ESL Pro League Season 16 Conference is confidently coming to an end. In the last match, Illuminar and FTW will fight for one remaining invite to EPL #16. The teams are in the same “weight category” and the battle promises to be equal. So how to put it in this case? Who will win? Now let's analyze and summarize.
Illuminar Gaming Uniform
Illuminar are currently on the 51st line in the list of the best CS:GO teams according to the HLTV portal. The roster is played by such well-known Polish esportsmen as morelz and phr. Before the start of the ESL Pro League Season 16 Conference, the Poles had a series of nine matches won in a row. This was in tournaments such as Esport Tour 2022 Season 1, ESL Polish Championship Spring 2022 and closed qualifiers for PGE Supercup Polish Esport League Season 2022. The significance of these championships is far behind the current event, where teams will be given the opportunity to qualify for EPL #16 with with a prize fund of $835,000, and therefore those merits can be leveled to some extent. In addition, the last match before the start of the EPL #16 Conference took place on May 22, which was a month ago.
History of last meetings Illuminar Gaming
ESL Pro League Season 16 Conference
Illuminar Gaming 2-0 TYLOO
Illuminar Gaming 2-0
Illuminar Gaming 0-2 Outsiders
Best Illuminar Gaming cards
Overpass - 100.0%
Mirage - 87.5%
Vertigo - 83.3%
Nuke - 75.0%
Ancient - 75.0%
Inferno - 50.0%
Dust 2 - 33.3%
FTW Game Uniform
FTW is one of the strongest teams in Portugal, but the CS:GO scene in this country is not as developed as in the case of Poland. In addition, in the composition of FTW it is impossible to name any of the e-sportsmen who could once excel in the international arena. The team is currently ranked 60th in the list of the best CS:GO rosters according to HLTV. Recently, FTW performed well at the Master League Portugal IX Finals and took first place there, beating VELOX, OFFSET and SAW along the way. However, the then meetings took place at the end of May, and therefore the game form by the current moment could already be irrelevant, especially considering their unsuccessful performance in the fight against Eternal Fire.
FTW match history
ESL Pro League Season 16 Conference
FTW 2-0 ORDER
FTW 2-1 Sprout
FTW 0-2 Eternal Fire
ESEA Advanced Season 41 Europe
FTW 2-1 Iron Branch
Master League Portugal IX Finals
FTW 3-2 SAW
FTW 2-0 OFFSET
FTW 2-0 VELOX
FTW 9-16 SAW
The best FTW cards
Inferno - 83.3%
Vertigo - 70.0%
Nuke - 55.6%
Dust 2 - 40.0%
Overpass - 33.3%
Ancient - 25.0%
Conclusion
If you pay attention to the map pool of participants in the upcoming meeting, you can see that Illuminar Gaming are in a much better position than FTW. In addition, FTW are representatives of a weaker CS:GO segment, and objectively, many analysts will agree that Illuminar is the favorite of the meeting here. Experts from bookmakers estimate the chances of Illuminar at approximately 51-52%. This situation can be called a coinflip, but in my opinion, the chances of Illuminar are much higher than 51-52%. The victory of the Poles with odds of 1.80 is a fairly generous offer from the bookmakers in my opinion. For especially tight players, I would advise +1.5 handicap in favor of Illuminar at 1.25 odds. The reward for such an outcome is, of course, much lower, but the chances of passing are very high.
Final bet: Illuminar Gaming to win at odds of 1.80
