Match Prediction: Army Geniuses - Xerxia | Dota 2

Forecast for the fight between Army Geniuses and XERXIA in the lower bracket of the qualifiers for The International 11 (Southeast Asia). Army Geniuses managed to defeat Lilgun today with a score of 2:1, and XERXIA turned out to be stronger first than TNC Predator, and then Nigma Galaxy SEA with a score of 2:1.

Both teams were in the second division of DPC in Southeast Asia, Army Geniuses finished the season with 5 wins and 2 losses; 11 maps won and 6 lost. XERXIA (then still under the Made in Philippines tag) has 6th place with 3 wins and 4 losses; 8 cards won and 10 lost.

Army Genius lineup:

• db-
  
• Azur4
• womy
• NARMAN
• Varizh

Ingredients of XERXIA:

• Ken
  
• JG
• Rupido
• LuziFy
• Teehee

Latest XERXIA Esports results - 5 matches counted

- Victory in the match with Nigma Galaxy SEA with a score of 2: 1 - qualification for The International 11
- Victory in the match with TNC Predator with a score of 1:0 - qualifications for The International 11
- Lost in a match with Refract with a score of 0: 2 - August 3
- Lost in a match with Yangon Galacticos with a score of 1:2
- Lost in a match with Mars with a score of 0:2

Army Geniuses latest results - 5 matches counted

- Winning the match with Lilgun with a score of 2: 1 - qualification for The International 11
- Lost in a match with Polaris with a score of 0: 1 - August 19
- Lost in a match with BOOM Esports with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with Talon Esports with a score of 0:1
- Lost in a match with Mars with a score of 0:2

4 times the teams played each other, 3 wins for Army Geniuses and 1 win for XERXIA, just in the last match with a score of 2:1.

XERXIA Heroes Used in The International 11 Qualifiers (South East Asia):

• Ken: Slark/Anti-Mage/Templar Assassin
• JG: Batrider/Ember Spirit/Invoker
• Rupido: Death Prophet/Primal Beast/Dawnbreaker/Viper
• LuziFy: Earthshaker/Rubick/Elder Titan
• Teehee: Enchantress/Nature`s Prophet/Undying/Marci

Used Army Geniuses heroes for The International 11 (Southeast Asia) qualifiers:

• db-: Leshrac/Faceless Void/Pudge
  
• Azur4: Storm Spirit/Morphling
• womy: Timbersaw/Marci
• NARMAN: Faceless Void/Techies
• Varizh: Gyrocopter/Grimstroke

Army Geniuses have very interesting drafts, they rate Storm Spirit in the mid lane, Marci on the top three; from the very interesting: Gyrocopter on the top five and Faceless Void appeared twice on the four.

Against XERXIA, you should definitely be wary of this Slark for Ken, he plays well on this character. They play through Primal Beast on three; Invoker/Batrider in the mid, from the interesting: Elder Titan on the four; Marci/Nature`s Prophet on the top five.

I expect all 3 maps, Army Geniuses impresses more, but I still believe in XERXIA, I hardly believe in the ideas of Faceless Void on the 4 and Gyrocopter on the 5; more stable with Army Geniuses, but 90% sure in 3 maps.

• Army Geniuses win - odds 1.788
• XERXIA win - odds 2.072
• Over 2.5 on cards - coefficient 1.93
• TM 2.5 on cards - odds 1.81

It's like I underestimated the guys from XERXIA, as well as Army Geniuses, the level of opponents in the lower bracket was definitely higher for AG, but XERXIA's ideas look a little more stable. Definitely better in LIVE, after the drafts.

Prediction: XERXIA will win Army Geniuses - odds 2.072 (medium risk - better LIVE)