MOUZ NXT and Natus Vincere Junior will face each other in the debut confrontation of the ninth day of the WePlay Academy League. The teams will compete for the title of the leader of Group A. Each of the teams has four wins and two losses. According to experts from bookmakers, MOUZ NXT is a clear favorite here and NAVI Junior has little chance of winning. The odds for MOUZ NXT to win are 1.35, which is equivalent to a 69% chance of winning. How will it be correct to bet here and is it worth betting on the winner? Let's analyze and answer this question.
MOUZ NXT Game Uniform
At the moment, MOUZ NXT is in 41st place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters according to the HLTV portal. The team is in the second position in Group A of the ongoing WePlay Academy League Season 5 and NAVI Junior are claiming this position. MOUZ NXT have already played eight matches and won four of them. The first three meetings against Eternal Fire Academy, Astralis Talent and Team Spirit Academy ended in victory, after which the team lost twice and won against PROSPECTS, after which they again suffered two defeats. Now the team is not in the best playing shape and suffered in the last matches against Astralis Talent and Fnatic Rising. NAVI Junior can also be a serious competitor and exert serious pressure in the fight against MOUZ NXT.
MOUZ NXT line-up
- siuhy
- mhl
- szejn
- jumpphat
- xertioN
History of recent meetings MOUZ NXT
WePlay Academy League Season 5
- MOUZ NXT 9-16 Fnatic Rising
- MOUZ NXT 14-16 Astralis Talent
- MOUZ NXT 16-10 PROSPECTS
- MOUZ NXT 12-16 Eternal Fire Academy
- MOUZ NXT 8-16 PROSPECTS
- MOUZ NXT 16-2 Team Spirit Academy
- MOUZ NXT 16-10 Astralis Talent
- MOUZ NXT 16-7 Eternal Fire Academy
Best MOUZ NXT Cards
- Vertigo - 100.0%
- Mirage - 78.6%
- Nuke - 70.0%
- Ancient - 66.7%
- Inferno - 50.0%
- Dust 2 - 50.0%
NAVI Junior uniform
Now the youth roster of Natus Vincere is in 105th place in the HLTV rating, however, despite this, the team practically does not lag behind its closest opponent in the WePlay Academy League Season 5 table, MOUZ NXT. NAVI Junior took part in six matches and won the first four confrontations, after which they suffered two defeats. Obviously, if a team is defeated in the fight against PROSPECTS and Team Spirit Academy with a score of 10-16 and 3-16, then they are not in the best playing shape and for this reason the team may be defeated.
If you pay attention to the results shown by NAVI Junior, you can see that stability is not their forte. In the first match, the team won with a score of 22-20 in the fight against Astralis Talent. After that, after 3 days, the team is inferior in the fight against the same Danes by only five rounds, and after another 3 days, the team cannot take more than three rounds in the match with Team Spirit Academy. The Ukrainian roster has not yet played against MOUZ NXT.
It should be noted that NAVI Junior is a bit tight with the map pool. The team essentially shows good results only on Dust 2 and Vertigo. The rest of the team either does not play or plays, but very badly.
NAVI Junior squad
- headtr1ck
- Dem0N
- frost1k
- UNBR0KEN
- nipl
Match history NAVI Junior
- NAVI Junior 3-16 Team Spirit Academy
- NAVI Junior 10-16 PROSPECTS
- NAVI Junior 16-5 Astralis Talent
- NAVI Junior 16-11 Team Spirit Academy
- NAVI Junior 16-13 PROSPECTS
- NAVI Junior 22-20 Astralis Talent
The best NAVI Junior maps
- Dust 2 - 60.0%
- Vertigo - 50.0%
- Mirage - 33.3%
- Inferno - 0.0%
- Overpass - 0.0%
Conclusion
In this confrontation, MOUZ NXT, as for me, looks like a fairly confident favorite to win the confrontation. This applies to many aspects. The team is more well-played, it has more talented players and the team is much higher than its opponents in the world rating. Their map pool is very good and the team will be able to show an excellent game on both Vertigo and Mirage and Nuke along with Ancient. What can NAVI Junior offer them in return? Dust 2, which MOUZ NXT is most likely to get banned, and Vertigo, which MOUZ NXT plays best.
As for the specific bet, I like the round handicap option the most. I'm almost sure that MOUZ NXT will win, and it seems to me that the last matches of NAVI Junior speak of the team's not the highest competitiveness, which suggests the idea of betting on a handicap with rounds. If you choose a less risky alternative market Handicap -3.5 MOUZ NXT rounds, then the coefficient will be 1.72. In this scenario, MOUZ NXT will have to lose no more than 12 rounds and close the meeting with at least a score of 16-12. If we take a more risky and more profitable option with a Handicap of -4.5 rounds MOUZ NXT, then the coefficient in this case will be 1.97, however, the rounds that can lose to MOUZ NXT in the fight against NAVI Junior will now be not 12, but 11 I think that even with a Handicap of -4.5 MOUZ NXT will close the meeting without big problems, but I prefer less risk in this case.
Final bet: Handicap -3.5 rounds MOUZ NXT with a coefficient of 1.72