Match Prediction: Lilmix - KOVA | Counter-Strike (CS2)
Snow Sweet Snow #1: Regional Group StageLilmix and KOVA will meet at Snow Sweet Snow 1 Regionals. I guess you haven't heard of KOVA for a long time, while Lilmix has been on everyone's lips lately. And it is precisely this reason that must become predetermining.
Lilmix shape
The 57th team in the world ranking finished the season at the very end of December, having taken off from the Vulkan Fight Series 2020 offensively. Moreover, the Swedish team, having won against 9INE (2: 1) and VP.Prodigy (2: 1), failed to leave the group, losing Sinners (0: 2), Budapest Five (1: 2) and Project X. But what is important, the team did not touch its roster, leaving the five unchanged.
Best Lilmix cards:
- Dust 2 - 63% wins.
- Train - 54% wins.
- Mirage - 53% wins.
- Inferno - 50% wins.
- Vertigo - 50% wins.
Note that Lilmix does not play on Nuke, which is quite unusual for Scandinavian bands. I will add to the information that the team has difficulties with Overpass, which the Swedes are trying to solve not with quality, but with quantity.
KOVA shape
The 93rd World Ranked Team ended the season in early December, failing in MIDNITE Nine to Five 7 Dawn. The Finnish team even started with a victory over x6tence (2: 1), but then lost to Izako Boars (0: 2) and x6tence (1: 2), without making it to the main event. The team was doing even worse at DreamHack Open November 2020, where KOVA ingloriously lost to Nemiga (0: 2) and Illuminar (0: 2).
Best KOVA cards:
- Dust 2 - 80% wins.
- Nuke - 50% wins.
It is worth saying that the team lacks experience, which is accumulated only with practice. And the Finns have problems with this, because the team does not play at the championships so often.
Personal meetings statistics
During the last season, the teams held three face-to-face meetings, in which Lilmix won twice.
Forecast for the match Lilmix - KOVA
I see no reason why the Finns can be considered the favorites of the meeting. The team not only does not play at a high level, but also often fails important meetings. Lilmix, on the other hand, took a step forward at the end of last season, often attending interesting championships with strong opponents. It turns out that the Swedes now have a layer of experience, which will be enough to cope with a weaker opponent. Therefore, I propose to bet on Lilmix team to win with odds of 1.60.