:0
- Defeat from SMG - 0:2
- Defeat from Fnatic - 0:2
- Draw with BOOM Esports - 1:1
- Draw with Neon Esports - 1:1
Heroes Lilgun
The team has a great pool of meta heroes. Sanctity - performs well on Templar Assassin (120 matches, 67% win rate) and Tiny (95 matches, 57% win rate). Eleven often plays Mars (76 matches, 55% win rate), and Sand King (60 matches, 65% win rate). Knishka prefers Rubick (78 matches, 57% win rate), Nyx Assassin (66 matches, 54% win rate). 432 is preferred more often than others by Lycan (72 matches, 67% of wins), Broodmother (51 matches, 70% of wins). Ace12 plays on Grimstroke (156 matches, 53% win rate) and Bane (104 matches, 63% win rate).
Army Genius uniform
The team played its first match in the tournament against Neon Esports, and confidently won on two maps lasting 41 and 32 minutes. In the second match, they were expected by more formidable opponents represented by BOOM Esports, and here the team pleasantly surprised all the spectators. Having lost the first map in 34 minutes, the players of the "Army of Geniuses" confidently fought with opponents on the second map, and after 44 minutes pulled out a victory, thus ending the match in a draw. In the third match, they met with Execration, and in it they easily closed the opponents on two maps of 37 and 25 minutes each. The fourth match met them with rivalry with TNC Predator, and as a result of two maps of 40 and 52 minutes, Army Geniuses lost. In the fifth match, they met with the favorites from Fnatic, and lost by 37 and 30 minutes each. In the sixth match, the meeting with Hokori again ended in a complete defeat on two maps.
Lineup of Army Geniuses
- db-
- inYourdreaM
- womy
- NARMAN
- Varizh
Since the beginning of February 2022, the roster has undergone some changes. LyM- sat on the bench, and then completely moved to The Apes E-Sport, in his place the team invited NARMAN, a former Neon Esports player. A month later, the mid-player Azur4 leaves the team, and the former member of Nigma Galaxy SEA - inYourdreaM joins in his place. In addition, in mid-September, the Clairvoyance coach leaves the management team.
Army Geniuses latest matches result
- Victory over Execration - 2:0
- Defeat from TNC Predator - 0:2
- Defeat from Fnatic - 0:2
- Defeat from Hokori - 0:2
- Draw with BOOM Esports - 1:1
Heroes Army Geniuses
NARMAN most often plays Rubick (116 matches, 49% win rate), Earth Spirit (108 matches, 64% win rate). inYourdreaM picks Invoker (43 matches, 60% win rate), Ember Spirit (40 matches, 67% win rate) to mid. Varizh prefers Grimstroke (56 matches, 54% win rate) and Clockwerk (44 matches, 54% win rate) over other heroes. Db- plays Riki (57 matches, 59% win rate), and Nature's Prophet (56 matches, 67% win rate). Womy often picks Mars (105 matches, 43% win rate) and Timbersaw (100 matches, 56% win rate).
Match prediction
The first match will meet us with a meeting of two strong middle peasants, from which it is difficult to single out a favorite. Both teams defeated weak opponents and flew dry from the top teams of the tournament. I would venture to guess that Lilgun will be able to pick up one card.
Result: Handicap +1.5 on Lilgun
Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Army Geniuses is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 5.24. This number in the favor of Lilgun amounts 5.91. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
What are the successes of the teams in the last games
Last Matches | Lilgun | Army Geniuses |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 1 |
10 matches (wins) | 4 | 4 |
Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 20 matches with each other. And Lilgun won 10 times while Army Geniuses correspondingly became the winner 7 times.