Match Prediction: The MongolZ - paiN Gaming
The BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Playoffs are underway, and today The MongolZ and paiN Gaming will battle for a spot in the grand final of the summer’s biggest tournament.In this preview, we’ll break down both teams in detail and try to determine who has the upper hand in this matchup.We’ll go over their form over the past year, head-to-head history, overall team statistics, and take a closer look at each side’s strongest and weakest maps.
How the bookies view it: The MongolZ Favorite
Before we dive into our analysis, let’s take a look at what the bookmakers are saying and the odds they’re offering for each team’s victory.
The odds clearly favor The MongolZ, sitting around 1.40. Meanwhile, paiN Gaming is receiving far less confidence from the bookies — with odds hovering between 2.80 and 2.90.
These numbers are quite expected, considering that paiN Gaming were initially seen as underdogs of the tournament. On the other hand, The MongolZ have been a pleasant surprise with their consistent performance.
So, we’ve seen the bookmakers’ take — now let’s break down the matchup in more detail and move on to some well-grounded CS2 betting tips.
The MongolZ form. What result can be expected from The MongolZ
Now let’s do the same with The MongolZ — take a look at their recent tournaments and results.
Place | Tournament | Format | Opponent | Score | Prize |
3rd–4th | Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 | Offline | MOUZ | 0:2 | $25,000 |
5th–8th | PGL Astana 2025 | Offline | Aurora | 0:2 | $31,250 |
1st | MESA Nomadic Masters Spring 2025 (Showmatch) | Offline | The MongolZ | 13:8 | – |
3rd–4th | Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025 | Offline | Vitality | 0:2 | $25,000 |
9th–11th | PGL Bucharest 2025 | Offline | Falcons | 1:2 | $15,625 |
7th–8th | BLAST Open Spring 2025 | Offline | G2 | 0:2 | $10,000 |
3rd–4th | ESL Pro League Season 21 | Offline | Vitality | 1:2 | $25,000 |
5th–8th | PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 | Offline | Astralis | 0:2 | $62,500 |
3rd–4th | Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2025 | Offline | Vitality | 0:2 | $80,000 |
5th–8th | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 | Offline | MOUZ | 0:2 | $45,000 |
1st–2nd | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: Asia-Pacific RMR | Offline | Drillas | 2:1 | – |
1st | Thunderpick World Championship 2024 | Online/Offline | Heroic | 3:1 | $500,000 |
3rd–4th | Elisa Masters Espoo 2024 | Offline | ENCE | 1:2 | $15,000 |
7th–8th | Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 | Offline | Virtus.pro | 0:2 | $6,000 |
30th | BLAST Premier World Leaderboard 2024 | Online/Offline | – | 350 | – |
9th–12th | ESL Pro League Season 20 | Offline | Eternal Fire | 1:2 | $23,500 |
9th–12th | Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2024 | Offline | paiN Gaming | 1:2 | $16,000 |
2nd | Skyesports Championship 2024 | Offline | 3DMAX | 0:2 | $70,000 |
9th | Esports World Cup 2024 | Offline | FURIA | 9–13 | $25,000 |
The MongolZ is a team that has impressed many with their rapid progress and has managed to secure a solid position in the HLTV rankings. They’re more than capable of challenging — and even defeating — any opponent at the tournament.
However, major titles have so far eluded them. Despite consistently reaching the playoffs, they tend to fall just short in the most crucial moments.
Perhaps BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 will be their breakout tournament — the moment they finally raise a Major trophy over their heads.
Player | Time on team | Maps played | Rating 2.1 |
bLitz | 2 years 2 months | 398 | 1.12 |
Techno | 2 years 2 months | 398 | 1.03 |
910 | 2 years | 369 | 1.11 |
mzinho | 2 years | 369 | 1.06 |
Senzu | 1 year 9 months | 333 | 1.14 |
The team’s coach is maaRaa, who has been with the roster for 2 years and 2 months. During this time, he has coached 398 maps with a win rate of 62%.
paiN Gaming form. What result can be expected from paiN Gaming
Now let’s do the same with paiN Gaming — take a look at their recent tournaments and results.
Place | Tournament | Format | Opponent | Score |
12th–14th | PGL Astana 2025 | Offline | MIBR | 0:2 |
7th–8th | BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 | Offline | Grp.S | 0:2 |
13th–16th | IEM Melbourne 2025 | Offline | Complexity | 0:2 |
15th–16th | PGL Bucharest 2025 | Offline | Falcons | 1:2 |
12th–14th | ESL Pro League Season 21 | Offline | Eternal Fire | 0:2 |
5th–8th | PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 | Offline | MOUZ | 0:2 |
3rd–4th | Ace South American Masters Spring 2025 | Online | Imperial Esports | 0:2 |
17th–20th | IEM Katowice 2025 | Offline | Astralis | 0:2 |
5th–8th | BLAST Bounty Spring 2025 | Offline | NAVI | 1:2 |
1st–8th | BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier | Online | FaZe | 2:0 |
12th–14th | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 | Offline | FURIA | 1:2 |
3rd–5th | Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: American RMR | Offline | 9z Team | 2:0 |
3rd–4th | ESL Challenger Katowice 2024 | Offline | B8 | 1:2 |
1st | ESL Challenger League Season 48: South America | Online | MIBR | 3:1 |
13th–16th | IEM Rio 2024 | Offline | FaZe | 1:2 |
3rd–4th | CBCS Masters 2024 | Online/Offline | Bestia | 0:2 |
1st | ESL Challenger Katowice 2024: South American Qualifier | Online | Fluxo | 2:1 |
27th | BLAST Premier World Leaderboard 2024 | Online/Offline | Grp.S | 550 pts |
4th | BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 #2 | Offline | Eternal Fire | 0:2 |
5th–8th | BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024 | Online | FaZe | 1:2 |
paiN Gaming is a team that hasn’t particularly stood out this year, with results that have been highly inconsistent. They’ve managed to take down some strong opponents, but have also lost to teams ranked well below them in terms of skill. At the same time, they’ve surprised everyone by making it not only to the playoffs, but also all the way to the semifinals of the tournament.
Player | Time on Team | Maps Played | Rating 2.1 |
biguzera | 6 years 4 months | 1323 | 1.14 |
nqz | 1 year 7 months | 447 | 1.10 |
snow | 1 year 1 month | 319 | 0.99 |
dav1deuS | 5 months | 97 | 1.03 |
dgt | 1 month | 28 | 1.06 |
The team’s coach is rikz, who has been with the roster for 3 years and 7 months. During this time, he has coached 897 maps with a win rate of 63%.
Recent head to head: The MongolZ Team edging it
The teams have faced each other only once — during the group stage of PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025. In that match, The MongolZ defeated paiN Gaming with a 2:1 scoreline.
Players to watch: Senzu and biguzera
This match features two players who truly stand out. Senzu from The MongolZ consistently shows composure and sharp aim, despite his young age and limited experience. On the other side, biguzera, the leader of paiN Gaming, is having one of the best tournaments of his career — his impact on every map is hard to overstate.
Probable map picks
Map picks are one of the most important aspects of the game. Even at this stage, they can determine the winner of the series. So, let’s try to figure out which maps we can expect in this exciting Bo3 matchup.
I believe we’ll most likely end up on either Dust2, Inferno, Mirage, or possibly even Anubis — though that one is quite unlikely.
But let’s dive deeper into the map veto and see what we can figure out — especially for those looking to make informed CS2 betting picks.
Which maps does pick and ban most often The MongolZ?
Now let’s move on to The MongolZ and take a look at their strongest and weakest maps.
Category | Map | Winrate | Notes |
Strongest maps | Mirage | 64.3% | 9W-5L |
| Ancient | 63.6% | 7W-4L |
| Inferno | 60.0% | 6W-4L |
Average maps | Dust2 | 57.1% | 4W-3L First Pick |
Weakest maps | Anubis | 45.5% | 5W-6L |
| Nuke | 40.0% | 3W-4L |
In this case, it makes more sense to analyze the veto process rather than the picks. Both teams tend to avoid or underperform on similar maps, so the bans will play a key role. Most likely, The MongolZ will target one of paiN Gaming’s favorite maps — Nuke — with their first ban. As for their pick, Inferno seems like the most probable choice.
Which maps does pick and ban most often paiN Gaming?
Now let’s move on to paiN Gaming and take a look at their strongest and weakest maps.
Category | Map | Winrate | Notes |
Strongest maps | Mirage | 50.0% | 2W-2L |
| Dust2 | 45.5% | 5W-6L |
| Nuke | 44.4% | 4W-5L First Pick |
Average performance | Inferno | 33.3% | 4W-6L |
Weakest maps | Anubis | 20.0% | 2W-4L |
| Train | 0.0% | 0W-3L |
| Ancient | 0.0% | 0W-1L First Ban |
paiN Gaming will likely remove Ancient as their first ban — for two reasons: it’s their weakest map, and it’s also one of The MongolZ’s strongest. Nuke is unlikely to make it through, as it will probably be banned early. That leaves Mirage or Dust2 as the most probable pick.
Predicted result of the match
That wraps up our analysis, and we’ve reached the decisive moment — it’s time to make a prediction for the semifinal match between The MongolZ and paiN Gaming at the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025.
Based on the information and statistics above, The MongolZ appear to be the favorites. Despite being a young team, they’ve already faced many of the challenges of the pro scene. They play with hunger and composure.
My prediction: a victory for The MongolZ.
From a betting perspective, The MongolZ are the most reliable and logical pick. The team is remarkably stable and calculated, making very few mistakes and doing everything they can to secure the win.
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