Match Prediction: mouz NXT - NaVi Junior | Counter-Strike (CS2)

The third match of today's gaming day will be held with the participation of interesting teams. MOUZ NXT and Natus Vincere Junior will face each other. The teams will compete for extra points that will help them reach the playoffs. Considering that the position in the group will affect not only the advancement to the next stage, but also the round from which the team will start their journey there, NAVI Junior has great motivation to win. Will they be able to beat their opponents or do MOUZ NXT have a good chance of winning in a duel? We'll figure out.

MOUZ NXT Game Uniform

MOUZ NXT took 234th position in the world ranking, and in Group A the team is on the 3rd line right after Fnatic Rising and NAVI Junior. At the moment, MOUZ NXT has 3 wins and 1 loss. The team was able to win against such opponents as Flames Ascent, OG Academy and Fnatic Rising. Natus Vincere Junior became the only team that MOUZ NXT failed to beat. Then they were defeated on the Mirage map with a score of 11-16. Unlike several members of the academic league from WePlay Esports, MOUZ NXT is limited to one event and does not play in parallel at other championships. It is also noteworthy that the debut match in WePlay Academy League Season 6 was quite difficult for MOUZ NXT, even though Flames Ascent, one of the outsiders of Group A, acted as an opponent. There the team brought the game to 4 overtime and won with a score of 28-26. All three matches within the Academy League were won on the Overpass map, and the defeat fell on the Mirage map. This also reflects the state of affairs regarding their win rate on different maps.

Overpass and Vertigo are the best cards in the MOUZ NXT pool. Their win rate is 100% there, however, in the case of Overpass, the team performed 3 times, and on Vertigo only 1. Nuke, Mirage and Inferno have a zero indicator, which means that MOUZ NXT is not ready to play there yet.

History of recent meetings MOUZ NXT

WePlay Academy League Season 6

• MOUZ NXT 16-13 Fnatic Rising
• MOUZ NXT 11-16 Natus Vincere Junior
• MOUZ NXT 16-4 OG Academy
• MOUZ NXT 28-26 Flames Ascent

MOUZ NXT Card Statistics

• Overpass (3 cards) - 100%
• Vertigo (1 card) - 100%
• Nuke (3 cards) - 0%
• Mirage (2 cards) - 0%
• Inferno (2 cards) - 0%

NAVI Junior uniform

NAVI Junior occupy 171st place in the HLTV ranking and are the only team that managed to beat MOUZ NXT. The team should thoroughly prepare for the match, as for MOUZ NXT the duel can be fundamental and they will definitely want to take a rematch. For the entire time of participation in the sixth season of the WePlay Academy League, NAVI Junior won 4 victories and lost 1 time. They took down Apeks Rebels, MOUZ NXT and defeated Flames Ascent twice. The only match in which NAVI Junior failed was the match against Fnatic Rising. It was played on the Vertigo map, where Natus Vincere Junior has a win rate of just 20%. This was probably the reason for their defeat, especially considering that Fnatic Rising has a win rate of 75% on Vertigo. We conclude that in order to achieve a good result, NAVI Junior must play on those maps on which they know how to do this, and when finalizing the results, the map pool of both participants in the meeting should be especially taken into account.

Where NAVI Junior perform really well is on Mirage and Dust 2. There they have a win rate of 85.7% and 80% respectively. Considering that there were played 7 and 5 times in total, and 3 out of 4 won matches at the WePlay Academy League took place there, the statistics are quite objective. If MOUZ NXT wants to win the fight against Natus Vincere Junior, then they better ban these maps.

History of recent meetings NAVI Junior

WePlay Academy League Season 6

• NAVI Junior 12-16 Fnatic Rising
• NAVI Junior 16-11 MOUZ NXT
• NAVI Junior 16-12 Flames Ascent
• NAVI Junior 16-12 Apeks Rebels
• NAVI Junior 16-8 Flames Ascent

NAVI Junior map statistics

• Mirage (7 cards) - 85.7%
• Dust 2 (5 cards) - 80%
• Ancient (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Inferno (5 cards) - 20%
• Vertigo (5 cards) - 20%
• Overpass (1 cards) - 0%

Conclusion

In this match, NAVI Junior look like a clear favorite to win on several points at once. Firstly, Natus Vincere Junior - as mentioned earlier, the only team that beat MOUZ NXT in this tournament. Secondly, their map pool is stronger than what opponents can provide. In any case, even if MOUZ NXT bans Mirage and Dust 2, where Natus Vincere Junior play best, then on other maps, Born to Win Juniors will be able to defeat their opponents with a high probability. The third reason for confidence in the victory of NAVI Junior is their performance at this tournament. The team is going 4-1, while MOUZ NXT is playing with 3-1 statistics. It can be added as a bonus that NAVI Junior's position in the world ranking is better than that of their opponents, but this should not be taken as a serious reason.

As a result, NAVI Junior will be able to win with a high probability, and here you can bet not only on their victory, but also on Handicap by rounds. Most of all I like the handicap of -2.5 rounds with odds of 1.80. In this situation, NAVI Junior should not lose more than 13 rounds, but it seems to me that this is more than likely.

Final bet: Handicap -2.5 rounds in favor of NAVI Junior with odds of 1.80