Match Prediction: Virtus.pro - BIG | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Cologne 2021The second line of matches of the IEM Cologne 2021 group stage will be opened by Virtus.pro and BIG. According to bookmakers' estimates, this is one of the most equal matches. In principle, one can agree with this.
Recently, the bears have been on a total decline. You don't need to go far, let's take a performance at StarLadder CIS RMR 2021. Of course, you can shove it off into serious competition in the CIS, but VP had neither NaVi nor Gambit in the group.
BIG, too, being in a "suspended" state, already in this Cologne showed a willingness to win. Again, to write off the passage of the Germans to the group on a successful grid, but the winners are not judged.
Let's figure out what to expect from the confrontation between the CIS and Europe in the VP vs BIG match.
BIG shape
According to the tradition that has developed literally today, we begin the review of the match with the form of the team, which we have already observed. This is BIG.
Above, I have already recalled the "suspended" state of BIG, and in fact, this is true. All year BIG plays wherever possible, taking as many places as possible. The Germans do not have to play game practice and they are commended for that.
You can also praise them for their recent performance. She's pretty impressive.
BIG Recent Results
- Victory over mousesports with a score of 2-1
- Defeat FURIA 2-1
- Lose from SKADE with a score of 1-2
- Beat Sprout 16-8
- Defeat OG 2-0
If the victory in the first round against compatriots from Sprout raised no questions, then the victory over OG surprised me personally. I thought that OG would show a much better game at the tournament, but as we know after the fact, the Europeans were not ready for Cologne.
BIG cards
BIG is played wide.
The best map of the Germans is Dust II. With 27 games, 74% winrate
The worst team is Nuke. The Germans played 15 games there and have a win rate of 40%.
VP shape
Now we return to the "bears" that we hooked on in the announcement. The sixth team in the world today is not going through its best days.
We have already recalled VP's performance at StarLadder CIS RMR 2021, which turned out to be very revealing. Being in the group is clearly weaker, the "bears" won only 1 match and took the 9-10th place.
Before that VP took TOP-6 at IEM XVI - Summer, where the groups played well, but failed in the playoffs. In general, swing and swing again.
VP Recent Results
- Lose to Vitality 0-2
- Lose from 100PingGods with a score of 1-2
- Lose at Spirit 1-2
- Defeat K23 2-1
- Lost to Entropiq 2-0
Again, we can go back to stating the fact of VP stagnation. The results of past meetings are just visualizations.
VP cards
Since VP have been losing much more often than winning recently, the situation with card statistics is depressing.
The best VP card so far and the only one with a win rate above 50 is Inferno. VP played 13 maps there and have 63% of wins.
The worst card is Vertigo. With 5 matches, only 1 win.
At the same time, VP does not play Nuke and Vertigo.
Personal meeting history
Previously, the teams have played with each other more than once. Head-to-head statistics for the entire history of clubs in favor of BIG: 9 wins and 4 losses.
Match outcome
I think VP did a very thorough job and in Cologne they will show us the game they are capable of. Otherwise, the "bears" have very little chance.
Looking at the same card stats, BIGs are moving VP almost everywhere. Yes, you can add the level of the teams with which they both play, but the fact remains.
I will believe in VP's fundamental training prior to this championship. However, I'm still not sure if the bears were able to fix all their problems in such a short time.
Result: total +2.5.
And one more match with the participation of the CIS team, which has been having problems lately.
Virtus Pro
The performance at the CIS RMR was a failure for the team, which is expected to fight for the first place, but here they did not even leave the group, losing to the tier 2-3 to the teams, the language cannot be linked with the preparation for the IEM, because the trip was at stake to a major, and now it will be a very difficult task to take the top 2 place in the region. The team had time to solve their problems before this tournament and we all know what they are capable of in their best shape. But now it's scary for the result at this tournament.
BIG
Big passed the Play-in stage without any problems, having won 2 matches. Of the rivals, only OG were a decent team. The Germans play in their homeland, albeit without the support of the audience, but a sense of comfort must be present. BiG always showed structured play, there was a drawdown in shooting. But on each map, they have clearly prepared rounds with which they can surprise opponents.
Outcome
I expect a tight fight in this match, the team's mappools are similar, despite VP's problems on Virtigo, the team knows how to play this map. On any of the maps, the outcome can be in any direction, since both teams like to fill in the games and do not differ in any stability.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in BIG victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.672. According to bookmakers data, Virtus.pro are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 2.595.
If you agree with bookmakers about the favorite of the match, in this case, we recommend betting at . In this company, the highest odds in the sum of 1.88 are provided. If you don’t agree with experts and think that Virtus.pro prevails, you can make a bet on Virtus.pro at . There, odds are equal to 5.5.